Calendar

May-2013
M T W T F S S
20 21 22 23 24 25 26
Economic Events
list Adjusted Merchandise Trade Balance (Yen)
list Merchandise Trade Balance Total (Yen)
Results
list Tech Mahindra
IPO
list Issue Open : Just Dial
list Issue Closing : Onesource Techm.
 

Public Debt Management Report- April-June 2012

India Infoline News Service/ 11:08 , Jul 30, 2012

The report gives an account of the debt management and cash management operations during the quarter, and attempts a rationale for major activities. The report also tries to provide detailed information on various aspects of debt management.

Introduction

The Middle Office was set up in September 2008, in Department of Economic Affairs, Ministry of Finance, and Government of India. With the objective of enhancing transparency of debt management operations, Middle Office began publishing on its website a quarterly report titled “Public Debt Management - Quarterly Report” from the first quarter of 2010-11. The previous reports are available on the website of Ministry of Finance (http://finmin.nic.in/reports/Public_Debt_Management.asp). This report pertains to the first quarter of the fiscal year 2012-13, viz., April-June 2012.


The report gives an account of the debt management and cash management operations during the quarter, and attempts a rationale for major activities. The report also tries to provide detailed information on various aspects of debt management.


While all attempts have been made to provide authentic and accurate information, it is possible that some errors might have crept in inadvertently. Readers may inform us of such errors, as indeed their valuable suggestions, at mo-dea@nic.in or m.vasudevan@nic.in.


Section 1 – Macroeconomic Developments

1.1 The GDP growth rate for the fourth quarter (Jan-Mar) of financial year 2011-12 came at 5.3% per annum as compared with 6.1% in the previous quarter, showing deceleration for the fourth consecutive quarter beginning April-June 2011 (Chart 1). Growth rate for fiscal year 2011-12 decelerated to 6.5% from 8.4% in the previous fiscal year. While deceleration was seen across most segments, major decline was noticed in growth rates of mining and quarrying, manufacturing, and construction. Electricity, gas & water supply and community, social & personal services showed improved growth during the year.



1.2 Inflation rate during June 2012 declined to 7.25% per annum (y-o-y) continuing a generally declining trend set in after September 2011 (Chart 2). Apart from food articles and vegetables, the major contribution to inflation during the year was from fuel and power group, and iron and edible oils in manufacturing group. Inflation build-up during Q1 of FY13 at 1.99% was lower than 2.41% in the previous year.



1.3 The rate of growth in the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) for May 2012 came at 2.4% after showing negative growth rates in March and April 2012. The cumulative growth in IIP during the financial year 2012-13 (Apr-May) was lower at 0.8% than 5.8% during the same period of the previous year (Chart 3).



1.4 India’s exports during the first quarter (Q1) of FY13, in US Dollars, showed a decline of 2.5% over the same period a year ago as compared with a growth of 3.3% in previous quarter (Q4 of FY12). For the comparable period, imports declined by 5.9% vis-à-vis 24.5% growth in Q4 of FY12 leading to a trade deficit of USD 40.0 billion during Q1 of FY13 against a deficit of USD 46.4 billion in the previous quarter (Chart 4).



1.5 Net inflows on account of foreign investment during April-May 2012 declined significantly due to net outflow under portfolio investment by Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs). Foreign direct investment (FDI) showed improvement during the two first months of Q1 of FY13 (Chart 5). Subdued capital inflows and continued trade deficit led to depreciation of Rupee from Rs. 51.2 (per USD) at end-March 2012 to Rs. 56.4 at end-May 2012. Pressure on Rupee continued in June and it closed at Rs. 56.3 at end-June 2012.


Note:- Data on FDI have been revised since April 2011 to expand the coverage.


Section 2– Debt Management - Primary Market Operations

A. Government Finances

2.1 The gross fiscal deficit of the Central Government for fiscal year 2012-13 (FY13) was budgeted at Rs. 5,13,590 crore (5.1% of GDP) compared with Rs. 5,21,980 crore (5.9% of GDP) in the revised estimates (RE) for 2011-12. The gross and net market borrowing requirements of the Government for FY13 were placed at Rs. 5,69,616 crore and Rs. 4,79,000 crore against Rs. 5,10,000 crore and Rs. 4,36,414 crore, respectively, in FY12.


2.2 The fiscal outcome during April-May of FY13 indicates that all the key deficit indicators as percentage of budget estimates (BE) for 2012-13 were lower than their levels during the corresponding period of the previous year. Gross tax collections during the period at 7.8% of BE were higher than 6.6% a year ago. In the direct taxes, corporation tax collections at Rs. 10,137 crore showed a healthy growth against negative collections of (-) Rs. 3,086 crore last year. Personal income tax collections at Rs. 25,999 crore also showed a buoyant growth of 44.2% against budgeted growth rate of 13.9% for FY13. Among the major indirect taxes, while collections from customs and excise duties showed negative growth rates of (-)2.0% and (-)4.6%, respectively, against budgeted growth rates of 22.0% and 29.1%, service tax collections increased by 37.7% during April-May 2012-13 as against BE growth rate of 30.5%. Non-tax revenue at 4.2% of BE was lower than 4.5% in the same period of the previous year. Total expenditure as% of BE at 12.8% during April-May 2012-13 was lower than 13.2% during the corresponding period of the previous year mainly on account of reduction in capital expenditure. Thus, revenue deficit and gross fiscal deficit during April-May of FY13 at 33.8% and 27.6% of BE, were lower than those during the corresponding period of the previous fiscal year (Table 1).


