shivam autotech ltd share price Management discussions


MANAGEMENT DISCUSSION & ANALYSIS REPORT

Industry Structure and developments

The Indian automobile industry has been through a rollercoaster ride since the first lockdown due to Covid-19. The pandemic brought the industry to a standstill, with factories shutting down and sales plummeting. However, the industry has shown remarkable resilience and has bounced back stronger than ever. In this blog, we will take a closer look at the performance of different segments including passenger vehicles, commercial vehicles, three-wheelers, two-wheelers, tractors and construction equipment.

The sales data of passenger vehicles, commercial vehicles, three-wheelers, two-wheelers, tractors and construction equipment are published by different industry bodies like SIAM (Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers), FADA (Federation of Automobile Dealers Associations), Tractor and Mechanization Association (TMA) and Indian Construction Equipment Manufacturers Association (iCEMA). SIAM publishes wholesale data of vehicles which are dispatched from the factories whereas FADA publishes retail numbers which is basically the actual number of deliveries done by the dealers.

According to SIAM, the automobile industry experienced a significant 21% increase in domestic sales in FY 2022-23. Notably, the passenger vehicle sector achieved its highest sales figures, showcasing an impressive annual growth rate of 27%. Commercial vehicles and three wheelers also witnessed substantial growth, with respective increases of

34% and 87% primarily attributed to the higher demand for passenger carriers. The two-wheeler segment showed a moderate growth of 18% after experiencing a decline for three consecutive years. However, it is important to note that these segments have not yet reached the sales levels observed before the pandemic.

The FADA report also highlights that, in the past year, retail sales experienced a significant double-digit growth of 21%. With the exception of tractors, all categories showed double digit growth rates. Commercial Vehicles, Passenger Vehicles, Three-wheelers and Two-wheelers witnessed growth rates of 33%, 27%, 84%, and 23% respectively. Tractors, on the other hand, had single digit growth rate of 8% due to strong base of previous year.

According to SIAM, Indian automobile industry recorded peak sales of 2.62 crore units in all the segments covering cars, two-wheelers, three-wheelers and commercial vehicles in FY 2018-19. This number fell to 2.15 crore in FY 2019-20 and further dipped to 1.86 crore in FY 202021 due to negative effects of Covid pandemic. The Covid pandemic worsened in the FY 2021-22 causing the automobile industry sales to decline to its decade-low level of 1.75 crore units since FY 2012-13. After the Covid, Indian automobile market has seen a robust growth of 21% Y-o-Y to 2.12 crore units in the financial year 2022-23 indicating a robust economic sentiment. Despite a continuous fall for 3 consecutive years, the growth was unable to recover to pre- Covid level in FY 2018-19.

Automobile Domestic Sales Trends

(In Numbers)
Category 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23
Passenger Vehicles 32,88,581 33,77,389 27,73,519 27,11,457 30,69,523 38,90,114
Commercial Vehicles 8,56,916 10,07,311 7,17,593 5,68,559 7,16,566 9,62,468
Three Wheelers 6,35,698 7,01,005 6,37,065 2,19,446 2,61,385 4,88,768
Two Wheelers 2,02,00,117 2,11,79,847 1,74,16,432 1,51,20,783 1,35,70,008 1,58,62,087
Quadricycles 0 627 942 -12 124 725
Grand Total 2,49,81,312 2,62,66,179 2,15,45,551 1,86,20,233 1,76,17,606 2,12,04,162

Government Initiatives

1. The Union Budget 2023 eliminates customs duties on capital goods and machinery used to produce lithium- ion batteries for use in electrically powered vehicle batteries (EVs). According to reports, the action will lower the price of EVs in the nation.

2. Green Hydrogen Mission-According to the finance minister, The National Green Hydrogen Mission will ease transition of economy to low carbon intensity, reduce dependence on fossil fuel imports, and make the country assume technology and market leadership in this new industry, with an outlay of Rs.19,700 crores.

3. Basic custom duty changes - The finance minister suggested lowering the basic customs duty rates on goods other than textiles and agricultural products from 21% to 13% in the Union Budget 2023. Due to this, various commodities, notably vehicles, have minimal modifications to the basic custom duties, cesses, and surcharges.

4. Change in personal income tax - The personal income tax rebate cap is raised from Rs.5 lakh to Rs.7 lakh in the Union Budget 2023. It is expected that the salaried population will presumably have more disposable income to spend on items like cars as a result.

