nath bio genes india ltd share price Management discussions


MANAGEMENT DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS REPORT

Indian Economy

Indias GDP is anticipated to expand by 6% to 6.8% in FY24. The bullish growth estimates are based on a variety of positive factors, including a rebound in private consumption due to increased industrial activity, greater Capital Expenditure (Capex), near-universal vaccine coverage, and the return of migratory workers to cities. Despite facing the challenges of COVID-19, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and the coordinated policy rate hikes by central banks - led by the Federal Reserve - aimed at curbing inflation, which caused the US dollar to appreciate and widened the current account deficits in net importing economies, agencies globally maintain their projection that India will remain the fastest-growing major economy in FY23, with a growth rate of 6.5-7.0%.

Following the effect of the first two waves of the pandemic, which resulted in a major GDP contraction in FY21, the rapid recovery from the virus in the third wave contributed to a recovery of economic production in the January-March quarter of 2022. Due to the Indian economys full recovery ahead of many other countries, production in FY22 exceeded its pre-pandemic level in FY20. However, the turmoil in Europe forced a revaluation of forecasts for inflation and economic growth in FY23. In January 2022, retail inflation in the country rose over the RBIs tolerance range. It remained above the goal range for 10 months before falling below the upper end of the target range of 6% in November 2022.

In FY23, Indias economic development was mostly driven by private consumption and capital formation, which helped generate employment as seen by the dropping urban unemployment rate and quicker net enrolment in Employee Provident Fund. According to the Periodic Labour Force Survey (PLFS), the rate of urban unemployment for those aged 15 and over decreased from 9.8% in the quarter ending September 2021 to 7.2% in the following quarter (quarter ending September 2022).

From April to November 2022, there was an impressive YoY increase of 15.5% in Gross Tax Revenue, fuelled by robust growth in direct taxes and the Goods and Services Tax. The introduction of innovative policies like PM Gati Shakti, National Logistics Policy, and PLI schemes is expected to bolster the countrys manufacturing and infrastructural sectors, reduce value chain costs, and provide a firm foundation for sustainable economic growth and improving resilience.

(Source - Economic survey 2022-23)

Agricultural Sector

The agriculture sector in India is expected to increase by 3.5 percent in FY23. Apart from serving local needs, India has recently emerged as a net exporter of agricultural products. Agricultural exports reached $50.2 billion in FY23. According to estimates, the country produced 149.9 million tonnes more food grain during the month of Kharif than it did on average over the preceding five years. However, the area seeded with paddy was around twenty lakh hectares less than in 2021.

Indias agricultural exports reached $50.21 billion in 2021-2022, an increase of 19.92%. India exported fresh produce worth $1.5 billion in 2021-2022; these included fruits worth $0.74 billion and vegetables at $0.76 billion.

The food processing industry in India is a burgeoning industry that has gained significance in recent years. According to the Agricultural and Processed Food Products Export Development Authority (APEDA), the industry is likely to grow at a CAGR of 3% between 2022 and 2030. Processed fruits and juices, pulses, guar gum, groundnuts, milled goods, cereal preparations, oil meals, and alcoholic drinks are some of the major processed food exports from India. In FY22, India exported goods worth US$25.6 billion, making history in the fields of agricultural and processed food exports.

(Source-

https://pib.aov.in/PressReleasePaae.aspx?PRID=1895288#:~:text=Fiscal%20policv%20statements%2 0hiahlighted%20that,Bn%20in%20FY%202022%2D23., https://www.studyig.com/articles/union-budget-2023-for-agricuiture-sector/#:~:text=%E2%80%9CThe%20aariculture%20credit%20taraet%20will.over%20the%20past%20few%20vears.)

Government Measures and Policies

In order to lower the cost of agricultural inputs, increase productivity, and increase farmer incomes, the government has enacted a number of developmental programs, plans, reforms, and policies. These consist of:

• Agriculture Accelerator Fund - The Fund will seek to provide farmers with creative and cost- effective solutions to their challenges. Additionally, it will use contemporary technology to change agricultural practices and boost production and profitability.

• Increase in Agriculture Credit-The Government increased the credit to Rs.20 lakh crore with a focus on animal husbandry, dairy, and fisheries.

• Promotion of natural farming - The government declared that it would establish 10,000 Bhartiya Prakritik Kheti Bio-Input Resource Centres for organic farming. The government would assist one crore farmers in switching to natural farming over the next three years. 10,000 Bio-Input Resource Centres will be established for this, resulting in the development of a dispersed national micro-fertilizer and pesticide production network.