Table 1: Fiscal Outcome during the April -May 2012-13 (amount in Rs.  crore)

Item 2012-13 BE April-May 2012-13 April-May 2012-13 (% of BE) April-May 2011-12 (% of BE)
Revenue Receipts 9,35,685 47,897 5.1 3.6
Tax Receipts 7,71,071 40,925 5.3 3.5
Non-Tax Receipts 1,64,614 6,972 4.2 4.5
Other Non-debt Receipts 41,650 1,411 3.4 12.4
Total Expenditure 14,90,925 1,90,895 12.8 13.2
Revenue Expenditure 12,86,109 1,66,412 12.9 12.6
Capital Expenditure 2,04,816 24,483 12.0 17.1
Revenue Deficit 3,50,424 1,18,515 33.8 35.8
Primary Deficit 1,93,831 96,869 50.0 65.1
Gross Fiscal Deficit 5,13,590 1,41,587 27.6 31.7
Financing


Market Loans* 4,88,000 1,10,135 22.6 29.4
External Assistance 10,148 399 3.9 12.0
Securities against Small Savings 1,198 -198 -16.5 -0.8
Others 14,244 31,251 219.4 148.9








*:- Includes borrowings through treasury bills.
Source: Controller General of Accounts (CGA) website; cga.nic.in

B. Issuance Details
2.3 This section discusses the issuance details of market loans during the first quarter (Q1) of FY13 and corresponding position in the same quarter of FY12.

2.4 As mentioned above, the gross and net market borrowings of the Central Government for FY13 were projected at Rs. 5,69,616 crore and Rs. 4,79,000 crore, respectively, in FY13 BE. During the first quarter of FY13, the Government issued dated securities worth Rs. 1,73,000 crore constituting 30.4% of BE FY13 against 28.8% in the Q1 of previous fiscal year (Table 2). Taking into account repayments of Rs. 60,574 crore, the net amount raised through dated securities during FY13 amounted to Rs. 1,12,426 crore, constituting 23.5% of BE as compared with 31.1% a year ago.


Table 2: Issuance of Dated Securities
(Amount in Rs. Crore)
Item 2012-13 BE Q1 FY 13 Q1 FY 12 Q1 FY 13 % of BE Q1 FY12 % ofBE
Gross Amount 5,69,616 1,73,000 1,20,000 30.4 28.8
Repayments 90,616 60,574 13,473 66.8 18.2
Net Issuance 4,79,000 1,12,426 1,06,527 23.5 31.1

2.5 Auctions during Q1 of FY13 were held in accordance with the pre-announced calendar (Table 3). During the quarter, greater emphasis on re-issues was continued with a view to build up adequate volumes under existing securities imparting greater liquidity in the secondary market. One new security with a maturity of 10 years was issued during the quarter, constituting 4.0% of total issuance amount during Q1 of FY13.

Table 3 – Actual Borrowings versus Calendar for Q1 FY 13
(Amount in Rs. crore)
Maturity range 5-9 years 10-14 years 15-19 Years 20-30 Years Total
HY1 FY13 (calendar) 96,000-1,20,000 1,46,000-1,70,000 50,000-74,000 50,000-74,000 3,70,000
% of Total 25.9-32.4 39.5-45.9 13.5-20 13.5-20 100.0
Q1 FY 13 actual 43,000 78,000 25,000 27,000 1,73,000
% of Total 24.9 45.1 14.5 15.6 100.0

2.6 The gross amount raised through treasury bills (91, 182 and 364 day treasury bills) during Q1 of FY13 amounted to Rs. 2,30,762 crore while total repayments amounted to Rs. 1,68,814 crore resulting in net issuance of Rs. 61,948 crore compared with net issuance of Rs. 67,842 in Q1 of FY12 (Table 4). The details of issuance of bills during FY13 are given in Statement 2.

Table 4: Issuance of Treasury Bills*
(Amount in Rs. Crore)
Item 2012-13 BE Q1 FY 13 Q1 FY 12 Q1 FY 13% of BE Q1 FY 12 % ofBE



364 DTB

Gross Amount 1,04,371 35,376 20,203 33.9 38.4
Repayment 90,371 20,203 11,376 22.4 26.8
Net Issuance 14,000 15,173 8,827 108.4 87.1



182 DTB

Gross Amount 99,352 30,000 20,250 30.2 36.8
Repayment 99,352 24,001 9,500 24.2 18.8
Net Issuance - 5,999 10,750 - 244.4



91 DTB

Gross Amount 5,32,546 1,65,386 1,18,610 31.1 38.2
Repayment 5,37,546 1,24,610 70345 23.2 22.7
Net Issuance -5,000 40,776 48,265 - 10,200.5



All T-Bills

Gross Amount 7,36,270 2,30,762 1,59,062 31.3 38.1
Repayment 7,27,270 1,68,814 91,221 23.2 22.6
Net Issuance 9,000 61,948 67,842 688.3 452.3
*:- Including amount through non-competitive route.

2.7 The weighted average maturity (WAM) of dated securities issued during Q1 of FY13 at 13.53 years was higher than 13.00 years in the previous quarter (Table 5). The average maturity of outstanding government securities at end-June 2012 increased to 9.80 years from 9.60 years at end-March 2012. Reflecting the impact of higher weighted average maturity as well as rise in yields in the early part of the quarter, the weighted average yield (cut-off) of issuance during Q1 of FY13 increased to 8.60% from 8.35% in the previous quarter.

Table 5: Maturity and Yield of Central Government's Market Loans

Issues during the year Outstanding Stock*
Year
Weighted Average Yield (%)
Weighted Average Maturity (yrs) Weighted Average Coupon (%) Weighted Average Maturity (yrs)
1 2 3 4 5

2003-04

5.71

14.94

9.30

9.78

2004-05

6.11

14.13

8.79

9.63

2005-06

7.34

16.90

8.75

9.92

2006-07

7.89

14.72

8.55

9.97

2007-08

8.12

14.90

8.50

10.59

2008-09

7.69

13.81

8.23

10.45

2009-10

7.23

11.16

7.89

9.67

2010-11

7.92

11.62

7.81

9.64

2011-12

8.52

12.66

7.88

9.60

2011-12 Q4

8.35

13.00

7.88

9.60

2012-13 Q1

8.60

13.53

7.94

9.80
* As at end of period.

