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GLOBAL ECONOMY OVERVIEW

The global economy remains in a precarious state amid the prolonged effects of the pandemic, the Russian Federations invasion of Ukraine, and the sharp tightening of monetary policy to contain high inflation. Over three years after the coronavirus provoked the deepest global recession since World War II, the world economy continues to be unstable, hence it will be necessary to make substantial progress on global ambitions to eliminate extreme poverty, counter climate change, and replenish human capital. Emerging Market and Developing Economies (EMDEs) today are struggling just to manage the wherewithal to create jobs and deliver essential services to their most vulnerable citizens.

After growing 3.1% last year, the global economy is set to slow substantially in 2023, to 2.1%, amid continued monetary policy tightening to prevent high inflation, before a tepid recovery in 2024, to 2.4%. Tight global financial conditions and depressed external demand are expected to weigh on growth across EMDEs. weakened fiscal positions for governments. Additionally, trade restrictions and growing geopolitical tensions may further harm long-term growth by reducing technological diffusion, efficiency of resource allocation, and market diversification.

Overall, the global economy is facing challenges from high inflation, financial instability, climate change, and geopolitical tensions. These factors have contributed to a rough state of the global economy, characterized by severe economic shocks and policy misjudgments.

(Source: A World Bank Group Flagship Report)

INDIAN ECONOMY OVERVIEW

In a world ravaged by multifaceted uncertainties, India emerged as a beacon of hope, registering a strong GDP growth of ~7.0% in FY23. While India has not been completely immune to global volatility, strong private consumption and increased capital creation sustained the economic momentum.

Inflation is high but expected to gradually decrease due to weaker demand and lower commodity prices. Global financial conditions have tightened due to interest rate hikes and recent instability, leading to unrealized losses for banks. Further, authorities have implemented emergency measures to restore market confidence and limit the impact on the broader financial system. However, unexpected persistence in inflation or commodity price shocks could lead to greater monetary tightening and the risk of another financial crisis.

The global economy is also vulnerable to the impacts of climate change, with more frequent extreme weather events causing significant economic damage. These events could lead to failed harvests, damaged infrastructure, disruptions to activity, and

While the Central Banks brought down spiralling inflation through gradual monetary tightening, it cast a shadow on industrial activity which dropped considerably. The drop was well cushioned as the agriculture and services sectors reported strong growth in FY23.

Indias overall exports (including merchandise and services) defied the global turmoil by registering a handsome growth of 13.84% to a record US$770.18 billion in 2022-23. Imports on the other hand also scaled by 17.38% to US$ 892.18 billion.

The Government revenue continued to scale new heights underpinned by strong GST revenue. Gross tax collections grew 10.4% in 2022-23, but this was lower than the nominal GDP growth of 16.1%, resulting in the gross tax-to-GDP ratio falling marginally to 11.3% from 11.5% the previous year. This was mainly on account of lower excise duty collections following the cuts on fuel last year.

The Budget 2023 is characterised as growth-oriented, progressive, and prudent, with a specific focus on stability and sustainable development. The Budget introduces various policy measures aimed at generating demand for a variety of chemicals, including construction chemicals, emission control catalysts, thermoplastic polyurethane materials TPUs, bio- pesticides, and more.

Additionally, changes in the Basic Customs Duty (BCD) rates for goods such as crude glycerin, denatured ethyl alcohol, acid- grade fluorspar, and specified chemicals for the manufacture of pre-calcined Ferrite Powder are expected to provide impetus to increase domestic manufacturing of these products, aligning with the Make in India initiative.

As Indias domestic demand remained steady amidst a global slowdown, import growth in FY23 was estimated at 16.5% to US$714 billion as against US$613 billion in FY22. Indias merchandise exports were up 6% to US$447 billion in FY23. Indias total exports (merchandise and services) in FY23 grew 14% to a record of US$775 billion in FY23 and is expected to touch US$900 billion in FY24. Till Q3 FY23, Indias current account deficit, a crucial indicator of the countrys balance of payments position, decreased to US$18.2 billion, or 2.2% of GDP. (Source: Ministry of Trade & Commerce)

The Reserve Bank of India started tightening its policy stance during the spring of 2022 to limit the damage caused by foreign capital outflows, a weakening currency, and inflation risks. Higher financing costs slightly dented buoyant economic activity, while over-leveraging in the corporate sector may become a factor of financial instability.

