nikhil adhesives ltd share price Management discussions


ABOUT NIKHIL ADHESIVES LIMITED

With more than three decades of industry experience, Nikhil Adhesives Limited (Nikhil) is one of the recognised players in Specialty Chemicals and Industrial emulsions and adhesives, with a strong domestic presence catering PAN India with an excellent distribution network. Leveraging its well-equipped manufacturing infrastructure, result oriented Research & Development team.

Nikhils major thrust will be to build space in consumer products.

KEY HIGHLIGHTS FOR 2022-23

? Opened warehouses/godowns in Gujarat, Maharashtra, Punjab, Madhya Pradesh, other places for quicker logistics and wider customer reach. ? Expansion at manufacturing units viz Tumkur, Mehatpur & Dahej factories.

? Appointment of professionally qualified & highly experienced CEO.

? Development of Proprietary technology of Re-dispensible Polymer (RDP) used on wall putty, a 100% import substitute. The RDP project is under implementation at Dahej with a manufacturing capacity of 12,000 tonnes per annum.

GLOBAL ECONOMIC OVERVIEW

The world economy is now projected to grow by 2.3 per cent in 2023 (+0.4 percentage points from the January forecast) and 2.5 per cent in 2024 (-0.2 percentage points), a slight uptick in the global growth forecast for 2023. In the United States, resilient household spending has prompted upward revision of growth forecast to 1.1 per cent in 2023. The European Unions economy driven by lower gas prices and robust consumer spending is now projected to grow by 0.9 per cent. Chinas growth this year is now forecast at 5.3 per cent as a result of COVID-19 related restrictions being lifted.

But a sombre picture still remains. Despite this uptick, the growth rate is still well below the average growth rate in the two decades before the pandemic of 3.1 per cent. For many developing countries, growth prospects have deteriorated amid tightening credit conditions and rising costs of external financing. In Africa and Latin

America and the Caribbean, GDP per capita is projected to increase only marginally this year, reinforcing a longer-term trend of stagnating economic performance. The least developed countries are forecast to grow by 4.1 per cent in 2023 and 5.2 per cent in 2024, far below the 7 per cent growth target set in the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development.

Global trade remains under pressure due to geopolitical tensions, weakening global demand and tighter monetary and fiscal policies. The volume of global trade in goods and services is forecast to grow by 2.3 per cent in 2023, well below the pre-pandemic trend.

The global economy is heading for its weakest medium-term growth in more than 30 years as the world grapples with geopolitical fragmentation, slower labour force growth and weaker prospects for previously fast-growing economies such as China, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) warns in its latest World Economic Outlook.

It expects global growth to be around 3% in 2028 the lowest medium-term forecast in an IMF report since 1990.

Global trade

Global trade growth decelerated in the second half of 2022, in tandem with deteriorating activity in major economies. Weakening trade mirrored the slowdown in global industrial production, as demand shifted toward its pre-pandemic composition and away from goods. Despite this moderation, goods trade surpassed pre-pandemic levels last year; meanwhile, services trade continued to recover, supported by the gradual shift in demand toward services. Tourism flows rebounded many countries eased travel restrictions but remained well below pre-pandemic levels and uneven across regions (WTO 2022).

Although global supply chain pressures are still above pre-pandemic levels, they have eased since mid-2022. Weakening demand for goods is expected to reduce these pressures further in 2023. After softening to 4 percent in 2022, global trade growth is expected to decelerate further to 1.6 percent in 2023, largely reflecting weakening global demand

PERFORMANCE OF MAJOR ECONOMIES

The January 2023 World Economic Outlook Update projects that global growth will fall to 2.9 percent in 2023 but rise to 3.1 percent in 2024. The 2023 forecast is 0.2 percentage point higher than predicted in the October 2022 World Economic Outlook but below the historical average of 3.8 percent. Rising interest rates and the war in Ukraine continue to weigh on economic activity. Chinas recent reopening has paved the way for a faster-than-expected recovery. Global inflation is expected to fall to 6.6 percent in 2023 and 4.3 percent in 2024, still above pre-pandemic levels.

