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| India Infoline Research Team / 08:58 , May 24, 2012 |
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A petrol price hike is easier vis-à-vis other fuels. It remains to be seen whether the Government can do an encore as far as other fuels are concerned. .. |
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Contentment consists not in adding more fuel, but in taking away some fire. - Thomas Fuller
The steep hike in petrol prices has fuelled public outburst even as the move has sparked some hope on reforms. A petrol price hike is easier vis-à-vis other fuels. It remains to be seen whether the Government can do an encore as far as other fuels are concerned. That call is politically sensitive for UPA II, but given the elevated fuel subsidy bill it has little choice. What’s more, the Rupee’s sharp fall has more or less negated a steady decline in crude oil prices. Still, one must wait and watch as UPA II’s track record on reforms has been disappointing and some rollback is also anticipated.
The key stock indices are likely to rise at start. Asian markets are steady and US markets recovered smartly. European equities slid though, on persistent worries over the fate of Greece within the eurozone and its unpleasant impact on global economy. China’s provisional manufacturing PMI for May has come in weaker than April’s final print.
The global backdrop is fragile but few more bold policy actions can nullify that. The Nifty is likely to remain in a narrow range of 4788-4860 and waiting for a breakout.
ADR/GDR
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Latest (US$)
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Price % chg
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% Prem/Disc
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Dr. Reddys
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29.7
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(0.5)
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(0.6)
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HDFC Bk
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28.6
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0.5
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9.5
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ICICI Bk
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28.6
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(1.2)
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0.9
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ITC
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4.1
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(1.6)
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(0.1)
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Infosys
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42.4
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(1.1)
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1.2
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Ranbaxy
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9.1
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1.7
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1.6
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Reliance
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24.3
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(2.6)
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(1.1)
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Wipro
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8.7
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(0.5)
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26.0
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SBI
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68.6
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(3.3)
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(1.8)
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Tata Motors
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23.8
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(1.1)
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2.1
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Sterlite
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6.8
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(2.4)
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1.1
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L&T
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20.5
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(2.7)
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0.1
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Indian market
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% change
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Last close
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1 day
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3 mth
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YTD
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Sensex
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15,948
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(0.5)
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(11.0)
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3.2
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Nifty
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4,836
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(0.5)
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(10.9)
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4.6
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BSE 100
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1,969
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(0.5)
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(10.4)
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6.4
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BSE 200
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6,176
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(0.5)
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(10.1)
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6.9
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CNX Midcap
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6,822
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(0.5)
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(10.1)
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11.6
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BSE Smallcap
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6,238
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(0.6)
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(9.0)
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12.4
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Developed market
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% change
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Last close
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1 day
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3 mth
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YTD
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Dow Jones
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12,496
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(0.1)
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(3.7)
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2.3
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Nasdaq
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2,850
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0.4
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(3.8)
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9.4
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S&P 500
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1,319
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0.2
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(3.4)
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4.9
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FTSE
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5,266
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(2.5)
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(11.3)
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(5.5)
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CAC
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3,003
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(2.6)
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(13.4)
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(5.0)
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DAX
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6,286
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(2.3)
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(8.4)
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6.6
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Hang Seng*
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18,700
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(0.5)
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(12.6)
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1.4
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Nikkei*
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8,537
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(0.2)
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(11.5)
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1.0
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S&P/ASX200*
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4,069
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0.0
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(5.5)
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0.3
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* Markets are open
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Emerging market
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% change
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Last close
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1 day
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3 mth
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YTD
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Shanghai Comp
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2,368
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0.2
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(2.9)
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7.7
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Brazil Bovespa
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54,619
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(0.8)
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(17.2)
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(3.8)
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Mexico Bolsa
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37,422
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(0.2)
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(1.4)
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0.9
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Kospi*
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1,814
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0.3
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(10.2)
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(0.6)
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Micex
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1,257
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(3.4)
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(21.2)
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(10.4)
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Taiwan*
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7,164
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0.2
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(10.0)
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1.3
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Straits*
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2,782
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0.1
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(6.6)
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5.1
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* Markets are open
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Institutional activity
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(Rs cr)
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Cash
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F&O
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MTD
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YTD
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FIIs
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-
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164
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(389)
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43,080
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MFs
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-
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-
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7
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(5,950)
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FIIs Prov.
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(361)
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MFs Prov.
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168
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Commodities
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% change
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Last close
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1 day
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3 mth
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YTD
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Crude (US$/bbl)
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90.6
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0.8
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(17.4)
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(8.3)
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Gold (US$/oz)
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1,561
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(0.0)
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(11.9)
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(0.2)
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Copper (US$/mt)
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7,583
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(2.7)
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(9.7)
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(0.1)
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Aluminium (US$/mt)
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1,969
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(1.0)
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(11.8)
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(1.3)
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Zinc (US$/mt)
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1,869
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(1.9)
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(8.0)
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2.3
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Advance/Decline stocks
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(Nos)
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A
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B
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S
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Total
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Adv
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70
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798
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1,322
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1,440
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Dec
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134
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1,185
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1,917
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1,270
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Unch
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0
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82
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146
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136
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A/D ratio (x)*
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0.5
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0.7
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0.7
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1.1
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*A/D excluding Unch
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Trade value
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(Rs cr)
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% chg
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Cash NSE
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8,439
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(6.6)
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Cash BSE
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1,778
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(2.1)
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Total Cash
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10,218
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(5.8)
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Delivery (%)
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36.9
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-
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Derivatives
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136,899
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10.7
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Currency
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% change
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Last close
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1 day
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3 mth
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YTD
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Rs/US$
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56.01
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1.1
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(12.2)
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(5.2)
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Rs/EUR
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70.88
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0.3
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(7.7)
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(3.0)
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US$/GBP
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1.57
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0.0
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(1.1)
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1.0
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US$/EUR
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1.26
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(0.0)
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(6.5)
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(3.0)
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Yen/US$
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79.53
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0.1
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2.1
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(3.3)
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Bond market
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Last Close (%)
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Bps chg
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10yr Gsec
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8.52
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(0.00)
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Call rate
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8.26
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(0.04)
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