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   India Infoline Sector Reports Thu, 20-Apr-2006 16:26:19 IST (GMT+5:30)
   Aluminium

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Supply

Presently the installed capacity of primary aluminum is approximately 0.64mn ton. However by the 2002-3 the installed capacity of primary aluminum could touch 1.5mn ton.

Aluminum capacity (FY98)

Company

Capacity(FY98)

Hindalco

245,000

Nalco

230,000

Balco

100,000

Malco

25,000

Indal

43,000

Total

643,000

Among the future capacity additions, is the proposed Aditya Aluminum project having a capacity of 0.25mn ton. However, the project has temporarily been stalled due to environmental reasons. Indal has also proposed to increase its capacity at Hirakud from the present 0.03mn ton to 0.06mn ton. Nalco has already started work on expanding its smelter capacity at Angul in Orissa from 0.23mn ton to 0.345mn ton. Malco, which presently has a smelter capacity of only 0.025mn ton, plans to expand the same to 0.113mn ton. It is also planning to set up a green-field venture of 0.1mn ton per annum.

Future Capacity Additions

Company

Capacity (ton)

Status

Hindalco

250,000

Proposed (New unit)

Nalco

115,000

Under Implementation

Sterlite

250,000

Proposed (New Unit)

Indal

30,000

Under implementation (Expansion)

Malco

83,000

100,000

Proposed (Expansion)

Proposed (New Unit)

The total supply of value added products rolled products, foils and extrusions is to the tune of 0.5mn tpa. The total capacity of rolled products is 0.3mn tpa of extrusions 0.135mn tpa and of foils 0.06mn tpa. Integrated producers like Hindalco, Indal and Balco have significant presence in downstream products.

Indal is the largest producer of rolled products with a capacity of 0.09mn tpa followed by Hindalco with a capacity of 0.080mn tpa, Balco with a capacity of 0.04mn tpa and Pennar Aluminum with a capacity of 0.03mn tpa.

Capacity And Projection Of Semi-Fabricated Products (in 000 ton)

Item

Current capacity

2003

2005

2008

Sheet

293

276

414

552

Foil

56

80

54

78

Extrusions

135

166

249

332

Forging

110

145

218

290

Wire Rods

195

220

330

440

Others

25

35

40

45

In the extruded products segment, Hindalco is the largest producer with a capacity of 10,400 tpa, followed by Indal with a capacity of 8,000 tpa and Mahavir Aluminum with a capacity of 7,600 tpa.

India Foils is the leading aluminum foil producer with a capacity of 19,000 tpa, followed by Indal with a capacity of 6,000 tpa and Sterlite and Hindalco both having a capacity of 5,000 tpa each.

Supply of rolled products, extruded products and foils is slated to increase by 0.2mn tpa in the next 5 years. Majority of the increase would come from integrated manufacturers. Most of the downstream producers are facing financial crisis and therefore do not have funds for expansion.

Demand-Supply gap

Demand for the metal increased by 5% in FY98. However with the economy presently going through a slow down aluminum demand is expected to increase by 4% to 5% in the next two years and 8% thereafter.

Production And Consumption Of Aluminum ( 000 ton)

Year

Production

Consumption

Import

Export

1990-91

449.3

443

30

35

1991-92

513

450

13

72

1992-93

483.4

383

12

113

1993-94

470.4

407

35

83

1994-95

480.4

445

45

91

1995-96

536.8

487

60

100

1996-97

523.7

506

90

100

1997-98

554.5

551

100

85

1998-99E

540

565

100

60

1999-00E

565

585

100

85

00-01E

650

630

100

90

Consumption of aluminum (domestic/imports) could touch 0.685mn ton in 1999-2000 and to around 0.8mn ton in 2002-2003. However projected installed capacity of aluminum could touch 1 mn ton by 2003-2004, if 50% of the aforesaid projects are implemented. This could create a situation of over supply in the aluminum market forcing aluminum majors to cut production and operate at a lower utilization rate.

Import-Export

India is endowed with rich reserves of bauxite and integrated aluminum producers like Nalco and Hindalco are one of the cheapest producers of aluminum in the world. Hence, if favorable infrastructure facilities are provided, the country is in a position to earn valuable foreign exchange.

.Hindalco has stepped up exports of aluminum and aluminum products. From Rs47mn worth of goods exported in FY94 the company exported around Rs1.70bn worth of goods and services. From exports of around 5.13 % of the total sales in FY94, the company exports comprised 10.5 % of total sales in FY98.

Nalco is the highest exporter among the aluminum companies. During FY97, the company exported around Rs6.24bn worth of products. Calcined alumina as well as aluminum metal contributed to the export turnover of the company. Nalco’s total export turnover in relation to the total sales has been relatively high at 35 %. This has though remained uniform over the five year period.

Indal's exports have surged from Rs1.5bn in FY95 to Rs2.26bn in FY98. The company mainly exports aluminum to countries in Asia, West Asia. East Africa, Europe, as well as the SAARC countries. It is also working out a global strategy in collaboration with Alcan Chemicals to boost exports to the countries where the Alcan group has a significant presence. The company exports sheets, foils, extrusions, alumina, and special alumina. More than 65 % of special alumina produced by Indal is exported and has been the company’s major foreign exchange earner.

 

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