Section 3 – Cash Management

3.1 Government’s cash account is maintained with the Reserve Bank. The cash-flow mismatches of the Government are largely managed through issuance of Cash Management Bills, Treasury Bills and access to the Ways and Means Advances (WMA) facility from the Reserve Bank when in deficit and through buybacks or investment in Government securities held by the Reserve Bank when in surplus. The WMA limits for 2012-13 were fixed at Rs. 50,000 crore for Q1 of FY13 and; Rs. 45,000 crore for Q2 of FY13.


3.2 Liquidity conditions in the economy remained generally tight during the quarter with liquidity deficit remaining above the Reserve Bank’s stated comfort zone of about one% of Net Demand and Time Liabilities (NDTL) of scheduled commercial banks. The net amount provided under Liquidity Adjustment Facility (LAF) operations remained generally high during the quarter (Chart 6). The Reserve Bank also conducted open market operations to support liquidity and purchased securities worth Rs. 54,573 crore during the quarter.




3.3 The cash position of the Government during Q1, was generally comfortable and remained in positive territory for most part of quarter. The issuances of treasury bills were  modulated with a view to meet higher redemption expenditure scheduled in the beginning of FY13. The net amount mobilised through treasury bills (under competitive route) during Q1 of FY13 amounted to Rs. 41,159 crore. Under the non-competitive route, net amount received amounted to Rs. 20,789 crore. Details of treasury bills issued and matured in Q1 of FY13 are given in Table 6.


Table 6: Repayments and Issuance of Treasury Bills in Apr-Jun 2012
(Amount in Rs. Crore)

Repayments Issued Amount Variation in Issued amount over Repayments
Date of Issue 91 DTB 182 DTB 364 DTB 91 DTB 182 DTB 364 DTB

9-Apr-12

6,000

0

2,000

6,000

0
5,000 3,000

13-Apr-12

6,000

4,000

0

9,000

5,000
0 4,000

20-Apr-12

6,000

0

3,000

9,000

0
5,000 5,000

27-Apr-12

6,000

4,000

0

9,000

5,000
0 4,000

4-May-12

9,000

0

3,000

10,000

0
5,000 3,000

11-May-12

9,000

4,000

0

9,000

5,000
0 1,000

18-May-12

9,000

0

3,000

10,000

0
5,000 3,000

25-May-12

9,000

4,000

0

9,000

5,000
0 1,000

1-Jun-12

6,841

0

3,000

10,000

0
5,000 5,159

8-Jun-12

8,000

4,000

0

9,000

5,000
0 2,000

15-Jun-12

8,000

0

3,000

10,000

0
5,000 4,000

22-Jun-12

8,000

4,000

0

9,000

5,000
0 2,000

29-Jun-12

8,000

0

3,000

10,000

0
5,000 4,000

Total Under Competitive Route

Q1

98,841

24,000

20,000

119,000

30,000

35,000

41,159

Total Under Non-Competitive Route

Q1

25,769

1

203

46,386

0

376

20,789


3.4 The calendar for issuance of treasury bills during July-September 2012 is given in Table 7.

Table 7: Calendar for Issuance of Treasury Bills in July-September 2012
(Rs.  crore)
Auctions Date 91-Days 182-Days 364-Days Total
04-07-2012 7,000 5,000 12,000
11-07-2012 7,000 5,000 12,000
18-07-2012 7,000 5,000 12,000
25-07-2012 7,000 5,000 12,000
01-08-2012 7,000 5,000 12,000
08-08-2012 7,000 5,000 12,000
14-08-2012 7,000 5,000 12,000
22-08-2012 7,000 5,000 12,000
29-08-2012 7,000 5,000 12,000
05-09-2012 7,000 5,000 12,000
12-09-2012 7,000 5,000 12,000
20-09-2012 7,000 5,000 12,000
26-09-2012 7,000 5,000 12,000
Total 91,000 35,000 30,000 1,56,000









Section 4 – Trends in Outstanding Public Debt

4.1 The total public debt (excluding liabilities that are not classified under public debt) of the Government increased to Rs. 37,52,576 crore at end-June 2012 from Rs. 35,78,244 crore at end-March 2012 (Table 8). This represented a Quarter-on-Quarter (QoQ) increase of 4.9% (provisional) compared with an increase of 4.8% in the previous quarter (Q4 of FY12). Internal debt constituted 90.6% of public debt, compared with 90.1% at the end of the previous quarter. Marketable securities (consisting of Rupee denominated dated securities and treasury bills) accounted for 80.9% of total public debt, compared with 79.9% at end-March 2012. The outstanding internal debt of the Government at Rs. 33,98,154 crore constituted 33.4% of GDP compared with 36.4% at end-March 2012.


Table 8: Composition of Public Debt

Item At end-June 2012 At end-Mar 2012 At end-June 2012 At end-Mar 2012
Rs. Crore) (% of Total)
1 2 3 4 5
Public Debt (1 + 2) 37,52,576 35,78,244 100.00 100.00
1. Internal Debt 33,98,154 32,23,822 90.56 90.10
Marketable 30,34,696 28,60,364 80.87 79.94
(a) Treasury Bills 3,28,940 2,67,035 8.77 7.46
(i) 91-days Treasury Bills 1,65,386 1,24,656 4.41 3.48
(ii) 182-days Treasury Bills 58,000 52,001 1.55 1.45
(iii) 364-days Treasury Bills 1,05,555 90,378 2.81 2.53
(b) Dated Securities 27,05,755 25,93,329 72.10 72.47
Non-marketable 3,63,458* 3,63,458 9.69 10.16
(i) 14-days Treasury Bills 97,800* 97,800 2.61 2.73
(ii) Securities Issued to NSSF 2,08,183* 2,08,183 5.55 5.82
(iii) Compensation and other bonds 27,849* 27,849 0.74 0.78
(iv) Securities issued to International Financial Institutions 29,626* 29,626 0.79 0.83
(v) Ways and Means Advances 0* - - -
2. External Debt 3,54,422* 3,54,422 9.44 9.90
(i) Multilateral 2,22,581* 2,22,581 5.93 6.22
(ii) Bilateral 99,610* 99,610 2.65 2.78
(iii) IMF 31,528* 31,528 0.84 0.88
(iv) Rupee debt 702* 702 0.02 0.02






*:-These data are not available for June 30, 2012. So they are carried over from previous quarter.

