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Shree Renuka Sugars (Q1 F9/10) – BUY (Target Price Rs291, Upside 24.9%)

India Infoline Research Team / 17:20 , Jan 18, 2010

  • A surge in sugar realizations, 126% yoy rise in volumes \and higher trading revenues drive Q1 topline
  • OPM expands 10ppts yoy on improved sugar prices
  • Reported PAT jumps 24x yoy on the back of robust operating environment
  • We factor in improved sugar realizations in the current fiscal and upgrade to BUY with revised TP of Rs291 
Result table
(Rs m) Q1 F9/10 Q1 F9/09 % yoy F9/09 % yoy
Net sales 14,287 4,002 257.0 28,160 33.8
Material costs (9,453) (2,481) 281.0 (20,205) 28.1
Personnel costs (175) (145) 20.7 (570) 36.0
Other overheads (1,048) (768) 36.5 (2,729) 16.5
Operating profit 3,611 608 493.9 4,656 84.5
OPM (%) 25.3 15.2 1,008 bps 16.5 455 bps
Depreciation (195) (140) 39.3 (676) 83.2
Interest (294) (299) (1.7) (1,077) 57.0
Other income 150 26 476.9 65 (53.2)
PBT 3,272 195 1,577.9 2,968 84.6
Tax (662) (70) 845.7 (720) 68.6
Effective tax rate (%) 20.2 35.9
24.3
Minority Interest (1) (15)
(5) (80.0)
Adjusted PAT 2,609 110 2,271.8 2,243 94.0
Adj. PAT margin (%) 18.3 2.7 1,551 bps 8.0 247 bps
Extra-items


(8)
Reported PAT 2,609 110 2,271.8 2,235 66.9
Ann. EPS (Rs) 32.9 1.6
7.1
Source: Company, India Infoline Research

Surge in sugar prices drives topline

Renuka Sugars reported a 257% jump in Q1 revenues driven by 1) ~77% rise in sugar realizations 2) 126% growth in volumes to 0.3mn MT 3) An 11x growth in trading sales mostly of white sugar and ethanol.


Operating highlights
Key highlights Q1 F9/10 Q1 F9/09 % yoy F9/09 % yoy
Sugar cane crushed, mn MT 1.63 1.99 (18.3) 3.52 (23.9)
Cane sugar produced, mn MT 0.17 0.21 (21.6) 0.38 (27.9)
Raw sugar processed, mn MT 0.15 0.04 309.4 0.66 817.1
Raw sugar produced, mn MT 0.15 0.04 302.6 0.64 839.0
Recovery (from cane, %) 10.20 10.64 - 10.73 -
Total sugar produced, mn MT 0.32 0.25 26.5 1.01 71.5
Sugar sales (mfg), mn MT 0.30 0.13 126.4 0.80 49.8
Avg. realizations, Rs/kg 28.89 16.36 76.5 21.4 65.7
Co-gen exports, mn units 80.00 72.00 11.1 231 50.0
Realizations, Rs/unit 5.00 7.40 (32.4) 6.48 10.2
Ethanol sales, mn ltrs 13.8 16.8 (18.2) 65.0 27.2
Avg. realizations, Rs/l 29.5 24.5 20.3 25.9 14.1
Source: Company, India Infoline Research

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