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   India Infoline Sector Reports Thu, 20-Apr-2006 16:26:17 IST (GMT+5:30)
   Aluminium

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Summary

The Indian aluminum industry is segregatedinto primary and secondary or downstream aluminum producers. The industry was controlledtill 1989. Under the earlier Aluminum Control Order all domestic manufacturers wererequired to ensure that at least 50% of their ingot production was of electrical grade.

The Indian aluminum industry consists of fiveprimary aluminum producers and a host of downstream producers. The total installedcapacity of primary aluminum in India is 0.645mn ton. The total installed capacity ofrolled products, extrusions and foils is 0.5mn ton.

National Aluminum Company Ltd (Nalco),Hindalco Industries (Hindalco), Indian Aluminum Company Ltd (Indal), Madras AluminumCompany Ltd (Malco) and Bharat Aluminum Company Ltd (Balco) are five integrated aluminumproducers. Hindalco and Indal also manufacture value added downstream products.

Bauxite is the main raw material formanufacturing aluminum. India is endowed with abundant quantities of high quality bauxite.Bauxite mining is the cheapest in India. Producers like Nalco and Hindalco who have theirown captive mines and captive power facilities are the lowest cost producers of aluminumin the world.

The consumption pattern of aluminum in Indiais highly skewed towards the electrical sector. The latter accounts for 36% of the totalaluminum demand as compared to 9% worldwide. Abroad, the construction, packaging andtransportation sectors account for more than 70% of the aluminum consumption whereas inIndia these account for only 40% of the total aluminum demand.

Aluminum prices have a great bearing on theperformance of the aluminum industry. Prices in the local market closely follow the priceson the London Metal Exchange (LME). The prices on the LME in turn reflect thedemand-supply situation in the world aluminum markets. The domestic demand/supply balanceand landed cost (LME prices, import duties and exchange rate) are the determinants ofdomestic aluminum prices.

Worldwide aluminum outlook is bearish due toweak demand from Japan. Moreover some of the producers who had resorted to production cutshave now resumed normal operations. The extra capacity is not being absorbed by themarket, which is reflected in the depressed aluminum prices.

With the weakening in aluminum prices and slowdown in demand from the electrical sector the short term outlook for the Indian aluminumproducers appear unexciting. In the long term the development of new applications andgrowing consumerism will further increase aluminum demand. The long term outlook for thesector is bullish.

 
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