Note:- Foreign Institutional Investors (FII) investment in government securities and treasury bills (Rs. 57,828 crore at end-March 2012) is included in the internal marketable debt.


Maturity Pattern for Outstanding Government Debt Stock

4.2 The average maturity of outstanding stock of dated securities as at end-June 2012 increased to 9.80 years from 9.60 years at end-March 2012. Over the same period, the weighted average coupon of outstanding stock increased to 7.94% from 7.88% a quarter ago (see Table 5).


4.3 At end-June 2012, the proportion of debt maturing in less than one year declined to 1.6% from 3.5% a quarter ago, while debt maturing within 1-5 years increased to 27.2% from 26.7% at end-March 2012. Thus, the proportion of debt maturing in less than 5 years at end-June 2012 was lower at 28.8% than 30.2% a quarter ago. The proportion of outstanding debt maturing in less than 10 years came down to 64.4% from 64.9% a quarter ago. The change in composition of debt in terms of various maturity buckets reflects the maturity structure of securities issued during Q1 of FY13 as well as the maturity dynamics of outstanding securities. Overall, 28.8% of outstanding stock has a residual maturity of upto 5 years, which implies that over the next five years, on an average, less than 6.0% of outstanding stock needs to be rolled over every year (Table 9). Thus, the rollover risk in the debt portfolio remained low.


Table 9: Maturity Profile of GoI Outstanding Dated Securities
(Amount in Rs. Crore)
Maturity Buckets End-June 2012 End-Mar 2012
Less than 1 Year 42,793 90,616
(1.58) (3.49)
1-5 Years 7,36,650 6,91,401
(27.23) (26.66)
5-10 Years 9,63,097 9,00,097
(35.59) (34.71)
10-20 Years 5,95,908 5,70,908
(22.02) (22.01)
20 Years and above 3,67,307 3,40,307
(13.58) (13.12)
Total 27,05,754 25,93,328




Note: Figures in parentheses represent% to total.

Holding Pattern

4.4 The holding pattern of Government securities is available with a lag of a quarter; the latest data are available for end-March 2012 (Table 10 and Chart 7). Banks (including banks that are primary dealers and co-operative banks) continue to dominate as the major investor category. Their share in holding of Government securities declined to 49.1% at end-March 2012 from 50.5% as at end-December 2011. Among the long-term investors, while the share of holding by insurance companies declined to 21.1% at end-March 2012 from 22.4% a quarter ago, the share of provident funds increased to 7.5% from 7.3% over the same period. Holding of securities by the Reserve Bank at end-March 2012 at 14.4% was higher than 13.6% a quarter ago, mainly reflecting the impact of OMO purchase of securities to support liquidity.


Table 10: Ownership Pattern of Government of India Dated Securities

(Per cent of Outstanding Securities)

2010
2011

2012
Category Dec. Mar June Sep Dec Mar

1. Commercial Banks

38.63

38.42

37.59

37.22

37.06

36.28

2. Bank-PDs

8.77

8.61

9.96

10.67

10.25

9.83

3. Non-Bank PDs

0.26

0.11

0.1

0.12

0.09

0.1

4. Insurance Companies

22.11

22.22

22.47

22.57

22.42

21.08

5. Mutual Funds

0.88

0.18

0.41

0.32

0.27

0.17

6. Co-operative Banks

3.38

3.41

3.31

3.28

3.21

2.98

7. Financial Institutions

0.33

0.35

0.34

0.35

0.34

0.37

8. Corporates

2.33

1.94

1.86

1.64

1.58

1.38

9. FIIs

0.61

0.97

0.89

0.97

0.85

0.88

10. Provident Funds

6.89

7.06

7.01

7.23

7.31

7.45

11. RBI

10.67

12.84

12.9

12.52

13.56

14.41

12. Others

5.14

3.89

3.15

3.13

3.07

5.07

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100
Source: RBI Bulletin, June 2012; Vol. LXVI No. 6



Section 5 – Secondary Market

A. Government security yields

5.1 Chart 8 depicts the movement in Government bond yields (10-year yield taken as benchmark) during the quarter, up to end-June 2012. The 10-year bond yield began the year on a bearish note due to supply concerns. Yields remained elevated during April to mid-May 2012 but eased thereafter due to Reserve Bank’s OMO purchases, lower GDP and IIP growth rates, Euro zone crisis and fall in international crude oil prices. Yields dropped on April 17, 2012 to 8.42% after the Reserve Bank reduced policy rates by 50 bps, but rose thereafter due to tight liquidity conditions and absence of OMO announcement. Yields began declining since mid-May 2012 as the Reserve Bank began conducting OMO purchases. A sharp deceleration in GDP growth rate, on 31 May 2012, drove yields further down. 10-year yields dropped to 8.05% on 13 June 2012 amidst deepening of Euro crisis and fall in international crude oil prices which declined to below USD 90 a bbl (Brent crude) on 21 June 2012. The 10-year yield, which ranged between 8.05-8.79% during Q1 of FY13, closed the quarter at 8.18% at end-June 2012 against 8.63% at end-March 2012.




