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Oil India (Q2 FY13)
India Infoline Research Team / 16:49 , Nov 07, 2012
CMP Rs467, Target Rs535, Upside 14.5%
OIL India (OINL) reported its net sales for the quarter at Rs25,194mn down 24.5% yoy. The sales were below our estimates mainly due to lower crude realizations (on back of higher than estimated subsidy burden).
Crude realizations at $52.5/bbl declined by ~39% yoy in dollar terms, but 19% depreciation in Rupee against the US dollar on a yoy basis helped restricting the fall in revenues. The subsidy burden borne by OINL in the quarter was Rs20.7bn as compared to Rs8.4bn in Q2 FY12 and Rs 20.1bn in Q1 FY13.
Crude oil sales volumes declined by 2.4% yoy but recovered 1.5% qoq. Gas sales volumes increased 0.9% yoy and 13% on qoq basis (owing to resumption of normal operations at Numaligarh refinery). Total oil + OEG sales volumes declined by 1.2% on yoy basis but surged 5% on qoq basis.
OPM at 50.2% was higher by 502bps yoy was better than our expectations. However, operating profit was lower than estimates owing to high subsidy incidence. The statutory levies were higher by 948bps owing to the higher cess burden (Rs4,500/tonne cess from Q1FY13 onwards).
We maintain our BUY rating on the stock considering a steep discount to global peers on EV/BoE basis.
Effective tax rate (%)
PAT margin (%)
Ann. EPS (Rs)
Source: Company, India Infoline Research
Y/e 31 Mar (Rs m)
yoy growth (%)
yoy growth (%)
Source: Company, India Infoline Research
Tuesday, 11 March 2014 02:44 IST
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