sindhu trade links ltd Management discussions


Economic Developments and Industry View

Over the course of the past year, the global economy has experienced numerous challenges in the form of geopolitical tension, rising interest rates, high inflation levels. Alongside, the consequences of a sudden surge in COVID-19 cases in China also impacted growth projections.

As per the latest estimates by the International Monetary Fund, the global GDP growth rate is estimated to be 4.5% in CY23 showing resilience towards the recessionary fears. On account of these headwinds, supply chain disruptions were also rampant. Moreover, due to geopolitical conflicts, crude oil prices soared, global trade was impacted and inflationary pressures worsened. To rein in inflation, Central Banks across the world, including the US Federal Reserve, responded with synchronised rate hikes.

A stronger boost from pent-up demand in numerous economies or a fall in inflation is expected in the course of 2023. The emerging and developing economies of the world are likely to play a major role in accelerating global economic growth. Another silver lining is the fact that global inflation is likely to decline from *8.8% in C.Y. 2022 to 6.6% in C.Y. 2023 and 4.3% in C.Y. 2024

Indian economic overview

The Indian economy remained remarkably resilient to global challenges in F.Y. 2022-23. This is evident by robust domestic demand and upbeat investment activity. Sectoral analysis reveals that growth was driven by robust construction activity aided by increased infrastructure investment both by the Central Government and State Governments, which paved the way for large-scale employment opportunities. Building on the gains of first half of the fiscal year, the second half continued to see a gradual upswing in demand and economic activity. While post-covid, private investment recovery is still at a nascent stage, there are early signals, which indicate that India is poised for a stronger investment upcycle in both manufacturing and services sectors. The number of private investment projects under implementation in the manufacturing sector is also steadily growing.

Outlook

Despite high inflation, the Indian economy has achieved GDP growth of 7.2% in F.Y. 2022-23. Sustained growth in GST collections, electronic toll collections and the volume of e-way bills generated indicate encouraging momentum. Indices of manufacturing activity such as the PMI-manufacturing, the Index of Industrial Production and the Index of Core Industries (ICI) demonstrate that manufacturing activity continues to grow steadily. Indicators of the services sector (UPI transactions, high credit demand) also point towards sustained expansion.

To drive the virtuous cycle of infrastructure investment and job creation, the Union Government has considerably increased the capital expenditure outlay to H10 Lakh Crore, which is 33% higher than the previous year. The increase in infrastructure spending, especially in tier II and tier III cities is anticipated to have a substantial effect on the Indian economy, generating new employment opportunities and stimulating growth.

Overall, the demand conditions in India remain conducive to supporting economic activity. India faces the coming financial year with confidence imparted by underlying and overall macroeconomic stability, while being on the alert against geo-political and geo-economic risks.

Industry overview

For any economy, the logistics sector, encompassing transportation, warehousing, cargo consolidation and border clearances, would form the backbone of its trade and associated economic activity and growth of key sectors. The cost of trading whether by sea, land or air forms a critical component of the final price of a commodity. An efficient logistics system reduces this cost, providing a competitive edge and propelling economic activity. Growth of the Logistics business is directly correlated with economic activity. With the Indian economy on a revival path, we believe Indias Logistics sector is poised for accelerated growth. Infrastructural bottlenecks that have stifled growth of the sector and have promoted inefficiency are being addressed. Looking at the future growth prospects; India is currently considered the most attractive in the world and might emerge as a major logistics hub in the future. With this forward looking attitude and a promise of growth and improvements, the service oriented logistics industry is all set to expand beyond the horizons.

India offers huge opportunity for investment. The Central and State Governments are focusing on the development and inclusive growth. With several policy measures announced by the Government coupled with seamless execution, focus on process improvement, providing end to end solutions to customer and quality of operation, the company continues to delivery in its focus areas of logistics, trading in lubricants and investment and finance activities.

Outlook on Opportunities

Logistics is one of the most important basic industries for any economic growth as it is the management of the flow of products from the place of their origin to the place of their consumption, thus the industry also involves the integration of material handling, warehousing, packaging, transportation, shipping security, inventory management, supply chain management, procurement, and customs service.