5.2 The decline in bond yields was noticeable in 5-12 years and 16-20 years maturity ranges. Thus, the yield curve turned flat in below 10-year maturity range while steepened in longer maturity range during the quarter. While the 1yr-10yr spread declined to 14 bps at end-June 2012 from 39 bps at end-March 2012, 10yr-30yr spread increased to 49 bps from 13 bps over the same period. The yield curve got sharply inverted in 9yr-10yr maturity with spread declining to (-)24 bps at end-June 2012 from 8 bps at end of previous quarter. Inversion was mainly due to introduction of new 10-year benchmark security which elicited high demand from investors and traders. Overall, the 1yr-30yr spread at end of Q1 of FY13 widened to 63 bps from 52 bps at end of previous quarter (Chart 9).




5.3 Treasury Bills yield curve remained inverted at end of Q1 of FY13 though the degree of inversion declined in comparison with the end of the previous quarter (Q4 of FY12). This was due to a sharper decline in short-term yields following policy rate reduction by the Reserve Bank during the quarter and expectations regarding further rate reductions in the wake of growth constraints. While the 1m-3m spread increased to 3 bps from (-) 6 bps at end of previous quarter, 3m-6m spread increased to (-) 7 bps from (-)30 bps over the same period. Overall, 1m-12m inversion in treasury yield curve declined by 42 bps, from (-)60 bps at end-March 2012 to (-)18 bps at end-June 2012 (Chart 10).




B. Trading Pattern for domestic securities

5.4 The total volume of Government securities transacted on an outright basis during Q1 of FY13 stood at Rs. 12.92 lakh crores, representing an increase of 17.4% over Rs. 11.00 lakh crore during the preceding quarter (Table 11). While the transactions in treasury bills increased by 40.9% during the quarter, transaction volumes in state government securities registered a growth of 34.7%. The transaction volumes in the Central Government securities showed a lower growth of 15.1% during Q1 of FY13 over Q4 of FY12. The annualised outright turnover ratio1 for the Central Government dated securities (G-Secs) for Q1 of FY13 improved to 3.5 from 3.2 during the previous quarter. Including repo transactions, the annualised total turnover ratio2 for Q1 of FY13 was higher at 6.3 than 6.2 during the previous quarter.


Table 11 : Transactions in Government Securities (volumes in Rs. Crore)

Period Outright Repo Total
G-Sec T-Bills SDL Total G-Sec T-Bills SDL
2009-10 24,80,850 3,63,283 69,757 29,13,890 52,33,295 8,12,537 26,996 60,72,828
2010-11 25,52,181 2,75,095 43,677 28,70,952 32,53,965 8,32,632 12,688 40,99,284
2011-12 30,99,107 3,45,237 43,859 34,88,203 21,86,877 15,54,121 22,878 37,63,877
Jan-Mar 12 9,99,384 85,209 15,941 11,00,534 4,77,937 2,98,313 5,830 7,82,081
Apr-Jun 12 11,50,531 1,20,055 21,470 12,92,057 4,74,943 6,83,722 4,409 11,63,074

5.5 Central Government dated securities continued to account for a dominant portion of total trading volumes (Chart 11a and 11b). During Q1 of FY13, it accounted for 89.0% of total outright volume, compared to 90.8% in the previous quarter and 40.8% of the total repo volume, compared to 61.1% in the previous quarter.




5.6 The volume of transactions continued to be skewed towards a few securities. The top 10 traded securities accounted for 86.7% of the total outright transaction volume during the quarter as compared with 86.9% during the previous quarter. The share of top three traded securities, however, declined to 76.2 % during Q1 of FY13 from 80.2% in the previous quarter. List of top 10 traded securities for the current quarter and the previous quarter are given in Table 12.


Table 12 - Top 10 Traded Securities (in Rs. Crore)
Security Jan-Mar 2012 Security Jan-Mar 2012
9.15% G.S. 2024 4,93,579 8.79% G.S. 2021 4,76,478
8.79% G.S. 2021 4,01,728 9.15% G.S. 2024 3,52,797
8.19% G.S. 2020 88,623 7.83% G.S. 2018 53,606
8.15% G.S. 2022 43,353 8.19% G.S. 2020 22,913
8.24% G.S. 2018 23,841 8.97% G.S. 2030 17,726
8.28% G.S. 2027 22,334 7.80% G.S. 2021 8,510
8.97% G.S. 2030 20,399 8.28% G.S. 2027 7,450
8.83% G.S. 2041 14,043 8.83% G.S. 2041 6,377
8.33% G.S. 2036 6,596 7.40% G.S. 2012 5,666
7.83% G.S.2018 5,758 7.99% G.S. 2017 5,321

5.7 Trend in outright trading volumes in Government securities under different maturity buckets is given in Table 13.


Table 13 : Maturity Pattern of Outright Transactions
(in Rs. Crore)
Maturity/Quarter Apr-Jun 2012 Jan-Mar 2012 2011-12 2010-11 2009-10
Less than 3 Years 4,836 10,023 35,545 1,07,943 2,02,683
3-7 Years 41,965 68,933 2,34,437 4,32,297 5,84,202
7-10 Years 5,41,399 5,17,665 17,43,886 9,71,464 10,81,244
above 10 years 5,62,332 4,02,763 10,85,239 10,40,477 6,12,721
Total 1,15,0532 9,99,384 30,99,107 25,52,181 24,80,850

5.8 The maturity distribution of G-Secs transactions in the secondary market is detailed in Chart 12a and 12b. Reflecting the increased trading activity in longer term securities, ‘10 years and above’ maturity range accounted for the highest share of trading volumes during Q1 of FY13 followed by ‘7-10 years’ maturity range which reflected high liquidity of 10-year benchmark security. The share of trading volumes in the ‘above 10-year’ segment during Q1 of FY13 increased to 48.9% from 40.3% in the previous quarter. The 7-10 years maturity bucket accounted for 47.1% of outright trading volumes during Q1 of FY13, lower than 51.8% in the previous quarter. The transaction volumes of securities in the maturity range of 3-7 years declined to 3.6% of total volume compared with 6.9% in the previous quarter. The share of trading volume in the below 3 years maturity bracket remained negligible during the quarter.