The baseline forecast is for growth to fall from 3.4 percent in 2022 to 2.8 percent in 2023, before settling at 3.0 percent in 2024. Advanced economies are expected to see an especially pronounced growth slowdown, from 2.7 percent in 2022 to 1.3 percent in 2023. In a plausible alternative scenario with further financial sector stress, global growth declines to about 2.5 percent in 2023 with advanced economy growth falling below 1 percent. Global headline inflation in the baseline is set to fall from 8.7 percent in 2022 to 7.0 percent in 2023 on the back of lower commodity prices but underlying (core) inflation is likely to decline more slowly. Inflations return to target is unlikely before 2025 in most cases.

INDIAN ECONOMIC OVERVIEW

India was one of the fastest growing economies in the world. The overall growth remains robust and is estimated to be 6.9 percent for the full year with real GDP growing 7.7 percent year-on-year during the first three quarters of fiscal year 2022/23. There were some signs of moderation in the second half of FY 22/23. Growth was underpinned by strong investment activity bolstered by the governments capex push and buoyant private consumption, particularly among higher income earners. Inflation remained high, averaging around 6.7 percent in FY22/23 but the current-account deficit narrowed in Q3 on the back of strong growth in service exports and easing global commodity prices. Growth is expected to be constrained by slower consumption growth and challenging external conditions. Rising borrowing costs and slower income growth will weigh on private consumption growth, and government consumption is projected to grow at a slower pace due to the withdrawal of pandemic-related fiscal support measures. The central government is likely to meet its fiscal deficit target of 5.9 percent of GDP in FY23/24 and combined with consolidation in state government deficits, the general government deficit is also projected to decline. As a result, the debt-to-GDP ratio is projected to stabilize. On the external front, the current account deficit is projected to narrow to 2.1 percent of GDP from an estimated 3 percent in FY22/23 on the back of robust service exports and a narrowing merchandise trade deficit.

GDP revisions point to Indias resilience in the past

India recently released GDP estimates for the October December quarter of FY 2022 23 (Q3) along with revisions of the past three years data. GDP data suggests that India emerged stronger from the pandemic than initially assumed, with growth gathering steady momentum since FY 2022 23 (figure 1). GDP growth for FY 2020 21 was revised up by 0.77 percentage points, implying the recession was not as deep as previously thought. For FY 2021 22, meanwhile, growth was revised up from 8.7% to 9.1%, suggesting stronger rebound. This upward revision was primarily because of the stronger-than-anticipated growth in manufacturing and construction.

Data for the latest quarter (Q3) points to 4.4% year-over-year (YoY) growth in Q3, which is close to what we had estimated (4.5% YoY) in January (figure 2). Although it appears to be the weakest quarter of this fiscal, the significant upward revision of last years data increased the base for this years growth estimates.

Despite the global slowdown, exports performed well, probably because of the depreciated currency against the dollar. While goods exports remained modest, Indias services exports skyrocketed by 30% between April and February. A strong digitization drive the world over, cost-cutting measures by businesses to deal with the impending slowdown, and the growing trend of remote working increased demand for exports of services in technology, where India has a comparative advantage. Interestingly, the share of business and professional services in total services exports also increased as companies globally now prefer outsourcing a wide range of professions, such as accounting, audit, R&D, quality assurance, and after-sales service.

(Source: https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/economy/asia-pacific/india-economic-outlook.html)

INDIAN ECONOMIC REFORMS & BUDGET 2022-23 PROVISIONS

A key theme of Union Budget 2023-24 is the focus on inclusive development - Sabka Sath, Sabka Vikas which specifically covers;

Farmers, Women, Youth, Scheduled Castes, Scheduled Tribes, Other Backward Classes (OBCs), Divyangjan (PwDs) and Economically Weaker Sections (EWS),

Overall priority for the underprivileged (vanchiton ko variyata),

There has also been a sustained focus on UTs of J&K and Ladakh and the Northeast Region (NER).

Infrastructure and Investment

Increase in Capex for Infra: Capital investment outlay increased for the third consecutive year - by 33% to Rs 10 lakh crore making it 3.3% of GDP. The ‘Effective Capital Expenditure is budgeted at Rs 13.7 lakh crore - 4.5% of GDP.