5. Scrapping of old vehicles - In line with the Budget 2021-22 policy on car scrapping, the minister announced that she would set aside money for the Central Governments 20-year-old vehicles to be scrapped. She said that states would receive assistance in upgrading outdated cars and ambulances.

Market Size

The Indian automobile industry has historically been a good indicator of how well the economy is doing, as the automobile sector plays a key role in both macroeconomic expansion and technological advancement. The two- wheelers segment dominates the market in terms of volume, owing to a growing middle class and a huge percentage of Indias population being young. Moreover, the growing interest of companies in exploring the rural markets further aided the growth of the sector. The rising logistics and passenger transportation industries are driving up demand for commercial vehicles. Future market growth is anticipated to be fuelled by new trends including the electrification of vehicles, particularly three-wheelers and small passenger automobiles.

India enjoys a strong position in the global heavy vehicles market as it is the largest tractor producer, second- largest bus manufacturer, and third-largest heavy truck manufacturer in the world. Indias annual production of automobiles in FY22 was 22.93 million vehicles. India has a strong market in terms of domestic demand and exports. In FY23, total passenger vehicle sales reached 3.89 million. In FY23, total automobile exports from India stood at 47,61,487. This sectors share of the national GDP increased from 2.77% in 1992-1993 to around 7.1% presently. It employs about 19 million people directly and indirectly.

India is also a prominent auto exporter and has strong export growth expectations for the near future. In addition, several initiatives by the Government of India such as the Automotive Mission Plan 2026, scrappage policy, and production-linked incentive scheme in the Indian market are expected to make India one of the global leaders in the two-wheeler and four-wheeler market by 2022.

Segment wise Domestic Sales

The industry produced a total of 2,59,31,867 vehicles including Passenger Vehicles, Commercial Vehicles, Three Wheelers, Two Wheelers, and Quadricycles in April 2022 to March 2023, as against 2,30,40,066 units in April 2021 to March 2022.

Total Passenger Vehicle Sales increased from 30,69,523 to 38,90,114 units. Sales of Passenger Cars also increased from 14,67,039 to 17,47,376, Utility Vehicles from 14,89,219 to 20,03,718 and Vans 1,13,265 to 1,39,020 units, in FY-202223, compared to the previous year.

The overall Commercial Vehicles sales increased from 7,16,566 to 9,62,468 units. Sales of Medium and Heavy Commercial Vehicles increased from 2,40,577 to 3,59,003 units and Light Commercial Vehicles increased from 4,75,989 to 6,03,465 units, in FY-2022-23, compared to the previous year.

Sales of Three Wheelers increased from 2,61,385 to 4,88,768 units, in FY-2022-23, compared to the previous year.

Two Wheelers sales increased from 1,35,70,008 to 1,58,62,087 units, in FY-2022-23, compared to the previous year.

Exports

In April 2022 to March 2023, Passenger Vehicle Exports increased from 5,77,875 to 6,62,891 units while Commercial Vehicle Exports decreased from 92,297 to 78,645, ThreeWheeler Exports decreased from 4,99,730 to 3,65,549 and Two Wheelers Exports decreased from 44,43,131 to 36,52,122 units over the same period last year.

Opportunities & Threats

Environmental Concerns and the Need for sustainable practices

The automotive industry in India faces the challenge of addressing environmental concerns and adopting sustainable practices. As the industry grows, it is essential to mitigate the environmental impact by reducing carbon emissions and promoting cleaner technologies. This includes the widespread adoption of electric vehicles, the development of charging infrastructure, and the promotion of sustainable manufacturing processes. Automotive manufacturers are investing in research and development to develop more efficient and environmentally friendly vehicles, and the government is providing incentives and support to encourage the transition towards greener mobility solutions.

Addressing the demand for affordable and efficient mobility solutions

India is a diverse market with various consumer preferences and income levels. Meeting the demand for affordable and efficient mobility solutions is a crucial challenge for the automotive industry. Manufacturers must develop cost- effective vehicles with fuel efficiency, low maintenance costs, and value for money. This requires continuous design, engineering, and manufacturing innovation to optimize costs without compromising quality and performance. Additionally, developing shared mobility solutions and integrating digital technologies can help provide consumers with more affordable and convenient transportation options.

