balaji telefilms ltd share price Management discussions


IndIAn economy

Over the past two years, scientists and physicians have amazed the world with their unflinching efforts and support for humanity in the war against Covid-19. In this fight against an unseen enemy, humans, backed by the entire medical fraternity, put up a brave fight.with the relaxation of mobility, travel and social distancing restrictions and the declining number of new infections, the Indian economy moved into a gradual recovery mode showing steady and positive signs of revival in 2021-22.

Indias gross domestic product (GDP) reflected at 8.7% in 2021-22. several initiatives like the adoption of an accommodative stance by the RBI, relief packages by the Government and the introduction of the PLI (Production Linked Incentive) scheme aided the growth of the Indian economy, bringing it on its path of revival post lockdown. During the first quarter of 2021-22, the Indian economy registered a growth of 20.1%, led by a lower base effect. However,inthefirsthalf of 2021, the second wave of the pandemic proved to be much more devastating than the first one. But despite the country being in the grips of a more severe second wave of the pandemic, factors like a faster and wider vaccination drive, limited lockdowns and robust demand from consumers helped maintain growth. As a result, the economy registered 8.4% in the second quarter.

During the second half of 2021-22, the Indian economy faced major issues like coal supply scarcity, energy crisis, and growing inflation. Thereby denting the manufacturing industry. Alongside, trade, hotels, transport, communication and services related to broadcasting also remained a bit sluggish.

As we moved ahead, the Russian invasion of ukraine pushed crude oil prices to a 14-year high. The cascading effect of this conflict is being witnessed in the overall growing inflation. However, with Russia-ukraine being one of the worlds largest producers of wheat, agricultural products and sunflower oil, this event boosted the demand for the Indian agricultural sector as Russia-ukraine stalled their manufacturing activity. Thus, leading to the circulation of money in the rural economy and increasing disposable income at the household level. outlook

The Indian economy looks positive and seems promising in terms of its growth prospects. The overall macroeconomic stability and growing consumer demand indicators suggest that the economy is well-positioned to take on future challenges. The RBI has projected the Indian economy to grow by 7.2% in 2022-23. This anticipation can be attributed to the unique strategies like robust consumption following a burgeoning population, higher income and employment in both rural and urban segments adopted by the Indian Government. Here again, rising fuel prices and higher inflation, definitely pose the risk of challenges. But despite all the difficulties, India continues to be an attractive space for investors as an alternate manufacturing destination for specific industries: Information Technology, Broadcasting, Manufacturing Industry and the Agricultural sector. And this is what provides hope to the Indian growth story.

(Source: RBI https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/ business/india-business/imf-slashes-indias-gdp-forecast-to-8-2-for-fy23/articleshow/90939753.cms)

Industry overvIew

global media & entertainment (m&e) Industry overview

The M&E industry comprises businesses that produce, distribute and offer ancillary digital services and products for - Motion Pictures, Video & Audio Recordings, Television Programmes and Commercials. It also includes streaming Content, Music, esports, Broadcast, Radio, and Text and Book Publishing Video Games sectors. The industry is backed by a shift in consumer preferences and change in demand supported by dynamic technology, innovation, and intense competition. The past few years have seen the industry showcase a decent performance. It recorded growth of 4.1% between 2016 & 2021 and stood at us$ 2.2 Trillion in 2021. This growth trend is estimated to continue, with the industry touching us$ 2.6 Trillion in 2025, at a growth rate of 4.3%.

when the world was first hit by the Covid-19 pandemic, mediums like TV, movies, web series, and streaming videos became the major sources of entertainment, information and window to the outside world. This led to a massive increase in viewership, which, in turn, played an essential role in increasing the number of players in the M&E industry. The M&E sector has witnessed a sharp recovery since the easing of Covid-19 restrictions in 2021-22 with the reopening of movie theatres and the resumption of travelling. Thereby helping add a positive start to the year. further, changing consumer behaviour and advanced technologies, including broad band providers, network owners, and connected TV manufacturers, play crucial role in accelerating demand. The broadband will be taking steps to simplify and integrate tools across the platforms to improve user experience. further, the global M&E sector ad spending is expected to showcase growth in total spending of us$ 824 Billion in the period 2021-2024 with a CAGR of 6.5%.