Low labour productivity is affecting the competitiveness of "Made in India" goods and their participation in global value chains. Employment and wage estimates suggest improving labour market conditions in rural areas, while export-oriented service firms report increasing difficulties filling vacancies. Creating good jobs is the most promising pathway to reduce poverty, which is particularly high in the female population. Increasing investment in education and vocational training, and updating labour laws, would help to achieve this objective.

There are green shoots of economic revival, marked by an increase in rural growth during the last quarter, and an appreciable decline in consumer price index inflation to less than 5% in April 2023. India is expected to grow around 6-6.5% (as per various sources) in FY2024, catalysed in no small measure by the governments 35% capital expenditure growth. The growth could also be driven by broad-based credit expansion, better capacity utilisation, and improving trade deficit. (Source: IMF Data)

Hence, broad-based credit growth, improving capacity utilisation, governments thrust on capital spending and infrastructure should bolster investment activity. Accordingly, manufacturing, services, and infrastructure sector firms are optimistic about their business outlook. The downside risks are protracted geopolitical tensions, tightening global financial conditions, and slowing external demand.

GLOBAL AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY OVERVIEW

The year 2022 witnessed considerable challenges for the global automotive sector. Car sales for the year saw a marginal increase of 0.7%, reaching 67.2 million units largely owing to obstacles, such as disruptions in the supply chain, an energy crisis, inflationary pressures, elevated interest rates, concerns about a potential recession, and a scarcity of magnesium and semiconductors.

The shortage of semiconductors, also known as chips, is anticipated to persist throughout 2023 due to disruptions in the global semiconductor industry, a substantial gap between supply and demand, the Russia-Ukraine war, and bottlenecks in the supply chain. Nevertheless, it is expected that semiconductor supply will gradually stabilize in the latter half of 2023. Automotive manufacturers are actively exploring various strategies to secure semiconductors, and they are likely to benefit from novel procurement models and stronger collaborations among OEMs (original equipment manufacturers), Tier 1 suppliers, and semiconductor providers.

On a global scale, the automotive industry is observing a notable surge in the adoption of electric vehicles (EVs). This trend has led to heightened investments in the development of EV infrastructure, aimed at accommodating the escalating demand for electric vehicles. With increasing concerns regarding fuel costs, sustainability, and stringent regulations aimed at curbing transportation-related emissions, a significant decrease in the sales of fossil-fuel cars is evident. This shift has consequently driven the widespread acceptance of electric and hybrid vehicle models.

In spite of the difficulties encountered over the past few years, the worldwide automotive industry is anticipated to experience robust expansion in 2023 and beyond. The global automotive aftermarket sector is set for substantial growth, with a projected market value of USD 589.01 billion by 2030, reflecting a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 4.0% from 2023 to 2030.

Outlook

Despite facing macroeconomic headwinds, the global automotive industrys outlook remains positive, albeit with some vulnerability in the near term. This positivity is expected to be supported by consistent production volumes, delayed order backlogs, and low cancellation rates. Additionally, the industry is anticipated to benefit from gradual economic recovery, the easing of the semiconductor crisis and supply chain pressures, moderation in inflation, improved consumer demand, and the development of new technologies in 2023 and beyond.

Projections indicate that new car sales are poised to grow by 0.9%, while commercial vehicle (CV) sales may experience a 1.3% decline in 2023. However, the European automotive market

is likely to witness demand softening due to ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and the energy crisis. Despite these challenges, the electric vehicle (EV) segment is expected to remain a bright spot, stimulating growth in the global automotive industry. Moreover, the increasing demand for vehicles in transportation, commercial, and tourism sectors is expected to make a substantial contribution to the industrys growth in 2023.

INDIAN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY

In FY23, the Indian automobile industry displayed persistent resilience, benefiting from the global supply chain rebalancing and the governments vigorous promotion of domestic manufacturing. According to the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM), automobile production in FY23 surged to 25.9 million units, a notable increase from the 23 million units recorded in FY22.

