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Tata Motors (Q1 FY11) – BUY (Target Rs1,130, Upside 18.1%)

India Infoline Research Team / 09:27 , Aug 11, 2010

CMP Rs957, Target Rs1,130, Upside 18.1%

  • Consolidated net sales rose 65% yoy on the back of robust volume growth in both domestic market as well as for JLR

  • OPM for standalone business at 11.1% was better than our expectation of 10.1%

  • JLR OPM of 15.5% was a big positive surprise and has compelled an upgrade in earnings

  • Standalone margins likely to be under pressure on account of raw material cost pressures

  • Maintain BUY as we see continued recovery in consolidated financial performance with a revised price target of Rs1,130
Result table (Consolidated)
(Rs m)
Q1 FY11
Q1 FY10
% yoy
Net sales
270,556
163,970
65.0
Material costs
(145,209)
(92,799)
56.5
Purchases
(25,263)
(19,799)
27.6
Personnel costs
(21,489)
(20,437)
5.1
Other overheads
(40,041)
(25,906)
54.6
Operating profit
38,554
5,029
666.6
OPM (%)
14.2
3.1
1118 bps
Depreciation
(10,115)
(8,442)
19.8
Interest
(5,616)
(5,835)
(3.8)
Other income
346
3,211
(89.2)
PBT
23,168
(6,038)
(483.7)
Tax
(2,960)
(643)
360.7
Effective tax rate (%)
12.8
(10.6)

Other provisions / minority etc
93
53
74.3
Adjusted PAT
20,301
(6,627)
(406.3)
Adj. PAT margin (%)
7.5
(4.0)
1155 bps
Extra ordinary items
(414)
3,339
(112.4)
Reported PAT
19,887
(3,288)
(704.9)
Ann. EPS (Rs)
142.3
(51.6)
(376.0)
Source: Company, India Infoline Research

Cost Analysis (Consolidated)
As a % of net sales
Q1 FY11
Q1 FY10
Bps yoy
Material costs
53.7
56.6
(292)
Purchases
9.3
12.1
(274)
Personnel Costs
7.9
12.5
(452)
Other overheads
14.8
15.8
(100)
Total costs
85.8
96.9
(1,118)
Source: Company, India Infoline Research

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