subscription trend

segment 2019 2020 2021
Television 468 434 407
Digital 29 44 56
Print 90 68 76
film 183 71 92
Total 770 617 632

Rs in Billion (gross of taxes) I EY estimates

The industry is offering a better consumer experience by implementing a bundling approach where TV and OTT are tying up together. This has led to a marginal increment in subscription trends, with revenues growing from Rs617 Billion in 2020 to Rs632 Billion in 2021. Digitalisation has further opened doors for a variety of integrated offerings to various subscribers gaming, shopping, and several other digital services. The M&E industry has further diversified business and partnerships with third parties, which also include the next-gen digital assets (nfTs, non-fungible tokens). This aims to create a gearwheel to subscribers portfolios, drive new customers to sign up, and build the D2C model to connect directly with the subscribers.

(Source-FICCI Report)

Indias M&E industry recorded a growth rate of 16.4% in 2021-22, backed by technological progress, evolving generational behaviour, and ongoing impacts of the global pandemic. Digital engagement in the industry has demonstrated great growth supported by globalisation, liberalisation, and privatisation, changes in theresultingindustry significant . Digital media has transformed the M&E industry in recent years to a huge extent. A majority of these changes have taken place in studios disseminating marketing content, artists engaging with fans, and consumers interacting with their content.

The industry is witnessing rising consumer spending, a huge scope for media penetration in both urban and rural areas, and changing aspirations and lifestyles. It is marking new geographical regions supported by IPs and branded content, driving further growth. The industry is focusing on targeting new audiences through content, identifying and building new audiences, and adding a subscriber base to enhance the business model.

outlook

Indian m&e sector grew 16.4% in 2021 to reach Rs1,610 Billion

segment 2019 2020 2021 2022e 2024e cAgr 2021-2024
Television 787 685 720 759 826 5%
Digital media 221 235 303 385 537 21%
Print 296 190 227 241 251 3%
Other Gaming 65 79 101 120 153 15%
filmed Entertainment 191 72 93 150 212 32%
Animation and VfX 95 53 83 120 180 29%
Live Events 83 27 32 49 74 32%
Out of Home Media 39 16 20 26 38 25%
Music 15 15 19 21 28 15%
Radio 31 14 16 18 21 9%
Total 1,822 1,386 1,614 1,889 2,320 13%

All figures are gross of taxes( Rs in Billion) for calendar years I EY estimates

Indias M&E sector is flourishing at a good pace and is anticipated to grow 17% in 2022, to reach Rs1.89 Trillion and the smart connect TV is expected to exceed 40 Million by 2025. This will be led by lower penetration of TVs as 30% of households in the country still do not have TV sets and only ~80 Million users are present on OTT platforms. The TV and OTT have turned a point of connection for interactions and film releases. The TV segment remains constant in terms of y-o-y growth and the digital media is positioned second as the growing segment.

(Source-FICCI report) government InItIAtIve

Media and Entertainment is recognised as among the crucial sectors to support the ‘Make in India initiative. Various measures undertaken have been aimed at improving the overall sectoral growth and performance, bringing in more business opportunities. Through these initiatives, the Government also focuses on providing rural residents with similar access to e-services, communication facilities, and digital resources as is accessible to their urban counterparts.

The federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry (fICCI) aids the Media and Entertainment skills Council (MEsC) with financial support through national skill Development Corporations (nsDC) initiatives to foster a skilled workforce. MEsC serves as a single source of information in the Media and Entertainment sector, with specific reference to Indias skill and human resource development.

The Government announced in 2021 that it is working towards creating a national Centre of Excellence for Animation, Visual Effects, Gaming, and Comics (AVGC). In Budget 2022, it announced setting up AVGC Task force to promote the sector, facilitate youth employment, build domestic capacity to serve the Indian markets, and meet global demands.

The Government is setting up the Association of Bangalore Animation Industry (ABAI) Center of Excellence (CEO) in Karnataka, focusing on lifting the segment and providing multiple facilities like workshops, incubator centre, green screen room, photogrammetry, national Center of Additive Manufacturing (nCAM),, and many other latest technologies to bring the creative community under one roof.