Throughout the year, there was a noticeable enhancement in passenger vehicle production due to the alleviation of semiconductor supply constraints. Automotive sales maintained their robust performance across all segments. Notably, the passenger vehicle (PV) segment achieved an unprecedented sales milestone of 3,890,114 units in FY23, driven by sustained consumer demand, improved supplies from automakers, as well as new launches and product upgrades from original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). Meanwhile, the commercial vehicle (CV) segment demonstrated remarkable growth, reaching 9,62,468 units in FY23, marking a 34% year-on-year increase. The medium and heavy commercial vehicles (MHCV) sub-segment experienced an even more impressive growth rate of 49% in FY23.

Outlook

In the year 2022, India achieved the status of being the third- largest automobile market globally, following China and the US. Despite facing challenges like rising input costs, elevated ownership expenses due to regulatory concerns, and higher inflation potentially leading to increased vehicle prices, the Indian automotive sector is projected to maintain its growth trajectory in 2023. This projection is supported by several factors, including enhanced consumer demand, readily available credit and financing options, population expansion, the incorporation of wireless technology into vehicles, and the surging popularity of electric vehicles (EVs). Additionally, the automotive industry is expected to benefit from a substantial 10 lakh crore capital investment in infrastructure development. Government initiatives like Make in India, the Production Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme, the Foreign Trade Policy (FTP), and programs such as Advance Authorization and the Export Promotion Capital Goods Scheme are anticipated to provide a boost to automobile manufacturing and exports.

INDIAN DEFENCE INDUSTRY

The Indian defence industry is pivotal for the government and stands out as one of the worlds fastest-growing military forces. Key sectors include military aircraft, naval vessels, and missiles. Recent emphasis on modernization and self- reliance has boosted the defence manufacturing sector. The government actively encourages defence exports to enhance the economy while striving to develop indigenous technologies and manufacturing. This aligns with the Make in India initiative, bolstered by reforms like increased foreign investment and defence corridors in specific states. Over the past nine years, policy initiatives and streamlined export procedures have propelled defence exports. In FY23, the Ministry of Defences efforts led to a historic milestone, with defence production surpassing 1 lakh crores, a 12% growth from 95,000 crores in FY22.

Budget 2023-24 allocations for the Indian defence sector

• Indian defence sector was allocated 5.94 lakh crores in Budget 2023-24, a jump of 13% over the previous year.

• Allocated 1.38 lakh crores for the Defence Pensions

• Capital outlay pertaining to modernisation & infrastructure development of the defence sector increased to 1.62 lakh crores; 57% rise since 2019-20

• Capital budget of BRO enhanced by 43% to 5,000 crores

• Allocation to DRDO increased by 9% to stand at 23,264 crores

MoD (Civil) Pension defence services Total MoD
2022-23 (BE) (INR billion) 201.00 1,196.96 3,853.70 5,251.66
(4%) (23%) (73) (100%)
2022-23 (RE) (INR billion) 218.76 1,534.14 (26%) 4,095.00 5,847.91
(4%) (70%) (100%)
2023-24 (BE) (INR billion) 226.13 1,382.05 4,327.20 5,935.38
(4%) (23%) (73%) (100%)
% Increase in 2021-22 (BE) over 2020-21 3.4 -9.9 5.7 1.5

(Source: https://www.orfonUne.org/research/high-on-revenue-low-on-capital-indias-defence-budget-2023-24/)

[Note: BE and RE represent Budget Estimates and Revised Estimates, respectively; Percentage figures in parentheses show the respective shares in MoDs total.]

In FY23, India achieved an unprecedented milestone in defence exports, with figures surging from 686 crores ($82 million) in FY14 to an impressive 16,000 crore ($1.9 billion). This 23-fold increase highlights Indias strides in global defence manufacturing. It now exports defence equipment to 80+ countries, including Sri Lanka, Nepal, Maldives, Italy, France, Russia, Saudi Arabia, and more. This diverse portfolio underscores Indias growing prowess in the international defence market.