• Promotion of alternative fertilizers-The government also launched new schemes promoting the adoption of alternative and natural fertilizers.

(Source - https://www.outlookindia.com/national/budaet-2023-from-start-up-fund-to-natural- farmina-what-is-new-for-farmers-and-aariculture-sector-news-258645)

Seed Sector Overview

In India, the seed market was worth US$6.3 billion in 2022. With a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.8%, the size of the global seeds market increased from $58.74 billion in 2022 to $62.72 billion in 2023. The Russia-Ukraine war hampered global economic recovery from the COVID-19 epidemic. Due to supply chain interruptions, a rise in commodity prices, and economic sanctions against other nations as a result of the conflict between these two nations, there has been inflation in many different markets throughout the world. At a CAGR of 6.6%, the seeds market is projected to reach $81.1 billion in 2027.

The global market for hybrid seeds was worth $59,555.2 million in 2020, and it is anticipated to grow to $166,189.8 million by 2031, at a CAGR of 9.6% from 2022 to 2031. Indias hybrid seed market produced $17,729.4 million in sales in 2020, and it is anticipated to increase to $51,780.8 million by 2031, at a CAGR of 10.0%. This significant market share is mostly attributable to the expansion of indoor farming operations and the rise in demand for organic products as well as for expensive fruits, vegetables, and flowers that can be grown with ease and efficiency inside.

The agro-ecological diversity of India comprises a number of significant crops, but cotton is one of the most significant for the nations agricultural exports. Cotton is one of Indias most important cash crops and fibres because it employs between 40 and 50 million people in trading and processing. Additionally, it directly contributes to the survival of six million farmers. The government through its Public-Private Partnerships plans to conduct a cluster-based and value-chain strategy to boost the production of extra-long staple cotton. The supply of inputs, extension services, and market links will necessitate collaboration between farmers, the government, and corporations.

Due to increased investment in agricultural infrastructure, including irrigation systems, warehousing, and cold storage, the agriculture industry in India is anticipated to gain further pace in the coming years. Additionally, it is likely that the increased usage of genetically modified crops would increase Indian farmers yields.

(Source: https://www.alliedmarketresearch.com/hvbrid-seeds-market#:~:text=lndia%20hvbrid%20seeds%20market%20aenerated.l0.0%25%20durina%20the%20f orecast%20period., https://www.investindia.aov.in/sector/aariculture-forestrv. https://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/5769073/seed-industrv-in-india-market-trends)

Company Overview

Nath Bio-Genes (India) Limited is an experienced seed Company in India that has been producing and distributing seeds to Indian farmers for about two decades. With its strong research and development background, the Company has developed several highly rated cotton seeds that have demonstrated resilience to various viruses and weather changes and have performed well in ICAR trials. The Companys new launches, Sanket and Jumbo cotton seeds are ranked amongst the top three in most geographies and under different planting conditions. Such consistently high ranking of the Companys seeds provides reasonable confidence that its cotton seed portfolio will grow faster than the industry.

The Company incorporated a variety of growth drivers in its portfolio, including hybrid paddy, bajra, maize, vegetable seeds, and plant nutrients supplement resulting in de-risking of its business. The management has projected a 15% plus guidance for the upcoming year. Despite a difficult climate, the Company has been able to improve its working capital cycle from the previous year, with the progress being driven by receivables management. The Company has increased its non-cotton non-paddy portfolio sales to 44.69% of total revenue.

The Company works hard to sustain positive relationships with the agricultural industry and forge strong connections to collaborate closely with forward-thinking farmers. Over 15,000 farmers have joined the Companys network to cultivate seeds for it. Among other honours & accolades, the Company had received the coveted "Vasantrao Naik Prathisthan Award" for its contribution to raising agricultural productivity.

Product Portfolio

Segment

Key Products

Product Pipeline

Key Geographies

Cotton

Sanket, Jambo, Profit +, Panchrantna, Himalaya

NBC 2020, NBC 211, NBC 30, NBC 85

PAN India

Paddy

Dhadak, Dhadak Gold, Loknath, Gorakhnath, Tehelka, Gazab, Khushi-27, Puravakamini, Menka, Kasturi, Nath 2020, Nath Poha, Golden-72.