The Motion Capture and national Center of Additive Manufacturing (nCAM) enables virtual manufacturing with real-time camera tracking by using disruptive additive manufacturing technologies. This is helping establish and foster a sustainable environment for product creation in India. Many studios with limited access to high-end equipment make use of this feature, enabling even small-scale companies to use high-end technology without having to invest in expensive setups.

The year 2021 recorded a total of 906 channels wherein 558 were free, and 348 were paid. The number of free channels saw a drop of 26 as compared to 2020. The growth of the TV industry can be attributed to a number of reasons increasing creativity of TV programming, rising demand, a boost in budgets filmsand subsequent for feature quality improvement, its receptiveness to new talent, geographic targeting, acceptability for Indian English-writing authors, and expansion of broadband. This goes on to show how the broadcasters are helping build stronger subscription revenue products through bouquets.

post pandemic and during the year 2021-22, Television Advertising (TV Advertising) grew 24.6%, increasing from Rs250.9 Billion to Rs312.8 Billion, while the Indian TV segment grew 5% in 2021. The industry is supported by user-friendly access, allowing users to stream videos and music, browse, and view. Today, the TV industry is adding to the power and potential of virtual reality and future programming.

TV Viewership by Age Groups watching TV has been a kind of comfort for decades. And even today, the M&E industry gauges the trend of the highest viewership. The age group for television demand is bifurcated into 5 age groups [2-14 years, 15-30 years, 31-50 years, 51-60 years, 61+ years]. In 2020-21, the 31-50 age group clocked the highest viewership while the 15-30 age group scored the second-highest viewership. The 2-14 age group closely followed this, indicating a decline in kids viewership due to a lack of fresh content and repeated telecasts.

(Source-FICCI Report)

Outlook

The TV revenue is expected to grow to Rs826 Billion by 2024, and it is forecasted that TV advertising revenue will reach Rs344 Billion in 2022 and Rs394 Billion by 2024. The growth will be driven by new advertiser segments, brands exploring TV advertising to build awareness, and the growth of new channels with original content. The subscription income is expected to reach Rs415 Billion in 2022 and grow to Rs432 Billion by 2024. However, the TV connectivity will further grow by 2025 and could crack over 40 Million linked sets. The growth in this sector can be attributed to rural Indias TV ownership surpassing that of urban India, with families in the latter market rising. Overall, TV connections will keep growing at a healthy pace of over 5% per year to cross 67% of Indian households by 2025.

The wired broadband that the consumers have been using for decades is now seeing a shift to hybrid set-top boxes. The significance of TV connection is that users can watch content in real-time mode. Currently, the OTT platform is gaining popularity due to the flexibility to watch online content anywhere, anytime with a cost-effective subscription. now the hybrid set-top boxes also allow users to access OTT content with the broadband network. There is no doubt that further bundles of at least one TV and one broadband plus OTT is a trend that will continue.

(Source-FICCI Report)

IndIAn fIlm Industry

Rs in Billion (gross of taxes) : EY Analysis

Segment 2019 2020 2021 2022 cy24e
Domestic Theatricals 115 25 39 75 105
Overseas Theatricals 27 3 6 12 16
Broadcast Rights 22 7 7 14 19
Digital/OTT 19 35 40 48 69
In-cinema Advertising 8 2 1 2 3
Total 191 72 93 150 212

The easing of Covid-19 restrictions and norms in 2021 led to a stark increase in the Indian film segments revenue by Rs93 Billion. with this, the industry released a total of 878 films in theatres for the year 2021 - 30% were in Hindi and the remaining were in other regional languages. The box office revenue was dominated by south Indian films, ers to work faster and a revenue jump of 57% in 2021 to Rs39 Billion. In 2021, the OTT originals recorded a reach of 2,512 hours and in 2022-23, it is expected to reach 3,140 hours. The Indian film industry is backed by more than a single revenue source, including an increase in digital focus and a rise in the number of regional language movies. Thereby, adding value to the industry as it remains poised for further growth.

Virtual Production (VP)

Virtual Production is where the physical and digital worlds meet. It removes the obligation to travel or/and take control of the set, as it enables more flexibly in compliance with Covid-19 restrictions. VP seamlessly combines physical and virtual elements using a suite of software tools and is gaining attention in the present era by becoming thenewtoolforfilmmaking.VP is divided into three segments: full-computer generated virtual production; On-set virtual production; and In-Camera VfX.

