transchem Management discussions


ECONOMIC AND INDUSTRY OVERVIEW GLOBAL ECONOMY

Prospects for a robust global economic recovery remain dim amid stubborn inflation, rising interest rates and heightened uncertainties. The world economy faces the risk of a prolonged period of low growth as the lingering effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, the ever-worsening impact of climate change and macroeconomic structural challenges remain unaddressed, according to the World Economic Situation and Prospects as of mid-2023.

The world economy is now projected to grow by 2.3 per cent in 2023 and 2.5 per cent in 2024 a slight uptick in the global growth forecast for 2023. In the United States, resilient household spending has prompted upward revision of growth forecast to 1.1 per cent in 2023.The European Unions economy—driven by lower gas prices and robust consumer spending—is now projected to grow by 0.9 per cent. Chinas growth this year is now forecast at 5.3 per cent as a result of COVID-19 related restrictions being lifted.

But a sombre picture still remains. Despite this uptick, the growth rate is still well below the average growth rate in the two decades before the pandemic of 3.1 per cent. For many developing countries, growth prospects have deteriorated amid tightening credit conditions and rising costs of external financing.

Global trade remains under pressure due to geopolitical tensions, weakening global demand and tighter monetary and fiscal policies.

Inflation remains stubbornly high in many countries

Inflation has remained stubbornly high in many countries even as international food and energy prices fell substantially in the past year. Average global inflation is projected at 5.2 per cent in 2023, down from a two-decade high of 7.5 per cent in 2022. While upward price pressures are expected to slowly ease, inflation in many countries will remain well above targets. Amid local supply disruptions, high import costs and market imperfections, domestic food inflation is still elevated in most developing countries, disproportionately affecting the poor, especially women and children.

Strong labour markets in developed economies are a bright spot

Labour markets in the United States, Europe and other developed economies have continued to show remarkable resilience, contributing to sustained robust household spending. Amid widespread worker shortages and low unemployment rates, wage gains have picked up.

Employment rates are at record high levels in many developed economies with gender gaps narrowing since the pandemic.

Global spillovers from monetary tightening demand enhanced policy cooperation

Exceptionally strong labour markets are, however, making it harder to tame inflation. The Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank and central banks in other developed countries have continued to raise interest rates in 2023, but at a slower pace than last year,which saw the most aggressive monetary tightening in decades. The banking sector turmoil has added new uncertainties and challenges for monetary policy.

Although swift and decisive actions by regulators helped contain financial stability risks, vulnerabilities in the global financial architecture and the measures taken to contain them will likely dampen credit and investment growth going forward.

Rapid tightening of global financial conditions poses major risks for many developing countries and economies in transition. Rising interest rates, coupled with a shift in developed economies from quantitative easing to quantitative tightening, have exacerbated debt vulnerabilities and further constrained fiscal space. Current policy challenges call for stronger cross-border policy cooperation and concerted global actions to prevent many developing economies from becoming trapped in a vicious cycle of low growth and high debt.

INDIAN ECONOMY

Asian Development Bank (ADB) projects growth in Indias gross domestic product (GDP) to moderate to 6.4% in fiscal year (FY) 2023 ending on March 31, 2024 and rise to 6.7% in FY2024 ending on March 31, 2025, driven by private consumption and private investment on the back of government policies to improve transport infrastructure, logistics, and the business ecosystem.

The growth moderation for India in FY2023 is premised on an ongoing global economic slowdown, tight monetary conditions, and elevated oil prices. However, FY2024 is expected to see faster growth in investment, thanks to supportive government policies and sound macroeconomic fundamentals, lower non performing loans in banks, and significant corporate deleveraging that will enhance bank lending.

“Despite the global slowdown, Indias economic growth rate is stronger than in many peer economies and reflects relatively robust domestic consumption and lesser dependence on global demand. The Government of Indias strong infrastructure push under the Prime Ministers Gati Shakti (National Master Plan for Multimodal Connectivity) initiative, logistics development, and industrial corridor development will contribute significantly to raising industrial competitiveness and boosting future growth.”

Improving labor market conditions and consumer confidence will drive growth in private consumption. The central governments commitment to significantly increase capital expenditure in FY2023 will also spur demand. Helped by recovery in tourism and other contact services, the services sector will grow strongly in FY2023 and FY2024 as the impact of COVID-19 wanes. However, manufacturing growth in FY2023 is expected to be tamped down by a weak global demand, but it will likely improve in FY2024. Recent announcements to boost agricultural productivity, such as setting up digital services for crop planning and support for agriculture startups will be important in sustaining agriculture growth in the medium term.

