el forge ltd share price Management discussions


MANAGEMENT DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS REPORT

Overview

The objective of this report is to convey the Managements perspective on the external environment and forging industry, as well as strategy, operating and financial performance, material developments in human resources and industrial relations, risks and opportunities and internal control systems and their adequacy in the Company during the FY 2022-23.

This should be read in conjunctions with the Companys financial statements, the schedules and notes thereto and other information included elsewhere in the Integrated Report. The Companys financial statements have been prepared in accordance with Indian Accounting Standards (‘Ind AS)complying with the requirements of the Companies Act, 20213 as amended and regulations issued by the Securities and Exchange Board of India (‘SEBI) from time to time Global Economy

During the calender year 2022,strong private consumption and investment, greater fiscal support, improved pent-up demand and consumer spending, among others, contributed to the favourable growth globally. On the supply side, easing bottlenecks and lower transportation costs reduced pressures on input prices and allowed for a rebound in previously constrained sectors. Energy markets have adjusted faster than expected to the shock from Russias invasion of Ukraine.

Global economy is expected to pick up modestly in CY 2023 and 2024 with subsiding inflation and gradual recovery from the effects of Russia-Ukraine crisis. The emerging economies will dominate global economic activity in CY 2023 with their growth estimated to rise modestly from 3.9% in CY 2022 to 4% in CY 2023 and 4.2% in CY 2024. Growth in China is expected to pick up with the reopening of economic activities and rapidly improving mobility in CY 2023. (Source: IMF World Economic Outlook, January 2023).

Indian Economy

The Indian economy has seen a recovery after the damaging impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the global slowdown, geopolitical tensions, stubbornly high inflation, and rising interest rates have posed challenges to faster expansion. As per provisional estimates, India recorded a GDP growth of 7.2% in FY 2022-23 as against 9.1% in FY 2021-22. Growth is estimated to decline to 6.1% in FY 2023-24 before picking up to 6.8% in FY 2024-25 with resilient domestic demand despite external headwinds.

India has shown remarkable resilience to global headwinds in FY 2022-23 and remains in a sweet spot owing to its strong macroeconomic fundamentals. Government initiatives such as Make in India, production-linked incentive (PLI) scheme are expected to boost manufacturing and accelerate economic growth. Along with this, efforts by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) have led to an improvement in the health of the financial sector and sharply accelerated credit growth driving higher tax collections in a moderate inflation environment. High-frequency indicators such as Goods & Services Tax (GST) collections, manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), pick-up in government spending and private capital expenditure -all indicate healthy economic momentum (Source: IMF World Economic Outlook January 2023,Union Budget 2023-24)

Outlook

The outlook of the Indian economy remains robust. Measures announced in the Union Budget for the next fiscal such as increased capex, focus on infrastructure development, boost to green economy and initiatives for strengthening financial markets are expected to promote job creation and spur economic growth. However, there remains considerable uncertainty due to the challenging global economic conditions. (Source: IMF World Economic Outlook January 2023, Union Budget 2023 -24)

Indian Auto Industry

The governments strong push for domestic manufacturing has aided the growth of the Indian automobile industry in FY 2022-23. The year gone by saw India becoming the 3rd largest automobile market after China and US. The Indian automotive industry is expected to sustain its growth momentum in 2023 despite the challenges such as escalating input costs, increased cost of ownership due to regulatory issues and higher inflation which can result in price hike of vehicles.

Factors such as improved consumer demand, wide availability of credit and financing options, population growth, and integration of wireless technology in cars and popularity of EVs are likely to fuel the growth of the automotive industry. Increased capital outlay of 10 lakh crore on infrastructure development are also expected to create opportunities for the automotive industry. Government policies such as Make in India, Production Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme, Foreign Trade Policy (FTP) and schemes such as Advance Authorization, and Export Promotion Capital Goods Scheme are expected to boost manufacturing and export of automobiles.

Opportunities & Threats

The government has developed numerous programs to help manufacturers, such as the Production Linked Incentive (PLI) Scheme, which is a cornerstone of the governments endeavour to achieve an Atmanirbhar Bharat.

• The schemes goal is to stimulate domestic manufacturing in strategic and emerging areas, improve the cost competitiveness of domestically-made goods, and increase local capacity and economies of scale

• Domestic producers are given a preference in the defence sector which will provide new opportunities to the industry .

A faster shift to electric vehicles, will have a impact on our business

• Several new companies are entering the market, and existing rivals in adjacent product categories are also increasing their offerings. Under utilisation of the installed capacity resulting in increasing fixed costs of the company, growing cost of key raw materials may impact revenues and profitability of the company.

Risk Management

The Company has a well-devised risk management process aimed at identifying, prioritizing, mitigating and monitoring risks. The key risks impacting its business include economic, foreign exchange, raw material, technology, funding, talent and cyber security risks. The Company has undertaken measures to mitigate these risks.

Commodity Price Risk

The Steel prices have increased substantially during the year and continues to be on the upward spiral. The increases are compensated from customers. Other input costs are also increasing and the company deals with obtaining compensation from customers on a case to case basis.

Financial and Operational Performance:

The Company has undertaken numerous operational initiatives to improve performance and reduce material loss. Undertaken impactful actions to make its quality control process robust and reduce cost of production. We have implemented strict control on raw material purchase and implemented productivity measures, both manpower and machine productivity. Also a number of cost control and cost management measures were initiated during the periods of slowdown this year to improve the financial performance.

Key Financial Ratios:

In accordance with the SEBI (listing Obligations and Disclosure Requirements) Amendment Regulations, 2018 the Company is required to give details of significant changes (changes of 25% or more as compared to immediately previous financial year) in financial ratios are as follows.