COMPANY OVERVIEW

Established in 1989, Balu Forge Industries Ltd (BFIL) specializes in the manufacturing and supply of finished and semi-finished forged crankshafts and precision engineering components. The company boasts the capability to produce components in compliance with the latest emission regulations and energy vehicle standards. Operating as a fully integrated forging and machining unit, BFIL offers an extensive product range, catering to customers with forging requirements ranging from 1 Kg to 500 Kgs. The facility is equipped with closed die forging hammers and presses, collectively possessing a monthly production capacity of 5,000 tons. Impressively, the company has the capacity to manufacture 3.6 lakh crankshafts annually. With a global distribution network spanning over 80 countries, BFIL serves both domestic and international markets. Its clientele encompasses renowned suppliers and manufacturers across diverse industries including prototypes, vehicles, commercial vehicles, off-highway vehicles, ships, locomotives, aerospace, defense, oil and gas, railway, marine, and others.

Over the years, BFIL has amassed an extensive knowledge and technology base, which serves as a strong foundation for outpacing competitors and maintaining a leading position in the market. The company has proactively embraced the integration of the latest technologies, resulting in an enhanced product offering, remarkable efficiency improvements, cost reductions, and the creation of new markets for their products.

Our growth drivers

• Machining capacity to increase by ~15,000 tonnes post Mercedes Benz Plant commercialization

• Developing solutions across the entire spectrum of New Energy Component

• Developing components for railway and defence industry

• Developing Powertrain sub-assemblies which will be used in the production of engines

• Expanding the wheel production capacity to 48,000 wheels per year

• Integrating Precision Engineering with Forging to provide end-to-end capabilities and increase EBITDA margin sharply

Our core strengths

Understanding client needs: BFIL is committed to grasping and addressing evolving customer needs. We collect feedback consistently and listen attentively to suggestions, enabling us to adapt our offerings to remain pertinent.

Research focused: Adapting to change and fostering innovation are vital. BFIL invests in an R&D facility to develop products, services, and solutions for emerging trends and challenges.

Product portfolio: The product portfolio comprises niche products assuring integration and synergy in operating facilities.

Strong brand name: BFIL stands out with a robust brand identity that sets it apart from rivals, emphasizing alignment with customer values and emotions.

Cost-competitive: BFIL focuses on periodical assessment of business processes, products, and services to drive continual enhancements, ensuring long-term competitiveness and relevance.

research and development

BFILs dynamic R&D center of excellence upholds innovation and quality to fuel our business aspirations. We drive innovation, optimize processes, enhance product ingenuity, and boost manufacturing efficiency in line with our values. This strong R&D commitment supports flawless business strategy execution.

Our R&D drives progress across diverse product segments, pioneering new technologies, product engineering, and additive manufacturing. Our experienced team thrives at the heart of R&D, supported by top-notch infrastructure for specialized products, including in-house tools, labs, design, and testing capabilities.

Key focus areas of our R&D

• Exploring the use of new materials, such as lightweight alloys or advanced composites, to enhance the product offering.

• Investigating cutting-edge manufacturing methods, such as additive manufacturing (3D printing) or advanced Machining, to achieve higher precision and tighter tolerances.

• Analysing and optimizing product designs using computer simulations and finite element analysis to maximize performance and minimize stress concentrations.

• Building a robust platform for the product expansion into the Railway & Defence Industry by way rapid prototyping & increase the speed of New product development

• Successful Prototyping of some key components for the New Energy Mobility sphere to ensure the long-term vision of building strong capabilities in Fuel Agnostic solutions.

• Investigating new heat treatment methods to enhance the strength and fatigue resistance of our products.

QUALITY ASSURANCE

We maintain an integrated system to standardise manufacturing processes and ensure strict adherence to quality parameters. Minimising defects through quality management tools has not only helped us grow our continuously but has also helped customer trust.

All our manufacturing facilities are ISO certified for quality, environment, health, and safety. We have implemented six sigma, quality check mechanism and effect analysis, along with other quality tools to easily identify defects and improve processes across various disciplines. With the aim to become a zero-defect organisation, we are developing training and development programmes to set stringent safety standards and minimises deviation from norms.

The core focus of our company centers around delivering excellence in quality, service, and unwavering commitment. Our relentless dedication lies in consistently exceeding the expectations, adhering to specifications, and fulfilling the unique requirements of our esteemed customers. This dedication drives us to uphold these principles across all our operations, ensuring unwavering stability in both quality and service. As a result, our ultimate goal is to achieve nothing short of complete customer satisfaction.