OUTLOOK

India is projected to grow at an average 6. 7% for the next three years, retaining the fastest-growing major economy tag, said

S&P Global Ratings in its latest report. The economic outlook released Monday by the global rating agency kept Indias growth forecast unchanged at 6% for this fiscal year, projecting a sharp bounce back to 6. 9% in FY25 and FY26. The Indian economy grew at 7. 2% in FY23. The agency noted that in India, growth in the March quarter outperformed its expectations with the upward revision of "whole-year GDP growth in fiscal 2023 (year ending March 30) to 7.2 % from the earlier 7.0% confirming a strong recovery from Covid-19". The inflation and rate-hike cycles have peaked, in our opinion. But we expect the Reserve Bank of India to cut rates only in early 2024, as it wants to see consumer inflation moving to 4% the centre of its target range. The rates are not expected to fall below 5% in the medium term.

It projected 5% inflation in FY24, on the assumption of a normal monsoon, further declining to 4.5% over the next two years

Our Consumer products businesses is providing customers with a complete range of consumer adhesives mainly woodworking, packaging adhesives, rubber adhesives, Construction based adhesives. Our Adhesive Brands "MAHACOL" "FORMISOL" "EMDILITH" "EMBRO" have strong market presence and are known for its product quality among the influencers and consumers. With a nationwide network, our brands "MAHACOL" "FORMISOL" and "EMDILITH" enjoy a very respectable position and popularity in the adhesive market. We are working on having a PAN India intricate distribution and networking through our distributor & dealer network and are expecting exponential growth in the coming year, which in the initial stages had created disturbances in the working of countrys economy, have now been evolved and adapted by various industries. This followed by a strong Government re-elected at the Centre would ensure continuity of policies and ease of doing business.

Paint Emulsions: Nikhil Adhesives Limiteds (NAL) main customers are Akzo Nobel, Asian Paints & Dow. Due to flat demand in paint industry, our business was impacted. However, current year was promising. Moreover, NAL & JSW will have relationship in coming years.

Textile Business: Textile business has attended new heights due to introduction of few products mainly printing binders, improvement in performance of existing products, on time delivery and increase in distributor network due to which the volume has gone up by 2600 MT.

Export: Export business remains stable in current financial year. NAL will expand its business in Asia specific.

Overall NAL has achieved volume growth of 6% in spite of adverse market situation. In view of recession in FY 23-24, NAL is expanding its horizon by adding new products/territories.

GLOBAL OUTLOOK

S&P Global projected Chinas growth to slow to 5.2% from the 5.5% projected earlier. It also reduced the growth estimate for

Asia Pacific by 0.1 percentage point. The rating agency also raised its growth forecast for the US and the Eurozone on account of a "better-than-expected outcome in the first quarter."

SPECIALITY CHEMICALS INDUSTRY

The Specialty chemicals manufacturing is entrepreneurial, innovative and customer driven. Specialty chemicals are manufactured and sold based on their performance or function, unlike commodity chemicals which are strictly based on their chemical composition.

Nikhils major business segments are Branded Consumer products under the brands names "MAHACOL" "FORMISOL" "EMDILITH" "MAHAQUICK" "EMBRO" AND "MAHABOND" and Industrial products are under various brands names such as "EMDILITH" "EMDITEX" "EMDICRYL" and "EMDIBIND".

Mahacol RDP Re-dispensible Polymer, a 100% import substitute, will be launched in Q2 (23-24). SWOT ANALYSIS Strengths

Well equipped manufacturing infrastructure Rich history of more than 30 yrs. Strong domestic network (PAN India distribution) Mfg. units in North, West and South of India

Weakness

Low brand awareness & limited retail reach in Consumer Segment

Opportunities

New opportunity areas with huge potential for growth, such as Construction Chemicals and Consumer Products & RDP.

Threats

Fluctuation in Raw Material Prices Looming threat of global recession

Competition from domestic and foreign players

INTERNAL CONTROL SYSTEMS AND THEIR ADEQUACY

The Company has strong internal control procedures in place that are commensurate with its size and operations. The Board of Directors, responsible for the internal control system, sets the guidelines and verifies its adequacy, effectiveness and application.