NBRH 19195, NBRH 34

North, Central and North-East India

Pearl Millet

Super-27, NBBH-20, NBH-07, NBH-05, NBH- 1717

NBBH-2122, NBBH- 2212

North, West & Central India

Mustard

Rajshree, Rajshree Gold, Himalaya, Goldie, Goldie Super, Golden-100 & Pari-313

In process

North & Central India

Corn

Dominator, NWMH- 2002 Gold, Don-1588, NMH-1008, Koshi-55

NMH-5620, NMH- 6560, NMH-6926

PAN India

Wheat

Mohan Wonder, Manik-07

NW-10, NW-16, NW- 20

North, Central, West & East India.

Forage

NutriMax, NutriMax Gold

In process

North, Central, West & East India

Grain Sorghum

Amranath, Amarnath- 251

In process

North, Central, West & South India

Vegetable

Chilli - Legend, NCH- 495 Okra - NOH05, Sara Cucumber - NCH02. NCH 1061 Bitter Gourd - Chintu Tomato - Akhand, Joy

Chilli - NCH 2561, NCH 200, NCH 2564 Okra - NOH3341 Cucumber - NCUH2061 Bitter Gourd - NBH6054 Tomato -NTH1965

PAN India

PNS

Win-chi-Win, WinGoli, WinPro Granules

In Process

PAN India

Cotton - The performance of Cotton has been better despite the industry facing the issue of sale of illegal BT cotton seeds. The Company has been actively collaborating with the industry body and the Government as well as imparting education to farmers on the issue. About 13.80 lakh cotton packets were sold by the Company in FY23. The Company believes that the efforts it is making with farmers will payoff, that they will produce results, and that it will enable the Company to achieve a 15% volume gain in FY24.

BT Cotton - The only transgenic crop that has been given the government permission for commercial production in India is BT cotton. It has undergone genetic modification to create an insecticide to combat the common pest known as the cotton bollworm.

HTBT Cotton - Although it has not received regulatory approval, the HTBT cotton version adds a further layer of modification, making the plant resistant to the herbicide glyphosate.

Challenges faced by Cotton Industry - HTBT cotton requires only one application of glyphosate. There is no additional requirement for weeding. This leads to a saving of cost of about Rs. 7,000-8,000 per acre of land. Since the Genetic Engineering Appraisal Committee has not authorized it, it is being sold illegally in Indian marketplaces. With such unlawful cotton seed sales, farmers are in danger since there is no guarantee of the quality of the seed, it pollutes the environment, the industry loses genuine seed sales, and the Government also loses revenue. It would not only destroy tiny cotton seed businesses, but it will also endanger the countrys whole legal cotton seed industry.

Products in the pipeline - The new products being developed by the company are NBC 1821, NBC 1851, NBC 1811, and NBHV 2205. To market distinctive cotton products like NBC-10, Sanket, Maharana, and Jambo, extraordinary efforts have been made. The Government raised cotton seed rates by Rs 853 for each packet, which helps to provide a better value. However, the trade of unlawful HTBT Cotton continues to have an impact on the sector.

The following are the products, the Company is developing:

• Medium and Large Boll

• High tolerance to sucking pest.

• High toleranceto pinkbollworm

• Wider adaptability

• Yield Superiority

With a focus on yield superiority, the strategy is to offer farmers a wide selection of cotton seed types that are suited for various climatic situations. Sanket and Jambo, the Companys two newest hybrids, are aiding in the segments rise.

Paddy - The sales of paddy comprise both open pollination and hybrid seeds, with the latter commanding higher margins. As a result, hybrid paddy has the most significant share in the Companys product portfolio. To improve margins, the Company has adjusted its paddy product mix to increase hybrid paddy sales, leading to a 7.43% decline in volume but a lower 1.24% decline in value in FY23. Hybrid paddy is currently a high-value, low-volume product that the Company is focusing on. Despite a potential decline in paddy volume, the revenue and margins from this segment are expected to remain high, with paddy volume growth projected at 15% in FY24. The Company has invested heavily in its hybrid research program and launched new products such as Dhoom, Dhadak, and Dhadak Gold. The Companys key products in this segment are Loknath, Gorkhanath, Super Duper, and Tehelka.

With respect to research and development, the Company is currently working on products that possess the following characteristics:

• Early maturity, fine grain and increased resistance to diseases and pests

• Increased moisture stress tolerance

• Medium-Bold and Long-Bold grain products with medium maturity (125-135 days) that are equipped with resistance to BLB and BPH.