FINANCE REVIEW

Consolidated financial Performance

I. Total Revenue: During the Financial Year 2022-23, the total revenue of the Company is increased by 15% from 29,460.54 Lakhs to 33,928.48 Lakhs as compared to the previous Financial Year 2021-22. The revenue has increased mainly on account of the expansion of our product range and a rising demand for our key offerings across diverse industries.

II. Cost of material consumed: During the year, cost of material consumed (including a change in inventory has decreased by 7% from 22,027.09 Lakhs in FY 2021-22 to 22,679.74 Lakhs in current FY 2022-23. Decrease in cost of material consumed was largely on account of a decrease in commodity price and better negotiations with the vendors.

III. Employee benefits expenses: During the year under review, the Employee benefits expenses increased by 52% from 523.63 Lakhs to 797.78 Lakhs as compared to the previous Financial Year. The key reason for the increase is increase if workforce and annual increments.

IV. finance Cost: The finance cost increased by 101% to 1,053.16 Lakhs in FY 2022-23 from 523.37 Lakhs as compared to the previous FY 2021-22 mainly owing to the increase in both interest rates and the amount of bank borrowings.

V. other Expenses: Other expenses increased by 79% from 2,352.04 Lakhs to 4,208.61 Lakhs as compared to the previous FY 2021-22 mainly on account of increase in allowance for expected credit loss and loss on account of foreign exchange fluctuations.

VI. Net Profit after tax: During the year, we recorded our highest-ever profit of 3,891.29 Lakhs as compared to a net profit of 2,984.43 Lakhs in the previous FY 2021-22 on account of improved operational margins and various cost reduction initiatives undertaken by the company.

VII. Non-Current Liabilities: The non-current liabilities have increased by 44% from 870.68 Lakhs to 1,253.14 Lakhs as compared to the previous FY 2021-22 owing to increase in bank borrowings.

VIII. current Liabilities: The current liabilities have increased by 37% from 11,709.96 Lakhs to 16,059.56 Lakhs as compared to the previous FY 2021-22.

IX. Non-Current Assets: The non-current assets have increased by 44% from 4,981.71 Lakhs to 7,189.67 Lakhs as compared to the previous FY 2021-22 on account of addition to Property Plant and Equipments and Capital advance given to vendors.

X. Current Assets: The current assets have increased by 27% from 23,461.67 Lakhs to 29,886.03 Lakhs as compared to the previous FY 2021-22.

Export business overview

Revenue contribution from the domestic market stood at 12% while 88% came in from exports. The Company witnessed robust demand from key end-user industries. Steady demand in key export geographies resulted in higher export revenues.

Domestic revenues for FY23 stood at 3,766.64 Lakhs, compared to 1,391.33 Lakhs in FY22.

Revenue contribution from exports stood at 28,897.25 Lakhs, up by 6.18% compared to 27,216.59 Lakhs in the previous financial year.

Steady revival in economic activity, combined with cost excellence initiatives undertaken by the Company, helped increase market share in the international markets.

Details of Key Financial Ratios:

In compliance with the requirement of the listing regulations, the key financial ratios were examined and the ratios with significant changes of 25% or more as compared to the immediately previous financial year have been provided hereunder along with the explanation for the changes, if any.

FY 2022-23 FY 2021-22 reason for significant change, if any
Inventory Turnover Ratio (in days) 43 39 Inventory days increased on account of the increase in inventory.
Interest Coverage Ratio (times) 7.45 4.15 Ratio improved due to an increase in profitability.
Current Ratio (times) 1.86 2.00 Current ratio improved due to better working capital management.
Debt-Equity Ratio (times) 0.26 0.29 Ratio improved due to an increase in profitability.
Net Profit Margin 11.91% 10.43% improved operational margins and various cost reduction initiatives undertaken by the company.
Return on Net Worth (RoNW) 20% 19% Ratio improved due to an increase in profitability.

RISK MANAGEMENT

A thorough risk-management framework allows us to pre-emptively monitor risks emanating from the internal and external environment. As a result, we have been able to consistently create value for all our stakeholders, despite industry cycles and economic headwinds.