Advantages

Meets the necessary requirements similar to traditional production tools comprising physical set, props, cameras, light, virtual, and motion

Budget-friendly in nature

Removes creative boundaries, allows to make fully customised sets, and even creates environments from ones imagination

Outlook

The film segment revenue is expected to reach Rs150 Billion in 2022-23 and Rs212 Billion by 2024. The industrial growth is mainly supported by increased per capita income, growing middle-class section, demand from Tier 1 and Tier 2 cities, and penetration into international markets for revenue streams. Movies like shershaah and Jai Bhim achieved viewership across 210 nations and 4,100 cities, demonstrating the growing popularity of digital movies. In 2021, 40 Million Indian households paid for 80 Million OTT video subscriptions, according

Subscription based video-on-demand (SVOD) to the above graph. It is estimated that a subscription was used between 3 people and so, an estimate of 40 Million OTT households could have a potential reach of up to 120-140 Million people, or even more. Hence, the number of OTT consumers is probably much higher than the number of subscriptions; this is just like how the internet is consumed by several people in a family or around a tea stall in smaller towns.

COMPANY OVERVIEW

The Indian Television and Movie industry is a hub for several production houses working in the entertainment business. Balaji Telefilms Limited (‘Balaji or ‘we or ‘The Company) was one of the first and foremost companies to enter the Hindi and regional general entertainment channel industry. The Company was founded under the able guidance of Mr. Jeetendra Kapoor and established under the hands-on leadership of Mrs. shobha Kapoor and Ms. Ekta Kapoor. Over the years, Balaji has set an impeccable industry benchmark for producing differentiated and popular content across various entertainment segments. from reality shows, family drama, and daily soaps to comedy and entertainment to now OTT, Balaji is synonymous with popular entertainment. Balaji has always focused on curating content for various age groups, formats, media and platforms. The Company aims to increase viewership by creating fresh content and focusing on the programming mix based on consumer demand.

The Company has also introduced ALTBalaji, a subscription based video-on-demand platform, to enter the OTT space and directly connect with the audience. It offers high-quality and premium shows involving renowned authors, celebrities, and award-winning directors. Balaji intends to build a better digital space and elevate ALTBalaji to the forefront of OTT entertainment.

Segment-wise Key Performance Highlights For The Year 2021-22

The relaxation of Covid-19 restrictions allowed the business to operate at its optimum capacity. As a result, ALTBalaji continued increasing its popularity in the OTT space taking its overall library to 90+ shows which also included its super-hit and massively popular show ‘Lock upp which became the highest watched reality show in the OTT space within a very short span, crossing 500 Million views, thereby signalling the reach of the business. The TV business continued at its normal pace reflecting our strong and innovative content as ever across channels which continued to garner good and stable TRPs and viewership. As regards the movie segment, the Company has multiple exciting projects with some of the top leading actors and directors of the country that will surely attract audiences to the cinema theatres, as well as an exciting pipeline across genres to attract eyeballs on OTT platforms in 2022-23. However, considering that the reopening of cinema theatres transpired only towards the end of this financial year, the Company was unable to have a theatrical release in 2021-22, but continued to make a mark in the TV and digital space in order to provide wholesome entertainment to audiences across all age groups.

OPPORTUNITIES AND THREATS

Opportunities

According to a report published in Livemint, the Indian OTT video streaming market may record a CAGR of more than 20% to touch us$ 13 Billion-us$ 15 Billion over the next decade. Balaji Telefilms being an OTT player provides immense opportunity for the Company to cater the growing demand with its fresh content offered to our viewers

Revenue from TV advertisement is showcasing a stable growth which widens the Companys revenue generation sources and provides ample opportunity for the Company

Balaji Telefilms diversified presence in Media and Entertainment industry provides opportunity to generate revenue from various sources

Demand for regional content has shown a robust growth in the past few years and Balaji Telefims being a producer of content across numerous languages will help generate higher revenue threats

The increasing adoption of pirated content negative influence canhaveasignificant on the business, and is a major threat

Demand for our entertainment services may be affected by changes in technology and consumer consumption trends

The entertainment industry is very competitive and constantly changing. Consumers now have more alternatives for accessing various forms of entertainment through new and existing distribution methods