Vegetables - The vegetable segment is a significant market with a wide range of product offerings, and its cultivation varies across different regions in India. The Company has a robust presence in this segment, with more than ten products available throughout the country, contributing over 11% of the Companys gross margins. The Company is currently working on launching new products with high disease resistance and excellent virus resistance, particularly in tomato and okra, as well as high-yield and no bitterness features in chilly, bitter gourd, and cucumber. Furthermore, the Company is conducting extensive research and development to expand its product portfolio, including foraying into fruits in addition to vegetables. Vegetable growth is expected to increase by 20%.

The R&D team of the Company has been working on the following:

• Developing newer products

• Diversifying the existing portfolio of products

• Expandinto thefruits segment.

Plant Nutrient Supplement-Win-Chi-Win isa Plant Nutrient Supplement with a track record of raising crop yields when applied to the crops. The Company noticed a significant increase in the demand for this product for horticultural, agricultural, and vegetable crops. For the exclusive purpose of sourcing and marketing Win-Chi-Win in India, the Company has a partnership with a Chinese Company. The product is distributed throughout the country. In the PNS vertical, the Company introduced two new products. Both are soil conditioners that assist grow healthy crops by enhancing the quality of the soil. For FY24, PNS Growth is anticipated to be above 20%.

Others - This category mostly covers wheat, jowar, mustard, bajra, and maize with a larger proportion of maize, mustard, and bajra. 45% of the Companys top line comes from this segment of the business.

Financial Overview

The Company has been able to deliver persistently with respect to cotton sales and has maintained its long-term debt-free status. The Company continued to maintain a net profit margin of around 12% (at adjusted PAT) and a gross contribution margin of about 55%. Field crops, vegetables, and supplements all reported high margins, which contributed to the Companys success in transitioning to a de-risk business model. An impressive 45% of the portfolio was made up of non-cotton and non-paddy. The Companys receivable days have also improved due to better control. The Company declared a dividend of 20% and has given a topline guidance of [15-20%] for FY24.

Company Outlook

The Companys future strategies are aimed at increasing its revenue multiple times through new geographies and newer products. The Company is introducing new items generated by the research channel and expanding into new regions with its acquisition of additional territories. The Company has already started testing its products and receiving licensing approvals in Southeast Asia and Africa, where there is also a sizable market. These would protect the Company from single-country regulatory and environmental risks.

Infrastructure

The Company has been following the policy of least blockage of funds in Infrastructure. Since renting godowns and processing facilities is far more effective, efficient, and economical, the Company has entered into a long-term contractual agreement with one such provider in Southern India, as a result of which, all of the Companys field crop processing requirements are met under one roof.

Research and Development

The Company has redefined its research and development using the best R&D experts in the country. Using the latest technologies, the Company has created high-yielding hybrids with greater endurance to biotic & abiotic stress. The Companys niche collection of superior & world-class Trait Specific Elite Germplasm is what gives it a competitive edge over its peers.

The Company has the following R&D investments:

• 32 breeding and evaluation R&D dedicated stations in different Agro-Climatic conditions

• About 300 acres of land for the purpose of research and development

• Partnerships and collaborations with globally recognized research institutes such as NRCPB, CIMMYT, IRRI, ICRISAT

• Dedicated team of hand-picked plant breeders and biotechnologists based at key R&D centres under the guidance of R&D veterans.

Seed Production

The Companys operations are spread far and wide within the country. The Company is involved in the production of seeds in the states of Andhra Pradesh, Gujarat, Karnataka, Maharashtra, Rajasthan, Odisha, Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, and Tamil Nadu having varied agro-climatic regions. The seed production is carried out on 30,000 acres of land by a team of 25,000 dedicated growers and 72 technically qualified organizers. By establishing strict field standards and quality control inspections throughout the seed production process, the Company ensures that only seeds of the highest quality reach its processing facilities. To ensure strict controls, a team of competent production employees and quality personnel monitor farms. The Company looks after its team of produce growers and organizers to establish better ties with them. Acknowledging their hardships, and presenting them with the required guidance, direction, and financial assistance, have produced positive results and helped the Company gain their trust, loyalty, and commitment.

Elaborate Seed Processing Facilities

With three processing plants in Maharashtra, Telangana, and Andhra Pradesh, the Company provides sophisticated seed processing capabilities. The Company also has custom processing arrangements in Gujarat, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Madhya Pradesh, and Rajasthan. Each and every plant has been equipped with a pre-cleaner, fine cleaner, grader, gravity separator, de-stoner, indented cylinder, treater, needle separator, and packaging machinery. For the ginning, de-linting, drying, processing, treating, packaging, and storing of seeds, the Company has independent facilities. The farmers seeds are treated to meet quality criteria that go above and beyond those imposed by the regulatory bodies. By assuring increases in seed viability and extending the shelf life of seeds, the quality of seed processing is raised to a new level. To provide ideal storage conditions for the seed, all of the packaging material has the best environmental barrier qualities.