Our risk management process

Our risk mitigation plan

The Board takes the following steps as a part of its risk management and mitigation plan:

• Defines the roles and responsibilities of the Risk Management Committee

• Participates in major decisions affecting the organizations risk profile

• Integrates risk-management reporting with the Boards overall reporting framework

The Company functions under a well-defined organization structure. Flow of information is well defined to avoid any conflict or communication gap between two or more departments. Second-level positions are created in each department to continue the work without any interruption in case of nonavailability of functional heads. Proper policies are followed in relation to maintenance of inventories of raw materials, consumables, key spares and tools to ensure their availability for planned production programmes. Effective steps are being taken to reduce the cost of production on a continuing basis, taking various changing scenarios in the market.

OUR ESG FOCUS AREAS

BFIL aims to substantially lower its absolute greenhouse gas emissions stemming from its operations, ultimately striving to achieve Carbon Neutrality by the year 2030. This positive change can be attributed to enhanced productivity and efficiency measures.

Furthermore, BFIL is committed to a significant 30% reduction in absolute water consumption between 2021 and 2030. This water conservation goal aligns with the companys dedication to responsible resource management.

As part of its comprehensive environmental policy, BFIL is actively implementing a sustainable waste management system. This initiative is geared towards minimizing the companys environmental impact and optimizing resource utilization. Through the integration of energy-saving techniques and efficiency-enhancing measures, BFIL aims to not only reduce its environmental footprint but also make a positive contribution to its sustainability objectives.

HUMAN RESOURCE

Our businesss core asset is our intellectual capital, and the satisfaction of our employees greatly influences our success. BFIL believes that our people are the driving force behind the company, and our prosperity hinges on their growth. We are dedicated to fostering personal development in a secure and inviting environment, while valuing diversity and individual contributions. Our ability to identify, onboard, and retain talent has fueled our expansion. Human capital plays a pivotal role in shaping our Companys future and ensuring smooth operations.

Collaborative teamwork defines our strength as a group. Training and skill development are vital for individual and organizational growth. Through training sessions, we empower our workforce to reach their full potential. Our transparent communication structure encourages employees to share their views with management. These efforts enhance recruitment and retention of top talent, nurturing a committed and satisfied human capital base. Effective HR initiatives and people management practices have been implemented, and BFILs workforce has exceeded 700 employees as of March 31, 2023 (includes workforce on contract basis).

HEALTH AND SAFETY MEASURES

The well-being and safety of our personnel is our utmost priority. We understand that a secure and healthy work environment is not only crucial for our employees welfare but also vital for the sustainable success of our Company. With this in mind, we have established comprehensive health and safety policies and procedures, accompanied by regular training and awareness programs for all our staff. We actively strive to identify and minimize any potential occupational health and safety risks across our operations. By placing a strong emphasis on occupational health and safety, we are cultivating a safety- centric culture that enhances the well-being of our employees.

To effectively identify and address health and safety hazards while elevating our performance in these areas, we have implemented a range of safety measures throughout our corporate office and manufacturing facilities.

INTERNAL CONTROL SYSTEMS AND ADEQUACY

The Company has established Internal Financial Controls tailored to its operations size, scale, and complexity. The Board of Directors ensures their adequacy and effectiveness. These controls aim to ensure accurate financial and operational information, legal compliance, asset protection, proper transaction authorization, and policy adherence. The Companys internal financial control framework aligns with the Companies Act, 2013, and suits its size and operations. Standard Operating

Procedures guide functions, overseen by business heads for compliance.

The Internal Audit function is defined, reporting directly to the Audit Committees Chairman for objectivity. Annually, the team creates an approved audit plan based on business risk. The Audit Committee monitors its compliance, effectiveness, and sufficiency in evaluating internal control systems, operating and accounting procedures, and policies. Corrective actions are taken based on Internal Audit reports to enhance controls.

CAUTIONARY STATEMENT

The MDA section contains forward-looking statements concerning the Companys future prospects. These statements entail various known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could significantly impact actual results. Additionally, the Company faces unforeseen and ever-evolving risks in its operating environment. The reports assumptions rely on both internal and external information, forming the basis for specific facts and figures. However, it is crucial to acknowledge that these assumptions may change over time, leading to corresponding adjustments in the estimates. These forward-looking statements represent the Companys current intentions, beliefs, or expectations and are applicable as of their original date. Please note that the Company is under no obligation to revise or update these forward-looking statements, regardless of any new information, future events, or changing circumstances.