5.9 Foreign banks continued to be the dominant trading category accounting for 31.7% of total outright trading activity as compared with 29.3% in the previous quarter (Chart 13). While the share of primary dealers declined to 19.2% during Q1 of FY13 from 24.5% during Q4 of FY12, share of public sector banks improved to 21.0% from 18.4% in the previous quarter. The share of private sector banks was marginally higher at 17.3% from 17.0% during Q4 of FY12. During the quarter, ‘others category’ (which includes the Reserve Bank purchases other than through OMO auctions) investors were the major net buyers (`29,288 crore) followed by public sector banks (`20,631 crore), insurance companies (`6,250 crore), and mutual funds (`5,549 crore). Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) and Co-operative banks were the other net buyer categories during the quarter. Apart from the primary dealers, private sector banks (`3,094 crore) and foreign banks (`2,606 crore) were the major net seller categories during Q1 of FY13.




5.9 Quarterly share of various categories/participants in the secondary market trading activity (buy + sell) for government securities is shown in Table 14.


Table 14: Category wise - Buying and Selling (% of total)
Category Apr-Jun 2012 Jan-Mar 2012 Oct-Dec2011 Jul-Sep 2011
Buy Sell Buy Sell Buy Sell Buy Sell
Co-operative Banks 3.2 3.0 3.8 3.8 3.1 2.9 2.8 2.7
FIs 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.2
Foreign Banks 31.6 31.8 28.6 29.9 27.3 27.1 30.6 29.9
Ins. Cos 2.3 1.8 1.6 1.9 1.7 1.5 1.6 1.3
Mutual Funds 4.4 4.0 4.0 3.8 5.0 4.9 5.1 4.6
Primary Dealers 16.8 21.6 21.9 27.1 25.9 31.0 24.2 30.4
Private Sector Banks 17.2 17.5 17.7 16.4 15.7 15.2 14.2 14.5
Public Sector Banks 21.8 20.2 20.1 16.7 19.5 17.2 19.7 16.2
Others 2.3 0.1 1.9 0.1 1.2 0.1 1.4 0.1
Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100











Statement 1: Issuance of Dated securities During FY13 (April-June 2012)-contd.

(Amount in Rs. Crore)


Name of Stock Date of Auction Notified amount Delpnt on PDs Cut off price Cut off yield (%) Date of Maturity Residual Maturity (Years)
8.19% GS 2020 $ U 3-Apr-12 4000 319.2 96.80 8.76 16-Jan-20 7.8
9.15% GS 2024 $ U 3-Apr-12 8000 0 102.31 8.84 14-Nov-24 12.6
8.97% GS 2030 $ U 3-Apr-12 3000 875.96 99.70 9.00 5-Dec-30 18.7
8.83% GS 2041 $ U 3-Apr-12 3000 0 97.65 9.06 12-Dec-41 29.7
8.24% GS 2018 $ U 13-Apr-12 4000 0 98.51 8.56 22-Apr-18 6.0
8.79% GS 2021 $ U 13-Apr-12 7000 0 102.09 8.47 8-Nov-21 9.6
8.28% GS 2027 $ U 13-Apr-12 2000 0 96.16 8.74 21-Sep-27 15.4
8.33% GS 2036 $ U 13-Apr-12 2000 0 95.30 8.80 7-Jun-36 24.1
8.19% GS 2020 $ U 20-Apr-12 4000 0 98.60 8.44 16-Jan-20 7.7
9.15% GS 2024 $ U 20-Apr-12 7000 0 104.97 8.50 14-Nov-24 12.6
8.97% GS 2030 $ U 20-Apr-12 2000 0 101.85 8.76 5-Dec-30 18.6
8.83% GS 2041 $ U 20-Apr-12 3000 0 100.20 8.81 12-Dec-41 29.6
8.24% GS 2018 $ U 27-Apr-12 4000 0 98.16 8.64 22-Apr-18 6.0
8.79% GS 2021 $ U 27-Apr-12 7000 0 101.00 8.63 8-Nov-21 9.5
8.28% GS 2027 $ U 27-Apr-12 2000 0 95.45 8.82 21-Sep-27 15.4
8.33% GS 2036 $ U 27-Apr-12 3000 0 93.82 8.96 7-Jun-36 24.1
8.19% GS 2020 $ U 4-May-12 4000 0 98.05 8.54 16-Jan-20 7.7
9.15% GS 2024 $ U 4-May-12 8000 0 103.25 8.72 14-Nov-24 12.5
8.97% GS 2030 $ U 4-May-12 3000 0 100.45 8.92 5-Dec-30 18.6
8.83% GS 2041 $ U 4-May-12 3000 0 98.31 8.99 12-Dec-41 29.6
8.24% GS 2018 $ U 11-May-12 4000 0 98.52 8.56 22-Apr-18 5.9
8.79% GS 2021 $ U 11-May-12 7000 0 101.43 8.57 8-Nov-21 9.5
8.28% GS 2027 $ U 11-May-12 2000 0 95.09 8.87 21-Sep-27 15.4
8.33% GS 2036 $ U 11-May-12 2000 0 93.94 8.95 7-Jun-36 24.1
8.19% GS 2020 $ U 18-May-12 4000 0 98.60 8.44 16-Jan-20 7.7
9.15% GS 2024 $ U 18-May-12 7000 0 104.67 8.53 14-Nov-24 12.5
8.97% GS 2030 $ U 18-May-12 2000 0 101.35 8.82 5-Dec-30 18.5
8.83% GS 2041 $ U 18-May-12 2000 0 99.01 8.92 12-Dec-41 29.6
8.24% GS 2018 $ U 26-May-12 4000 0 98.94 8.47 22-Apr-18 5.9
8.79% GS 2021 $ U 26-May-12 6000 0 101.70 8.52 8-Nov-21 9.4
8.28% GS 2027 $ U 26-May-12 2000 0 95.83 8.78 21-Sep-27 15.3
8.33% GS 2036 $ U 26-May-12 3000 0 94.35 8.90 7-Jun-36 24.0
8.19% GS 2020 $ U 1-Jun-12 4000 0 99.27 8.32 16-Jan-20 7.6
9.15% GS 2024 $ U 1-Jun-12 7000 0 105.45 8.43 14-Nov-24 12.4
8.28% GS 2032 $ U 1-Jun-12 2000 0 96.52 8.65 15-Feb-32 19.7
8.83% GS 2041 $ U 1-Jun-12 2000 0 101.10 8.73 12-Dec-41 29.5
8.24% GS 2018 $ U 8-Jun-12 3000 0 100.10 8.21 22-Apr-18 5.9

