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   Cement Sector Update - Mar' 2002

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June 13, 2002

Cement Sector Update - March 2002

Cement Production Increases

During the fiscal year 2001-02, the performance of the cement sector has been particularly impressive as production registered a 9.7% growth to 102.4mn ton as against –0.7% drop recorded in 2000-01. For the first time in the history of the cement industry in India, the monthly cement production crossed 10mn ton while annual production crossed the 100mn ton mark during March this year. During March ’02,cement production increased by 11.6% to 10.3mn ton as compared to 9.3mn ton during March’01.

Source : CMA

Consumption increased too….

Cement consumption also reflects higher growth of 9.2% at 98.29mn ton during 2001-02 as against a 2% drop recorded in 2000-01. The consumption growth accelerated particularly from December 2001. The average growth during the last four months of fiscal year was around 17% as compared to 6% growth during the first 8 months of the year. The demand has increased from the rural areas due to the recovery of the agricultural sector, reconstruction activities in Gujarat following the 2001 earthquake and improvement in infrastructure (like construction of roads, houses, etc).

Source : CMA

But depression in prices

Since the rise in demand was more than compensated by the increase in production, the prices remained under check. The cement prices are expected to pick up only after the monsoon ends. The depressed prices are result of the capacity addition that has taken place during the last one year. The industry has added 14mn ton during the last fiscal. The cement companies are trying to push despatches before the monsoon, resulting in prices to remain depressed

Source : CMIE

Table 1: Region wise cement consumption

State

Mar-02

Mar-01

% change yoy

Northern Region
Punjab

547302

318404

71.89

Rajasthan

648202

431304

50.29

Haryana

323370

262424

23.22

Himachal Pradesh

114263

115306

(0.90)

Uttranchal

78750

58818

33.89

Chandigarh

15213

60994

(75.06)

Delhi

275999

253033

9.08

Jammu & Kashmir

74319

89578

(17.03)

Total Northern Region 1589861

2077418

1589861

30.67

Eastrn Region
Assam

102330

123223

(16.96)

Meghalaya

72624

71810

1.13

Bihar

315457

289914

8.81

Jharkhand

155814

67393

131.20

Orissa

324444

292467

10.93

West Bengal

560547

465525

20.41

Chhattisgarh

155220

133788

16.02

Total Eastern Region

1686436

1444120

16.78

Southern Region
Andhra Pradesh

858748

610597

40.64

Tamil Nadu

743288

728717

2.00

Karnataka

678608

495372

36.99

Kerala

431069

466446

(7.58)

Pondicherry

17384

11519

50.92

Andaman & Nicobar

3042

23933

(87.29)

Goa

26888

37073

(27.47)

Total Southern Region

2759027

2373657

16.24

Western Region
Gujarat

568515

568781

(0.05)

Maharashtra

1289752

1370696

(5.91)

Total Western Region

1858267

1939477

(4.19)

Central Region
Uttar Pradesh

1181672

1047495

12.81

Madhya Pradesh

407211

390911

4.17

Total Central Region

1588883

1438406

10.46

Table 2 : Company-wise performance

   

Production

   

Despatch

 
Company

Mar-02

Mar-01

Growth

Mar-02

Mar-01

Growth
ACC

1286.61

982.88

30.90

1272.95

1005.73

26.57

Gujarat Ambuja

1013.82

820.84

23.51

1020.31

825.92

23.54

India Cements

532.86

683.62

(22.05)

525.92

677.23

(22.34)

Madras Cements

277.43

264.79

4.77

250.69

274.09

(8.54)

L & T

1201.77

1126.63

6.67

1209.61

1111.45

8.83

Grasim

1012.7

920.1

10.06

1039.69

936.07

11.07

Lafarge India Ltd.

342.13

333.12

2.70

353.15

342.84

3.01

Birla Corp. Ltd.

420.33

362.52

15.95

421.93

370.02

14.03

 Reena Gandhi

India Infoline Ltd (IIL) and India Infoline Securities Ltd (IISL) do not have any positions in any of the scrips recommended and which are currently displayed on the site www.indiainfoline.com and www.5paisa.com. IIL and IISL do not do any deals on their own account (proprietary trading) except for testing and demonstration purposes. IIL and IISL also has an internal compliance manual in place which restricts the team who analyze and gives information on various companies and investment opportunities, to place orders on scrips only through IISL and only after the said recommendation has been displayed on the above mentioned websites.

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