The Companys internal control system is designed to ensure management efficiency, measurability and verifiability, reliability of accounting and management information, compliance with all applicable laws and regulations, and the protection of the

Companys assets. This will help identify and manage the Companys risks (operational, compliance-related, economic and financial).

HUMAN RESOURCES/INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS

The Company believes that employees are the foundation for the superstructure of any corporate organisation. The Company considers its employees as its most significant asset and provides them with a healthy and competitive work environment to excel and set new standards of quality, productivity, efficiency and customer satisfaction. The Companys consistent HR policies aid in attracting and retaining the best talent pool.

FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS AT A GLANCE

Adhesives

(i) Consumer & Contract Manufacturing Adhesives (MAHACOL)

Branded consumer & Contract manufacturing adhesives products contributed 26% of the total volume sales of the Company. Consumer products include Wood adhesives, Packaging and Lamination Adhesives, Sticker Adhesives and Art and Craft Adhesives, Rubber & PU Adhesives and Tape Adhesives.

(ii) Industrial Adhesives

Industrial Adhesives contributes 11% of the total volume sales of the Company.

(iii) Construction Chemicals

Company has achieved 21% of total volume sales of the Company.

(iv) Export

Company exports adhesives and emulsions to Nepal, Taiwan, Bangladesh, Philippines and Kenya which contributes to 2% of the total volume sales of the Company.

(v) Speciality Emulsions

The Companys speciality emulsions contribute 40% of the total sales volumes

a) Paint Emulsions (EMDILITH, EMDICRYL) Majority of the paint emulsions sales is supplied to large corporate paint manufacturers & the balance through distribution channels.

Out of the total sales volume of the Company, paint emulsions contribute 30%.

b) Textile Emulsions (EMDITEX, EMDIBIND)

The Company has a network for textile emulsions and binders through distributors PAN India, textile emulsions contribute 10% of the companys total sales volume.

Profit Before Tax (PBT) has decreased from 33.99 cr. (FY 2021-22) to 23.54 cr. (FY 2022-23) and Profit After Tax (PAT) has decreased from 25.26 cr. (FY 2021-22) to 17.03 cr. (FY 2022-23).

MANUFACTURING

During the year, volume wise production has increased Current Year: 93,306 MT (Previous Year : 84,290 MT). However, in terms of value, the manufacturing sales has decreased from 634.41 Crore to 596.48 Crore.

TRADING

Revenue from trading segment has decreased from 167.41 Crore to 133.83 Crore during the year ended 31st March 2023 as there was a huge fluctuation in international market for the entire chemical segment, therefore the company has decided to reduce its activities.

FOREIGN EXCHANGE FLUCTUATIONS

During the current year ended 31st March 2023, loss arising from forex fluctuation is of 356.17 Lakh as compared to forex gain 110.77 Lakh (FY 2021-22). This is mainly because of the international political instability leading to depreciation in Indian rupee.

Information pursuant to part B1 (i) of Schedule V SEBI (Listing Obligations and Disclosures Requirements) Regulations, 2015 as amended.

Details of Significant changes in key financial ratios along with detail explanation:

Sr. No Particulars

Current Year Previous Year % Change
1. Debtors Turnover Ratio (in days) 54.11 64.90 -16.63
2. Interest Coverage Ratio 3.72 5.28 -29.59
3. Net Profit margin (%) 2.29 3.10 -26.18
4. Return on NetWorth (%) 18.21 34.53 -47.25

1. Debtors Turnover Ratio: Improved realisation from customers during the year resulting in decreased corresponding debtors & average credit period

2. Interest Coverage Ratio: The Company has availed a new term loan during the year for its capex and availed bill discounting facilities to benefit from better interest rate. Further, net profits were affected due to crash in international prices of the products dealt by the Company, including loss arising out of forex fluctuation.

3. Net Profit margin: Net profits have been affected predominantly due to crash in international prices of the products dealt by the Company, including loss arising out of forex fluctuation.

4. Return on NetWorth: Net profits have been affected predominantly due to crash in international prices of the products dealt by the Company, including loss arising out of forex fluctuation. However sales volume has increased and remained unaffected.