The Logistics sector in INDIA has today become an area of priority. One prime reason for the same stems from the reason that years of high growth in the Indian economy have resulted in a significant rise in the volume of freight traffic moved. The large volume of traffic has provided for growth opportunities in all facets of logistics including transportation, warehousing, freight forwarding, express cargo delivery, container services, shipping services etc. The growth path also suggests that increase demand is being placed on the sector to provide the solutions required for supporting future growth. Strength of the logistic sector is likely to be one of the key determinants of the pace of the future growth of the economy.

The logistics industry is a dynamic component in the countrys growth wheel which has also recently witnessed the effect of demonetisation followed by remonetisation (issue of new currency notes). This sudden shift has significantly disrupted the overall business operations of logistics, automobile, FMCG, pharmaceuticals and agriculture sectors. Though this move by the government gave a temporary jolt but, in the long run, there will be an increment in the overall business coming in from the international players.

Digitization is a new reality which is critical to transforming India going forward. It will help to bring better regulation and governance in the industry.

Where the industry is now moving towards cashless mode, being future ready has always encouraged business operations through cashless mode. With this futuristic vision, it has successfully carried out 55% of its business transactions through the digital mode of payment.

The primary reason for growth in the finance and investment industry can be attributed to increasing trade reforms in Government policy, increased Government spending on finance and investment sector and rise in domestic consumption. The Company has successfully implemented the growth strategy and expansion. The changes in the political and social conditions, the monetary and interest rate policies of India and other countries have also helped in maintaining the momentum in the finance activities of the Company.

Outlook for Threats, risks and concern

We operate in a very competitive industry, with many unorganized players. Many segments within the logistics industry are highly commoditized and have low barriers to entry, leading to a market with a very high degree of fragmentation. In the recent past, startups and international logistics companies have entered the India market. Competition from these segments is likely to increase. We will need to stay ahead of our competition through consistent investments in modern technology and focus on service quality and value-added services. The cyclical fluctuations due to economic recession, downturn in business cycle, interest rate fluctuations and other economic factors beyond control has posed a serious threat on the Company policies in finance sector. Newer regulatory updates pose a constant challenge for smooth operations of the Company. Higher cost of funds might lead to reduced bottom-line for the Company. Like in most other industries, opportunity brings itself competition. The different levels of competition in each segment have led to the price cutting as well.

The Indian logistics industry is fragmented and under developed. Logistics costs are relatively high due to poor physical and communication infrastructure; high dwell time at ports; low levels of containerization; and a multi-layered tax system contributing to significant delays at border crossing points.

Human Resources/Industrial Relations

The Company has continuously strive to attract and retain the best talent from the local markets; clearly define their roles and responsibilities; include them into robust performance management systems; create an inspiring and rewarding work environment; engage them into an inclusive work place; impart training and create development opportunities for increasing employee knowledge and efficiency to make them future ready; and create career opportunities within.

The Company is committed in ensuring that the work environment at all its locations is conducive to fair, safe and harmonious relations between employees. It strongly believes in maintaining the dignity of all its employees, irrespective of their gender or seniority. Discrimination and harassment of any type are strictly prohibited. The Company ensures that no employee is disadvantaged by way of gender discrimination.

Segment Wise or product wise performance

Due to the timely execution of the services and efficiency in implementation of policies of the Company, there has been the growth in all the sectors of the company i.e. trading in lubricants, transportation and finance and investment activities from last years performance. With superior methodologies and improved process and systems, the Company is well positioned to lead a high growth path. The details can be extracted from the notes to accounts.

Cautionary statement

Certain statements in the Management Discussion and Analysis describing the Companys objectives, predictions may be “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of applicable laws and regulations. Actual results may vary significantly from the forward looking statements contained in this document due to various risks and uncertainties. These risks and uncertainties include the effect of economic and political conditions in India, volatility in interest rates, new regulations and Government policies that may impact the Companys business as well as its ability to implement the strategy. The Company does not undertake to update these statements.

(Saurabh Sindhu) (Rudra Sen Sindhu)
Director Director
Din no.-02291158 Din no.-00006999