Stringent Quality Assurance

The Company has testing laboratories located in Maharashtra and Andhra Pradesh which are highly precision-oriented and organized. The crew conducts frequent field inspections throughout the whole manufacturing area. In accordance with the Companys quality policy, top-notch quality requirements are met to give farmers the best yields possible and increase their profitability. Total quality management is also taken into consideration. For frequent monitoring of lot germination, genetic purity tests are carried out. Another test called as ELISA test is conducted on genetically modified crops to determine their gene purity. The Company undertakes rigorous efforts to ensure seeds are generated under optimal conditions and genetic purity is maintained across all the batches. Another round of quality assurance takes place during the processing and packaging of foundation seeds. According to the International Seed Testing Association (ISTA), more than two lakh quality tests are performed annually along the whole supply chain before seeds are packed and sent to marketing centres. Every seed lot that enters the processing plants is sampled and checked for physical appearance, moisture, other distinguishable varieties present, physical purity, treatment, genetic purity, germination, vigor, and soil emergence. These are then classified and reported accordingly.

Diversified Distribution Network

The Company has 16 business centres in 131 regions in India, collaborating with more than 2,000 distributors across. Over the last 4-5 years, the Company under the guidance of Seed Marketing Veterans has expanded into new locations both within and outside the country. The Company plans on further expanding its Direct Retailer reach in the upcoming years. With a positive foothold in India, the Company has been expanding to newer foreign regions with agronomic circumstances comparable to those in India. The Company is fully prepared to expand its wings in further regions of Asia, Africa, and the Middle East.

Risk Mitigation Strategies

Risk

Impact

Mitigation

Regulatory Risk

Increased domestic as well as foreign competition in the seeds space can result in the tightening of regulatory norms posing a risk to the operations of the Company.

The Company has a dedicated Compliance and R&D team to stay updated on international standards on GM and/or Hybrid seeds. These dedicated teams in collaboration with middle management and technology teams help the Company mitigate any risk arising from policy changes.

Technology Risk

Increased usage of the same technology on the soil can render soil, pathogens, and pests resistant to its beneficial effects.

The Companys R&D infrastructure is focused on innovating and inventing newer technologies to avoid reliance on only one type of technology. The Company aims to produce seeds with high yields and endurance to several pests and viruses.

Unpredictable Weather

Weather plays a key role in the production of food grains, pulses, vegetables, etc. Any adverse climatic conditions can negatively impact the production and maintenance of crops and fields

The Company attempts to minimize the effects of these natural variables by taking proactive and quick action by creating seeds that can be cultivated in particular situations, such as drought, heat waves, etc.

Cotton Business

There are multiple risks associated with the cotton business such as the increased proliferation of illegal seeds which are herbicide tolerant in cottongrowing states to meet the customized product-based demands

The Company has a diversified product portfolio and focuses on All season products. The Company seeks to increase segment growth in the vegetable and plant nutrient markets.

Human Resources

The Company considers human resources as its biggest asset. As the Company is transitioning from its growth phase, it considers human resources to be critical for its operations as well as plays a key role in running the business. The Company has a dedicated team of scientists and researchers who have laid a strong foundation for the Company. The Company undertakes constant training and development of its employees and continues to nurture them via workshops with renowned research institutes globally. In order to create brand awareness for its products, the Company has taken steps to expand its sales and marketing team. The Company has laid down extensive HR policies to recruit personnel with potential and retain its best talents. The Company wants its employees to reach their full potential by striving to create a conducive work for them. As of 31st March 2023, the total employee strength of the Company stood at 433.

Internal Control Systems

The Company follows all the local regulatory standards for effective and efficient management of its business. The Company believes that a robust internal control system forms the basis of effective corporate governance. The internal controls of the Company are sufficient according to the size and nature of its operations. These internal and accounting controls are continuously monitored and updated as and when needed to ensure that the assets are protected from loss or unauthorized use. An audit committee is appointed by the Company which considers all internal factors and recommends remedial action as and when necessary.

Cautionary Statement

Statement in the Management Discussion and Analysis describing the Companys objectives, projections, expectations and estimates regarding future performance may be "forward-looking statements" and are based on the currently available information. The management believes these to be true to the best of its knowledge at the time of preparation of this report. However, these statements are subject to certain future events and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those, which may be indicated in such statements.