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February 03, 2004

India shining...FM raises FY04 GDP

After much acrimony and pandemonium in parliament over certain technical issues, the Finance Minister Jaswant Singh on Tuesday presented the seventh consecutive budget of the NDA Government. However, it was an Interim Budget for the fiscal year 2004-05 as the BJP-led coalition at the Centre has sought to go for an early general election.

This was the 11th Interim Budget in the history of independent India and the one was clearly aimed at garnering as many votes as possible in the upcoming polls. That is not to say that the budget did not have any proposals worth mentioning.

Presenting the Interim Budget for 2004-05, the Finance Minister reiterated the Government’s responsibility to encourage the economy which was set on the path of accelerated growth.

Pointing to India's emergence as a major global economic power, Singh said that the GDP growth in the fiscal year ending March 31, 2004 would be between 7.5-8%. He also reiterated the earlier inflation projection of 4-4.5% for the fiscal year 2003-04.

"Economic growth indices, in the current year, are very encouraging. With inflation at 4-4.5%, this year we expect the growth rate of our GDP to be between 7.5-8%. Though, there are higher growth estimates that have been made, for the present, we prefer to remain with the cited figures. This level of growth is a matter of great satisfaction," Singh said.

He also said that country’s macro-economic situation was better than it had ever been in the last fifty years. "Internationally, too, there is now much greater, and a much more widespread recognition that India is progressing in all spheres of national endeavour," Singh said.

Drawing attention to the foreign exchange reserves of more than US$100bn, the Finance Minister stated that for greater openness and to share necessary information with citizens, the first ever report of the RBI, on Foreign Exchange Reserves is being released today.

Singh said that the Government was committed to second green revolution, employment generation, eradication of poverty and fiscal consolidation. The objective of enhancing job opportunities would be pursued vigorously, he said.

Bold initiatives in infrastructure have already generated several layers of immediate employment, simultaneously laying the foundation for additional quality employment across a broad spectrum of economic activity, the Finance Minister said.

A combination of moderate inflation, declining interest rates, and healthy capital markets has set our economy on the path of accelerated growth, Singh said.

The Finance Minister said that during his tenure of about a year and a half as the country's Finance Minister, the Indian economy had entered a sustained and robust growth path of around 7.5-8% per year.

Despite multiple challenges, the NDA Government brought down the fiscal deficit to 4.8% of GDP, the revenue deficit to 3.6%, and contained annual average inflation at around 4.8%, he said.

"Our revenue collection between 1998-2004, has gone up by about 83%, our capital markets are healthy, the UTI is a market leader again, our foreign exchange reserves have nearly quadrupled to the never ever achieved level of over US$100bn, our GDP, in this period, has increased by almost 40%, and to my belief, national contentment, national confidence, and our collective resolve for achieving even higher growth has now taken firm root, Singh said.

This report is for information purposes only and does not construe to be any investment, legal or taxation advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase and sale of any financial instrument. Any action taken by you on the basis of the information contained herein is your responsibility alone and India Infoline Ltd (hereinafter referred as IIL) and its subsidiaries or its employees or directors, associates will not be liable in any manner for the consequences of such action taken by you. We have exercised due diligence in checking the correctness and authenticity of the information contained herein, but do not represent that it is accurate or complete. IIL or any of its subsidiaries or associates or employees shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this publication. The recipients of this report should rely on their own investigations. IIL and/or its subsidiaries and/or directors, employees or associates may have interests or positions, financial or otherwise in the securities mentioned in this report.

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