Statement 1: Issuance of Dated securities During FY13 (April-June 2012)-concld.
(Amount in Rs. Crore)


Name of Stock Date of Auction Notified amount Dev on
PDs
Cut off price Cut off yield (%) Date of Maturity Residual Maturity(Years)
8.15% GS 2022 # U 8-Jun-12 7000 0 100.00 8.15 11-Jun-22 10.0
8.97% GS 2030 $ U 8-Jun-12 3000 0 104.48 8.49 5-Dec-30 18.5
8.33% GS 2036 $ U 8-Jun-12 2000 0 97.85 8.54 7-Jun-36 24.0
8.19% GS 2020 $ U 22-Jun-12 4000 0 100.10 8.17 16-Jan-20 7.6
9.15% GS 2024 $ U 22-Jun-12 7000 0 105.95 8.37 14-Nov-24 12.4
8.28% GS 2027 $ U 22-Jun-12 2000 0 98.48 8.46 21-Sep-27 15.2
8.83% GS 2041 $ U 22-Jun-12 2000 0 102.13 8.63 12-Dec-41 29.5
Gross Nominal Amount Raised 173000 1195.16



Weighted Average Yield 8.60




Weighted Average Maturity 13.53



















#:- New security, yield based auction; $:- Re-issues, price based auctions
U:- Uniform Price

Statement 2:Treasury Bills Issued During FY13 (April-June 2012)
(Amount in Rs. Crore)

Name of Security Date of Issue Completive amount raised Non-Completive amount raised Gross Nominal amount raised Cut off Yield (%)
364 DTB 9-Apr-12 5000 0 5000 8.34
364 DTB 20-Apr-12 5000 0 5000 8.17
364 DTB 4-May-12 5000 0 5000 8.31
364 DTB 18-May-12 5000 0 5000 8.29
364 DTB 1-Jun-12 5000 0 5000 8.28
364 DTB 15-Jun-12 5000 376 5376 8.28
364 DTB 29-Jun-12 5000 0 5000 8.12
182 DTB 13-Apr-12 5000 0 5000 8.57
182 DTB 27-Apr-12 5000 0 5000 8.38
182 DTB 11-May-12 5000 0 5000 8.42
182 DTB 25-May-12 5000 0 5000 8.42
182 DTB 8-Jun-12 5000 0 5000 8.16
182 DTB 22-Jun-12 5000 0 5000 8.31
91 DTB 9-Apr-12 6000 2520 8520 8.81
91 DTB 13-Apr-12 9000 2013 11013 8.77
91 DTB 20-Apr-12 9000 500 9500 8.31
91 DTB 27-Apr-12 9000 5500 14500 8.39
91 DTB 4-May-12 10000 7500 17500 8.44
91 DTB 11-May-12 9000 4500 13500 8.44
91 DTB 18-May-12 10000 6900 16900 8.39
91 DTB 25-May-12 9000 8580 17580 8.39
91 DTB 1-Jun-12 10000 900 10900 8.39
91 DTB 8-Jun-12 9000 885 9885 8.27
91 DTB 15-Jun-12 10000 3720 13720 8.14
91 DTB 22-Jun-12 9000 1525 10525 8.31
91 DTB 29-Jun-12 10000 1343 11343 8.31
Total
184000 46762 230762

Statement 3: List of Dated Securities Outstanding at end-June 2012-contd.

Nomenclature

Date of maturity

Outstanding Stock (Rs. Crore)

of which:
MSS

6.72% GS 2007/12

18-Jul-12

541.8

-

11.03% GS 2012

18-Jul-12

13500.0

-

9.40% GS 2012

11-Sep-12

11000.0

-

FRB, 2012

10-Nov-12

5000.0

-

9.00% GS 2013

24-May-13

1751.3

-

9.81% GS 2013

30-May-13

11000.0

-

12.40 % GS 2013

20-Aug-13

11983.9

-

7.27% GS 2013 (conv)

3-Sep-13

46000.0

-

FRB, 2013

10-Sep-13

4000.0

-

5.32% GS 2014

16-Feb-14

5000.0

-

6.72% GS 2014

24-Feb-14

15273.6

-

7.37 % GS 2014

16-Apr-14

42000.0

-

6.07% GS 2014

15-May-14

40000.0

-

FRB, 2014

20-May-14

5000.0

-

10.00% GS 2014

30-May-14

2333.3

-

7.32% GS 2014

20-Oct-14

18000.0

-

10.50% 2014

29-Oct-14

1755.1

-

7.56% 2014

3-Nov-14

41000.0

-

11.83 % GS 2014

12-Nov-14

11500.0

-

10.47% GS 2015

12-Feb-15

6430.0

-

10.79% GS 2015

19-May-15

2683.5

-

11.50% GS 2015

21-May-15

3560.5

-

6.49% GS 2015

8-Jun-15

40000.0

-

7.17% GS 2015

14-Jun-15

56000.0

-

FRB, 2015

2-Jul-15

6000.0

-

11.43% GS 2015

7-Aug-15

12000.0

-

FRB, 2015(II)