Regulatory compliance, safety standards, and quality control:

The automotive industry in India operates under a strict regulatory framework that includes safety standards, emission norms, and quality control measures. Manufacturers must ensure compliance with these regulations and invest

in research and development to develop vehicles that meet the required standards. Additionally, there is a growing focus on enhancing safety features and implementing advanced technologies to reduce accidents and improve occupant protection. Continuous improvement in quality control processes is crucial to maintain customer satisfaction and meet international standards.

While these challenges exist, they also present opportunities for the automotive industry in India:

The push for sustainable practices and the demand for electric vehicles provide opportunities for manufacturers to invest in research and development and establish themselves as leaders in the electric vehicle segment.

The growing demand for affordable and efficient mobility solutions opens doors for innovative business models such as shared mobility, subscription-based services, and leasing options.

The focus on safety and quality control creates opportunities for manufacturers to differentiate themselves by offering advanced safety features, improved vehicle quality, and enhanced customer experiences.

The increasing digitalization of the automotive industry creates opportunities for technology companies, start-ups, and manufacturers to collaborate and develop innovative solutions in connected cars, autonomous driving, and digital customer experiences.

In conclusion, the Indian automotive industry faces sustainability, affordability, and regulatory compliance challenges. However, these challenges also present innovation, growth, and market leadership opportunities. By addressing environmental concerns, meeting consumer demands, and ensuring regulatory compliance, the industry can navigate these challenges and thrive in the dynamic Indian market.

Electric Mobility Revolution

Overview of the electric vehicle market in India

The electric vehicle (EV) market in India is experiencing rapid growth and is poised to play a significant role in the future of the automotive industry. To reduce carbon emissions and dependence on fossil fuels, the Indian government has implemented various initiatives to promote electric mobility. This includes providing financial incentives, tax benefits, and subsidies for EV buyers and establishing a robust charging infrastructure nationwide. Major automotive manufacturers are also introducing electric vehicle models tailored to the Indian market, ranging from two-wheelers and three-wheelers to passenger cars and commercial vehicles.

Road Ahead

The rapidly globalising world is opening newer opportunities for the transportation industry, especially while it makes a shift towards electric, electronic and hybrid cars, which are deemed more efficient, safe, and reliable mode of transportation. Over the next decade, this will lead to newer verticals and opportunities for auto-component manufacturers, who would need to adapt change via systematic R&D.

Safety first

Our commitment to Environment, Health and Safety (EHS) is integral to our operations. We are focused on creating a safe and enabling working environment at all our manufacturing plants.

BSVI transition - Challenges and solutions

Vertical ramp up and ramp down between BS-IV and BS- VI was crucial considering the numbers to be managed across the entire plant setup. However, considering that the manufacturing set-ups are developed as part of a longterm strategy, the challenge could be addressed with well thought comprehensive planning and cohesive team work. We are now geared up to ramp up production rapidly.

Product Wise Performance

All products of the Company come under single primary business segment. Therefore, requirement for analysing segment wise or product wise performance does not arise.

Outlook

Currently, the energy crisis, gas shortages, rising inflation and Federal Reserve rates, labor shortages, high consumer demand, and unpredictability in the supply chain are some of the handicaps being faced by the automotive industry. However, the rising demand for electric vehicles (EVs) is something to look out for.

According to a study, the market share for electric vehicles is on its way to rise to 54% by 2035. Moreover, sales of automobiles on digital platforms, integration of wireless technology in cars, and entry of connected and autopilot- enabled vehicles in the market are some of the factors that are going to fuel the growth of the automotive industry.

Now, to take advantage of such an opportunity, companies need to make major changes in their business models. They need to devote a part of their operations to EVs, partner with other organizations for electric vehicle technologies, strategic acquisitions, etc.

In the case of firms that supply parts or create technologies for fossil fuel-powered cars and/or EVs, the best plan of action is to efficiently invest in automation and re-evaluate their supply chain.

Furthermore, businesses can also plan to expand their operations in countries where there is the significant growth potential for the EV segment of the automotive industry.

Risk and Concerns from the point of view of the organisation

The Company has in place a robust risk management framework that identifies and evaluates business risks and opportunities. The Company recognises that these risks need to be handled effectively and mitigated to protect the interest of the shareholders and stakeholders, achieve business objectives and create sustainable value and growth. The Companys risk management processes focus on ensuring that these risks are identified promptly and a mitigation action plan is implemented and monitored periodically to ensure that the risks are being addressed accordingly.

