novartis india ltd share price Management discussions


For the financial year under review, the business operations of the Company comprise Pharmaceuticals.

a. Economy, Industry and Development

The COVID-19 pandemic has been the most impactful global public health crisis in decades, and yet it has illustrated the resilience of global health systems as they have readily adapted to peaks in demand.

The outlook is uncertain again amid financial sector turmoil, high inflation, ongoing effects of Russias invasion of Ukraine, and three years of COVID1. However, the Indian Economy continues to show resilience amid global uncertainties, it is expected to be 6.7 percent in FY 2022-232.

Structural changes in policy, centered around financial inclusion, has created a solid foundation for long term growth in India.

Trends in medicine use and spending have been impacted by the immediate effects of COVID-19, with a seven-year cumulative reduction in spending of USD 175 billion through 2026 compared to the pre-pandemic outlook. Spending on COVID-19 vaccines and novel therapeutics are expected to generate more than USD 300 billion in spending over the same period, and the outlook is a cumulative USD 133 billion higher than projected prior to the pandemic3.

The global medicine market is expected to grow at 3 - 6 percent CAGR through 2026, reaching about USD 1.8 trillion in total market size in 2026, including spending on COVID-19 vaccines4. This will be supported by strong growth in pharmerging markets and new brands in developed markets will contribute to global spending through 20 263.

The Indian Pharmaceutical Industry is currently valued at USD 42 billion and is expected to reach USD 65 billion by 2024 and ~USD 120 - 130 billion by 2030. Indian pharma exports witnessed a growth of 103 percent since 2013 to 2022. Exports achieved in 2021-22 is the Pharma Sectors best export performance ever. It is a remarkable growth with exports growing by almost USD 10 billion in 8 years5. Indian drugs are exported to more than 200 countries in the world, with the US being the key market6.

The Prime Minister of India announced the pilot project of the National Digital Health Mission (‘NDHM) on August 15, 2021, and launched the project on September 27, 20217. It will also aim to digitally reconcile the gap among different stakeholders in Indias healthcare sector. NDHM comprises of five key components such as Health ID, Patient Health Record, Electronic Medical Record, Digi Doctor Platform, and Health Facility Registry. At a later stage, NDHM will also include e-pharmacy and telemedicine services8.

According to NDHM, individuals will get a health card (ABHA: Ayushman Bharat Health Account) containing personal details and current health record of the cardholder. This mission will connect medical practitioners and patients digitally. Additionally, it will promote stable and well-structured healthcare across the nation. The ABHA number will be used for the purposes of uniquely identifying persons, authenticate and threading their health records across multiple healthcare systems and stakeholders with a consent from patient8.

The health-tech start-up space in India is witnessing an exponential growth since COVID-19 pandemic. Pandemic has opened many opportunities for start-ups in the areas of online video consultations, ordering medicines online, managing chronic conditions using technology. The start-up ecosystem is well supported by start-up India, is an initiative of the Government of India.

b. Performance

Revenue from operations for the financial year ended March 31, 2023 was 3,787.4 million illustrating a decrease of 5.3 percent over the previous year.

The Profit/ (Loss) before tax for the year stood at 1,153.8 million versus (38.2) million in the previous year which is net of exceptional item.

Year 2022-23 witnessed the third wave of COVID-19 pandemic along with sporadic increase in cases across geographies. However, having learnt from the previous two waves, business was equipped to navigate this and ensure business continuity keeping in mind employee safety.

Novartis continues to engage Physicians for high brand recall and for dissemination of key scientific messages. This is done through differentiated campaigns channelized through RTEs (Rep Triggered Emails) and CMEs (Continuing Medical Education). We continue to create high differentiation for Novartis brands in a cluttered market for Transplant maintenance portfolio. Physicians have adapted well to digital engagements and we continue to implement them.

The Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Government of India, has released the revised National List of Essential Medicines (NLEM), 2022. The revised list of NLEM has impacted 9 (Nine) brands marketed by the Company. These brands are majorly in the areas of Oncology and Neurology.

The Indian population currently has a very high burden of vascular risk factors, such as diabetes, hypertension and obesity, which can adversely impact the onset and progression of dementia1. Offering great convenience and safety, our Neurosciences innovative medicine for Alzheimers disease dementia, Exelon Patch has seen greater patient acceptance and usability which is reflecting in the growth numbers.

1 Vijayalakshmi et al. Changing demography and the challenge of dementia in India. Nature Reviews Neurology 17, 747-758 2021

c. Operational performance

The Pharmaceuticals business registered Net Revenue from Operations of 3,787.4 million representing a decrease of 5.3 percent over the previous year.

