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Event Update: Tulip Telecom - BUY (Target Rs214, Upside 18.2%)

India Infoline Research Team / 11:16 , Aug 06, 2010

CMP Rs181, Target price Rs214, Upside 18.2%

Tulip wins Rs1.6bn R-APDRP projects to provide data connectivity

  • Tulip Telecom has won R-APDRP projects worth Rs1.6bn for UP and Gujarat
  • It would provide MPLS VPN, internet and other data connectivity services to all the project towns under the R-APDRP scheme floated by the respective power corporations of the two states
  • Tulip would have deliver the projects over 12-18 months and maintain them for a period of 5 years
  • Projects are part of the larger Restructured APDRP, a reform initiative driven by Power Ministry to set up secure and automated systems to collect accurate data in metering, billing, energy accounting etc; the aim is to significantly reduce T&D losses
  • Order wins comes on the back of successful implementation of State Wide Area Network (SWAN) projects in Haryana and WB and is yet another fruitful effort to get a toe-hold in large govt schemes like APDRP, NREGA that require provision of data connectivity services in rural areas
  • Company represents a pure-play on the nascent MPLS VPN and indeed the entire data connectivity ecosystem; retain BUY with a 9-month TP of Rs214
Financial Summary
Y/e 31 Mar (Rs m) FY09 FY10E FY11E FY12E
Revenues 16,144 19,664 23,837 26,712
yoy growth (%) 32.4 21.8 21.2 12.1
Operating profit 3,367 5,255 6,150 6,972
OPM (%) 20.9 26.7 25.8 26.1
Pre-exceptional PAT 2,385 2,537 3,049 3,574
Reported PAT 2,505 2,755 3,049 3,574
yoy growth (%) 33.8 10.0 10.7 17.2





EPS (Rs) 17.3 19.0 21.0 24.6
P/E (x) 10.6 9.7 8.8 7.5
P/BV (x) 3.9 2.9 2.2 1.7
EV/EBITDA (x) 10.2 6.7 5.6 4.6
Debt/Equity (x) 1.6 1.3 0.8 0.5
ROE (%) 42.3 31.5 28.2 25.3
ROCE (%) 20.2 21.2 21.9 23.3
Source: Company, India Infoline Research