Internal Control System and its Adequacy

Your Company has exhaustive internal control systems that are aligned to its business requirements. The Company regularly monitors the risks and has in place focused risk mitigation strategies. Internal and external audit teams continuously monitor the adequacy and effectiveness of the internal control environment across the Company and the status of compliance with operating systems, internal policies and regulatory requirements.

The Internal Auditor reports directly to the Board through Audit Committee. The Internal Auditor has been assigned with the tasks for setting up of Inventory norms, Inventory optimization, scrap reconciliation, common spare management, BOM correction and verification. The Internal

Auditor presents to the Audit Committee, the detailed analysis of the tasks assigned to them in every meeting of the Committee. The Audit Committee meets periodically to review the adequacy and efficacy of the internal control systems.

Discussion on Financial Performance with respect to Operational Performance

The Companys Board of Directors is responsible for the matters stated in Section 134(5) of the Companies Act, 2013 ("the Act") with respect to the preparation of these Ind AS financial statements that give a true and fair view of the financial position, financial performance including other comprehensive income, cash flows and changes in equity of the Company in accordance with the Indian Accounting Standards (Ind AS) prescribed under Section 133 of the Act read with the Companies (Indian Accounting Standards) Rules, 2015, as amended, and other accounting principles generally accepted in India. The financials have been prepared considering the above requirements of applicable laws.

During the financial year 2022-23, revenue from operations was Rs. 47,322.62/- lacs as compared to Rs. 47,338.14/- lacs in 2021-22, registering a decrease in 0.03%.

Key Financial Ratios

In accordance with the SEBI (Listing Obligations and Disclosure Requirements) Regulations, 2015 the Company is required to give details of significant changes (i.e. change of 25% or more as compared to the immediately previous financial year) in key financial ratios.

S. No. Ratio FY 2022-23 FY 2021-22 % Change
(i) Debtor Turnover Ratio 5.33 6.24 -14.58
(ii) Inventory Turnover Ratio 5.58 5.27 5.92
(iii) Interest Coverage Ratio 1.05 1.49 -29.69
(iv) Debt Service Coverage Ratio 0.44 0.70 -37.14
(v) Current Ratio 0.74 0.60 24.29
(vi) Debt to Equity Ratio 4.03 3.11 29.30
(vii) Operating Profit Margin (%) 48.94 52.78 0.07
(viii) Net Profit Margin (%) -7.38 -0.3 21,463.30
(ix) Return on Net Worth*(%) -0.33 -0.12 179.83
(x) Return on Capital Employed -0.10 -0.04 151.77
(xi) Trade Payable Turnover Ratio 2.43 2.18 11.31
(xii) Net Capital Turnover Ratio 3.87 3.78 2.42

*Return on Net Worth is computed as Net Profit by Average Net Worth. Decline in Return on Net Worth is primarily due to decline in Net Profit.

During the year under review, Debt Equity ratio increases from 3.11 (FY 2021-22) to 4.03 (FY 2022-23) as the Company is in recovery after pandemic.

Human Resources & Industrial Relations

Human Resources continued to play a pivotal role in managing, guiding and motivating the Companys workforce. Your company has skilled and unskilled workforce to give a competitive edge in an ever-changing industry landscape. With well-developed, well-founded strategies and establish policies, standards and systems, such as recruitment, on- boarding, training, performance management, mediation, legal compliance, and compensation administration, your company keeps a focus on its Human Resource and continues to invest in a wide variety of HR activities for its sustainable growth and social objectives.

Cautionary Statement

Certain Statements in the Management Discussion and Analysis describing the companys objectives, projections, estimates and expectations or predictions may be forward looking statements within the meaning of applicable laws and regulations. It cannot be guaranteed that these assumptions and expectations are accurate or will be realized. Actual results could differ materially from those expressed or implied. Important factors that could make a difference to the Companys operations include economic conditions affecting demand/supply and price conditions in the domestic and overseas markets in which the Company operates, changes in the Government regulations, tax laws and other statues and incidental factors.

Place: Gurugram For and on behalf of the Board For and on behalf of the Board
Date: August 14, 2023 Neeraj Munjal Charu Munjal
Managing Director Whole Time Director
DIN:00037792 DIN:03094545