Transplant business observed gradual recovery in the number of transplants done throughout the year post COVID-19. Transplant business growth was driven by the gain in induction therapy patient share where Simulect became a preferred choice of induction therapy especially in low to moderate risk patients. This was achieved by continuing to drive innovative medico-marketing initiatives focusing on ‘Prevention of Infection. The innovative ‘TRIO campaign aimed at driving a portfolio-based approach, has led to the revival of the maintenance portfolio.

It has been a year of the exclusive sales and distribution arrangement entered into with Dr. Reddys Laboratories (Dr. Reddys) for the Established Medicines Brand which include the Voveran range, the Calcium range and Methergine. The arrangement aimed to broaden access of these medicines to larger geographies to benefit many more patients, more efficiently through an expanded field force.

Pain portfolio with its flagship brand Voveran range rank improved by 2 points from April, 2022 to February 20231 and a 2.9 percent market share gain for Voveran range in February, 2023 vs October, 20222. There is an increase in share of voice and Voveran gaining prescription share among doctor specialties across India. This was an outcome of strong differentiation for Voveran Emulgel in a cluttered counter-irritant market with the ‘The Cool Movement demonstration campaign.

A high-pitched campaign contributing to better management of joint pain and stiffness by driving patient awareness programs, ‘Zindagi Se Milao Kadam further extended to enable patients to move beyond pain and stiffness through simple and handy exercise education tool. ‘Awareness for Life Corporate Awareness talks were conducted across India to raise awareness for joint pain at workplace. The premise is that 72 percent office workers experience joint pain at workplace3.

The following brands hold key positions in major therapeutic areas such as:

Therapeutic Area Therapeutic Area Product
Bone and Pain Voveran?
Transplantation Immunology Simulect?, Certican?, Sandimmun?, Neoral?, Myfortic?
Neurosciences Tegrital?, Exelon?

References:

1 IQVIA MAT Feb23

2 Healthplix report Feb23

3 Dr. Reddys reported information

d. Key Financial Indicators

Particulars 2022-23 2021-22
Operating profit margin (%) 15.6 4.4
Net profit margin (%) 27.3 -0.9
Debtors turnover ratio 9.4 9.6
Current ratio 4.2 3.3
Return on Equity (%) 14.1 -0.5
Inventory turnover ratio 6.6 7.1
Debt service coverage ratio 19.4 1.0
Debt equity ratio 0.03 0.03
Return on capital employed (%) 7.9 -2.8
Return on Investment 5.2 3.2

Reasons for change compared to the previous financial year in key financial ratios are as follows:

Operating profit margin

Operating profit margin is a profitability or performance ratio used to calculate the percentage of profit of a company produces from its operations. It is calculated by dividing the operating earnings before interest and tax by turnover. Margins have improved because of operational efficiencies.

Net profit margin

The net profit margin is equal to how much net income or profit is generated as a percentage of revenue. It is calculated by dividing profit for the year by turnover. Net profit margin in the financial year 2022-23 has improved due to operational efficiencies, interest on income tax refund and an exceptional item relating to business transactions towards its erstwhile associates of Established Medicines Brand (‘EMB) under employee separation scheme in previous year 2021-22.

Debtors turnover ratio

It is calculated by dividing turnover by average trade receivables, to quantify a companys effectiveness in collecting its receivables. No major movement compared to previous year.

Current ratio

The current ratio is a liquidity ratio that measures a companys ability to pay short-term obligations or those due within one year. It is calculated by dividing the current assets by current liabilities. Current ratio has improved due to decrease in current liabilities due to inclusion of liability pertaining to exceptional item relating to business transaction towards its erstwhile associates of EMB under employee separation scheme in previous year.

Return on Equity

Return on equity is a measure of profitability of a company expressed in percentage. It is calculated by dividing profit for the year by average shareholders equity. Return on equity has improved due to operational efficiencies, interest on income tax refund in year 2022-23 and an exceptional item relating to business transactions towards its erstwhile associates of EMB under employee separation scheme in previous year.

Inventory turnover ratio

I nventory turnover is the number of times a company sells and replaces its inventory during a period. It is calculated by dividing turnover by average inventory. No major movement compared to previous year.

Debt service coverage ratio

The debt service coverage ratio measures how many times a company can cover its current interest payment with its available earnings. It is calculated by dividing earning available for debt service by lease payments. The ratio has been impacted positively due to exceptional item relating to business transactions towards its erstwhile associates of EMB under employee separation scheme in previous year.

Debt equity ratio

The ratio is used to evaluate a companys financial leverage. It is a measure of the degree to which a company is financing its operations through debt versus wholly owned funds. It is calculated by dividing lease liabilities by shareholders equity. No major movement compared to previous year.

Return on Capital employed

Return on equity is a measure of profitability of a company expressed in percentage. It is calculated by dividing profit before interest and tax for the year by capital employed. Return on capital employed has improved due to operational efficiencies, interest on income tax refund in year 2022-23 and an exceptional item relating to business transactions towards its erstwhile associates of EMB under employee separation scheme in previous year.