10-Aug-15

6000.0

-

7.38% GS 2015 (conv)

3-Sep-15

61000.0

-

9.85% GS 2015

16-Oct-15

10000.0

-

7.59% GS 2016

12-Apr-16

68000.0

-

10.71% GS 2016

19-Apr-16

9000.0

-

FRB, 2016

7-May-16

6000.0

-

5.59% GS 2016

4-Jun-16

6000.0

-

12.30% GS2016

2-Jul-16

13129.9

-

7.02% GS 2016

17-Aug-16

60000.0

-

8.07% 2017

15-Jan-17

69000.0

-

7.49% 2017 (con)

16-Apr-17

58000.0

-

FRB-2017

2-Jul-17

3000.0

-

7.99% 2017

9-Jul-17

71000.0

-

7.46% 2017

28-Aug-17

57886.8

-

Statement 3: List of Dated Securities Outstanding at end-June 2012-contd.

Nomenclature

Date of maturity

Outstanding Stock (Rs. Cr)

of which:
MSS

6.25% 2018 (conv)

2-Jan-18

16886.8

-

7.83% GS 2018

11-Apr-18

64000.0

-

8.24% GS 2018

22-Apr-18

75000.0

-

10.45% GS 2018

30-Apr-18

3716.0

-

5.69 % GS 2018(Conv)]

25-Sep-18

16130.0

-

12.60 % GS 2018

23-Nov-18

12631.9

-

5.64 % GS 2019

2-Jan-19

10000.0

-

6.05% GS 2019

2-Feb-19

53000.0

-

6.05% GS 2019 (con)

12-Jun-19

11000.0

-

6.90% GS 2019

13-Jul-19

45000.0

-

10.03 % GS 2019

9-Aug-19

6000.0

-

6.35% GS 2020 (con)

2-Jan-20

61000.0

-

8.19% GS 2020

16-Jan-20

38000.0

-

10.70 % GS 2020

22-Apr-20

6000.0

-

7.80% GS 2020

3-May-20

60000.0

-

FRB -2020

21-Dec-20

13000.0

-

11.60 % GS 2020

27-Dec-20

5000.0

-

7.80% GS 2021

11-Apr-21

68000.0

-

7.94% GS 2021

24-May-21

49000.0

-

10.25% GS 2021

30-May-21

26213.3

-

8.79% GS 2021

8-Nov-21

83000.0

-

8.20 % GS 2022

15-Feb-22

57632.3

-

8.35% GS 2022

14-May-22

44000.0

-

8.15% GS 2022

11-Jun-22

7000.0


8.08% GS 2022

2-Aug-22

61969.4

-

5.87% GS 2022 (conv)

28-Aug-22

11000.0

-

8.13% GS 2022

21-Sep-22

70495.3

-

6.30% GS 2023

9-Apr-23

13000.0

-

6.17% GS 2023 (conv)

12-Jun-23

14000.0

-

7.35% GS 2024

22-Jun-24

10000.0

-

9.15% GS 2024

14-Nov-24

92000.0

-

5.97 % GS2025 (Conv)

25-Sep-25

16687.9

-

10.18% GS 2026

11-Sep-26

15000.0

-

8.24 % GS 2027

15-Feb-27

57388.6

-

8.26 % GS 2027

2-Aug-27

73427.3

-

8.28 % GS 2027

21-Sep-27

36252.2

-

6.01% GS GS 2028 (C Align)

25-Mar-28

15000.0

-

6.13% GS 2028

4-Jun-28

11000.0

-

8.97% GS 2030

5-Dec-30

32000.0

-

8.28 % GS 2032

15-Feb-32

66687.1

-

Statement 3: List of Dated Securities Outstanding at end-June 2012-concld.


Nomenclature

Date of maturity

Outstanding Stock (Rs. Crore)

of which:
MSS

8.32 % GS 2032

2-Aug-32

15434.1

-

7.95% GS 2032

28-Aug-32

59000.0

-

8.33% GS GS 2032

21-Sep-32

1522.5

-

7.50% GS 2034

10-Aug-34

60000.0

-

FRB, 2035

25-Jan-35

350.0

-

7.40% GS 2035

9-Sep-35

42000.0

-

8.33% GS 2036

7-Jun-36

71000.0

-

6.83% GS 2039

19-Jan-39

13000.0

-

8.30% GS 2040

2-Jul-40

72000.0

-

8.83% GS 2041

12-Dec-41

33000.0

-
Total
2705754.3

Statement 4: Maturity Profile of Government Securities as on End-June 2012

Year of maturity Outstanding Stock (Rs. Crore)
2012-13 30042
2013-14 95009
2014-15 168018
2015-16 197244
2016-17 231130
2017-18 206774
2018-19 234478
2019-20 161000
2020-21 84000
2021-22 283846
2022-23 194465
2023-24 27000
2024-25 102000
2025-26 16688
2026-27 72389
2027-28 124680
2028-29 11000
2029-30
2030-31 32000
2031-32 66687
2032-33 75957
2033-34
2034-35 60350
2035-36 42000
2036-37 71000
2037-38
2038-39 13000
2039-40
2040-41 72000
2041-42 33000
Total 2,705,754


 



Rate This Article Rate 1 Rate 2 Rate 3 Rate 4 Rate 5

Recent News Videos