Inflation will likely moderate to 5% in FY2023, assuming moderation in oil and food prices, and slow further to 4.5% in FY2024 as inflationary pressures subside. In tandem, monetary policy in FY2023 is expected to be tighter as core inflation persists, while becoming more accommodative in FY2024. The current account deficit is projected to decline to 2.2% of GDP in FY2023 and 1.9% in FY2024. Growth in goods exports is forecast to moderate in FY2023 before improving in 2024, as production-linked incentive schemes and efforts to improve the business environment, such as streamlined labor regulations, improve performance in electronics and other areas of manufacturing growth. Services exports growth has been robust and is expected to continue to strengthen Indias overall balance of payments position.

For India, it said the positive effect of high public and private investment and consumption as well as rising exports was partly offset by higher energy import which deepened the current account deficit and ate up reserves.

The Reserve Bank of India started tightening its policy stance to limit damage caused by foreign capital outflows, a weakening currency and inflation risks. Higher financing cost slightly dented buoyant economic activity, and overleveraging in the corporate sector may become a factor of financial instability.

However, geopolitical tensions and weather-related shocks are key risks to Indias economic outlook.

OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE, OPPORTUNITIES, THREATS, RISKS AND CONCERNS

The Company was in the business of Mushroom production and operated a 100% Export Oriented Unit from its manufacturing plant situated at Gat No. 379, Village Bebadohol, Pune. Due to change in international horticulture scenario the mushroom plant of the Company was non-operational since several years. During the financial year 2020- 21,the said manufacturing plant has been monetized by your Company after receiving all applicable legal consents and approvals.

The management of the Company is looking forward for new opportunities to utilize the funds of the Company with a continuous impetus to maximize the value for its shareholders, provide benefits to other stakeholders and to maintain an optimum capital structure with proper care by mitigating the risks. The Company has temporarily invested the funds in short term treasury operations.

FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE

A brief synopsis on the financial information of the Company for the FY 2022-23 and FY 2021-22 is given below:

in Lakhs

FY 2022-23 FY 2021-22
Total Equity ? 6,584.22 ? 6,630.04
Total Revenue ? 424.45 ? 666.05
Earnings Per Share ? 1.01 ? 2.34

INTERNAL CONTROL SYSTEMS

The Company has effectively and efficiently laid down policies, guidelines and procedures keeping in mind the nature, size and complexity of Companys business objectives. The Company maintains proper and adequate system of internal controls with well-defined policies, systems, process guidelines and operating procedures. The Company positively ensures strict adherence to various procedures, laws, rules and statutes. All transactions are recorded and reported in accordance with the applicable Indian Accounting Standards and within the terms of accounting policies.

The Company has also ensured the periodical Internal Audit by an independent auditor, whose report is submitted to the Audit Committee and Board of Directors for consideration. During the Audit Process no material discrepancies have been reported by the Internal Auditor.

The Audit Committee is responsible to ensure the monitoring of Internal Control System and oversees the various financial transactions on a regular basis and deviations, if any, are promptly reported to the Senior Management to ensure normalcy is established at the earliest, though, no such deviations had been reported by the Audit Committee during the financial year 2022-23.

HUMAN RESOURCES

The Company has adequate trained professionals to manage the affairs of the Company in the most efficient and prudent manner.

The Company aims to develop, motivate and retain diverse talent. The Company seeks to maximize the potential of every employee by creating a purpose-driven, inclusive, stimulating, and rewarding work environment.

The Company has been broadening and deepening employees relationships by continually looking for new opportunities and newer areas in the businesses to add value, proactively investing in building newer capabilities and reskilling the workforce.

The Company appreciates the participation and contribution of employees, commitment, effective deployment of knowledge and expertise, integrity and maintenance of confidentiality and looks forward for their continuous participation in years to come.

CAUTIONARY STATEMENT

Statements made in the Management Discussion and Analysis describing the Companys projection, estimates and expectations may be interpreted as “forward looking statements” within the meaning of applicable securities, laws and regulations. The Company assumes no responsibility to publicly amend, modify or revise any forward looking statements on the basis of any subsequent information or events.