Return on Investment

Return on investment is defined as return earned on the investment done. It is calculated by dividing weighted average interest income on bank deposit by weighted average bank deposits. Return on investment has improved due to operational efficiencies.

e. Risks, Threats, and Concerns

Supply continuity, quality of drugs, increasing cost pressure, inflation, high price elasticity (especially in Transplant products), control of prices of certain drugs under the Drug Price Control Order (‘DPCO) continues to affect the profitability of the Pharmaceutical Industry. Revision of NLEM in September, 2022 has resulted in revision of ceiling prices, which would put further downward pressure on drug prices. Building investments in non-traditional opportunities, coupled with heightened competition and a rising cost of talent, will result in margin pressures.

The Indian Pharmaceutical Market (‘IPM) is dominated by generic formulations and these drugs account for nearly 75 percent of the pharma industry. Prescription by generic names could also have an impact on pharma companies and it could necessitate a change in the Companys promotional strategies.

Regulations to cap trade margins on non-scheduled products, could impact the business model for trade generics.

f. Outlook

Medicine spending in India is projected to grow 9-12 percent over the next five years, leading India to become one of the top 10 countries in terms of medicine spending1.

The last two years have been difficult for the world economy on account of the COVID-19 pandemic. Repeated waves of infection, supply-chain disruptions and more recently, global inflation have created particularly challenging times for policy making. While government spending on healthcare has accelerated, the upward trend has been gradual rather than transformative, and medium-term targets - which envisage that public health expenditure will reach 2.5 percent of GDP by 20252 - are unlikely to be met. However, macroeconomic stability indicators suggest that the Indian economy is well placed to take on the challenges of the financial year 2023-24.

We are witnessing, Tier 2 and 3 towns are playing a pivotal role in Indias flourishing economy. As per the National Council of Applied Economic Researchs (NCAER) estimation by 2025, the contribution of Tier 2 and 3 cities will escalate to 45 percent by 2025, proving that even the underdogs can triumph against all odds3.

We have the optimism that with increased focus and harnessing the potential of the ecosystem, coupled with innovative lifecycle management, leveraging technology, capability building in the space of Health Technology Assessment and meaningful partnerships, we are poised to benefit and expand access for many more patients in India.

1 Indian Pharmaceuticals Industry Analysis Presentation : IBEF

2 https://pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=1793820#:~:text=The National Health Policy%2C2017,1.3%25 in 2019-20

3 https://www.outlookindia.com/business-spotlight/breaking-the-mold-the-vital-role-of-tier-2-and-3-towns-in- india-s-flourishing-economy-news-267790

g. Internal control systems and their adequacy

The Company maintains appropriate systems of internal control, including monitoring procedures, to ensure that all assets are safeguarded against loss from unauthorised use or disposal. Company policies, guidelines and procedures provide for adequate checks and balances and are meant to ensure that all transactions are authorised, recorded and reported correctly.

The Internal Auditor reviews the effectiveness and efficiency of these systems and procedures to ensure that all assets are protected against loss and that the financial and operational information is accurate and complete in all respects. The Audit Committee approves and reviews audit plans for the year based on internal risk assessment. Audits are conducted on an ongoing basis and significant deviations are brought to the notice of the Audit Committee of the Board of Directors following which corrective action is recommended for implementation. All these measures facilitate timely detection of any irregularities and early remedial steps.

During the year, the Company conducted a detailed review of its internal control systems, evaluated the internal financial control systems with the Audit Committee and discussed relevant issues with internal and statutory auditors. Based on the recommendations of the Audit Committee, the Board has stated in its responsibility statement that the Company followed proper internal financial controls and that such internal financial controls are adequate and were operating effectively.

h. Personnel

The Company regards its employees as a great asset and accords high priority to training and development of employees.

Number of permanent employees in the Company as on March 31, 2023 was 67.

Disclosures pertaining to remuneration and other details as required under Section 197(12) of the Companies Act, 2013 (hereinafter referred to as ‘the Act) read with Rule 5(1) of the Companies (Appointment and Remuneration of Managerial Personnel) Rules, 2014 are annexed to this report as an Annexure A.

In terms of the provisions of Section 197(12) of the Act read with Rules 5(2) and 5(3) of the Companies (Appointment and Remuneration of Managerial Personnel) Rules, 2014, a statement showing the names and other particulars of employees drawing remuneration in excess of the limits set out in the said Rules forms part of this Report. However, in terms of first provision of Section 136(1) of the Act, the Annual Report and Accounts are being sent to the members and others entitled thereto, excluding the aforesaid information. If any member is interested in obtaining a copy thereof, such member may write to the Company Secretary & Compliance Officer, stating their Folio No./ DP ID and Client ID, whereupon a copy would be sent.