Particulars 2022-23 2021-22 Reasons for deviation
Inventory Turnover Ratio 28.53 25.20 Improvement in Turnover change in Collection pattern
Trade Receivables Turnover Ratio 20.25 24.04
Trade Payable Turnover Ratio 10.11 8.11 Improvement in Payments

Manpower Development in HR and Industrial relations:

Over the years Company has maintained consistency in its efforts in training and developing its human resource with a view to face the competition. Industrial relations were in order throughout the year and there was satisfactory co-operation between the management and the workers in working towards the overall objectives of the Company.

Financial Review

Particulars 2022-23 2021-22 Increase / (Decrease) in%
Income
Revenue from operations (incl.excise duty ) 5846.31 4033.62 44.94%
Land Income - -
Other income 4.99 16.75 -70.21%
Total 5851.30 4050.37 44.46%
Expenditure
Cost of materials and services consumed 3216.78 2218.94 44.97%
Changes in inventories of finished goods, stock-intrade and work-in-progress -56.91 -30..72 85.25%
Total 3159.87 2188.22 44.40%
Cost of Land Sold - -
Employee benefits expense 965.45 750.51 28.64%
Finance costs 39.77 43.28 -8.11%
Depreciation and amortisation expense 488.71 617.30 -20.83%
Other expenses 1335.01 991.08 34.70%
Total 5988.81 4590.39 30.46%
Profit/ (Loss) before exchange gain/ (loss) on swap contracts, exceptional items and tax -137.52 -540.01 -74.53%
Exchange gain/ (loss) on swap contracts 0.00 0.00 0.00
Profit/ (Loss) before exceptional items and tax -137.52 -540.01 -74.53%
Exceptional Items [ Income / (Expenses) ] 93.15 143.16 -34.93%
Profit/ (Loss) before extraordinary items and tax -230.66 -396.85 -41.88%
Extraordinary Items 0.00 0.00 0.00
Profit/ (Loss) before tax -230.66 -396.85 -41.88%
Tax expense:
(a) Current tax expense 0.00 0.00 0
(b) (Less): MAT credit 0.00 0.00 0
(c) Short / (Excess) provision for tax relating to prior years 0.00 0.00 0
(d) Net current tax expense 0.00 0.00 0
(e) Deferred Tax 0.00 0.00 0
Tax expense 0.00 0.00 0
Profit for the year from continuing operations -230.66 -396.85 -41.88%
Basic Earning per Share -1.13 -1.95
Diluted Earning per share -1.13 -1.95
Face Value (Rs.). 10.00 10.00

Revenues

The revenues are from the sale of forgings. During the year there has not been any income from sale of land.

Costs

Material Costs :The material cost for the year remained the same at 55% of the sale value as in the previous year.

Staff Cost : There is a marginal increase in the staff costs in order to maintain and retain talent with the company.

Other expenses :The management has made constant efforts to bring down costs and as a result other costs have also dropped during the year compared to the previous year.

Depreciation :

The depreciation has been charged according to the provisions of the companies Act, 2013.

Summary of Balance Sheet is given below :

Particulars As At 31/03/2023 As At 31/03/2023 Inc/(Dec) %
Source of Funds
Share holders Funds -6080.44 -5849.78 3.94%
Non current Liabilities 8736.13 8736.13 0.00%
Current Liabilities 1056.05 804.40 31.28%
Total 3711.74 3690.75
Application of Funds
Fixed Assets 2347.42 2656.23 -11.63%
Investments 0.01 0.01 0.00%
Loans & other Non Current Assets 86.66 68.61 26.31%
Current Assets 1277.65 965.90 32.28%
Total 3711.74 3690.75

Summary of Cash Flow Sheet is given below :

Particulars 2022-23 2021-22
Profit / Loss (-) for the year 230.66 (396.85)
Operating profit before working capital changes 296.35 98.57
Cash generated from operations (334.04) (1.58)
Income tax paid 0.00 0.00
Net cash flow from operating activities [A] (334.04) (1.58)
Net cash flow from investing activities [B] (203.93) 100.95
Net cash flow (used in) financing activities [C] (39.77) (43.28)
Net cash Inflow [A+B+C] 90.33 59.24
Opening cash and cash equivalents 142.21 82.97
Closing cash and cash equivalents* 232.54 142.21

Human Resources

El Forge has always been a people driven Company and its employees remain its most valuable asset. Our employees have always extended full cooperation and support in good as well as difficult times, and have unstintingly helped to deliver on all our commitments. The Human Resources practices at your Company empowers the employees through greater knowledge, opportunity, responsibility, accountability and reward. Emphasis is laid on identifying & nurturing talent. Continuous improvement techniques are followed for betterment of the skills in the organisation by implementing TQM & other training programs and there exists an excellent system of assessment of the employees based on the sound HR practices.

During the year under review, there were 152 employees on the rolls of the company.

Foreign Exchange Risk

The Company is exposed to foreign exchange risks on account of its exports. Your Company has formulated a hedging strategy for foreign currency exposures.

Internal control systems and their adequacy

The Company has an internal control system that is geared towards achieving efficiency in operations, optimum utilisation of resources effective monitoring and applicable laws and regulations.

The have in place adequate compliance with all company a proper and term an operations provide reason of internal controls commensurate with its size nature to enable assurance that all assets are safeguarded, transactions are authorised, recorded and stated properly and applicable statues and corporate policies are duly complied with.

Cautionary Statement

The information and opinion expressed in this Report may contain certain forward-looking statements, which the management believes are true to the best of its knowledge at the time of its preparation.

The management shall not be liable for any loss, which may arise as a result of any action taken on the basis of the information contained herein. Prior written permission of the Company may be obtained for furnishing this information to any person.