vishwaraj sugar industries ltd share price Management discussions


Global Economic Scenario

The South-Asian region including India is a major hub of sugar producing countries with ample presence in the global sugar scenario. India has a rich history of sugarcane and sugar production since time immemorial, and the industry has gradually evolved to find a place among the top sugar producing countries of the world. The innovative technological interventions for sugarcane improvement, production and management have helped the industry to progress towards a diversified and bio-based productive, sustainable and profitable one, thereby gradually becoming self-reliant. This self-reliant industry with the right mix of linkages and collaborations, has been successful in tackling the various unforeseen challenges including those that cropped up during COVID-19 pandemic. The industry also fulfils its Corporate Social Responsibilities leading to the overall betterment of its stakeholders. This has enabled the Indian sugar industry to align itself with the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development Goals.

Indian economic scenario

India is a major sugar producing country in the South-Asian region and has recorded bumper sugar production in the recent past. It has a strong sugar sector backed by a well-developed R&D set-up. This has helped the industry overcome most of the challenges, be it in the area of production, processing or other related sectors. Even from very early period, as mentioned in medieval literature, India has been cultivating sugarcane and processing the cane. Slowly innovative technologies were developed to suit the time-based and location-specific demands that facilitated India to become a major player at the global level.

Industry Structure and development

The sugar industry is inherently inclusive with the crop occupying around 5.0 million hectares, i.e. 2.57% of the gross cropped area and supporting over 7 million farmers and their families, along with workers and entrepreneurs of over 550 sugar mills. In India, sugar is an essential item of mass consumption, and the domestic demand is around 27 million tons per annum. Sugar and jaggery are the cheapest source of energy, supplying around 10% of the daily calorie intake. Sugarcane has been projected as the crop for the future contributing to the production of not only sugar but also as a renewable source of green energy in the form of bio-fuels, bio-electricity and many bio-based products. The industry produces 370–400 million tons (MT) cane, 27–30 MT white sugar and 6–8 MT jaggery and khandsari every year. Besides, about 3.2 billion litres of alcohol and 4700 MW of power and many chemicals are also produced. The industry has the capability to export around 3500 MW of power to the national grid. Sugar industry has gradually transformed into sugar complexes by producing sugar, bioelectricity, bioethanol, biomanure, bio-CNG and chemicals. The Indian sugar industry has been capable of meeting the sweetener and energy demand of the nation and to a great extent, has become self-reliant, showing the path to the other countries in building a productive, profitable and sustainable industry.

Risks and Concerns

The Indian sugar sector is highly cyclical in nature and is sensitive to Government policy and weather conditions. A typical sugar cycle lasts for 3-5 years – lower sugarcane and sugar production results in an increase in sugar prices and higher and prompt payments to farmers, which, in turn, leads to an increase in area under cane cultivation. An increase in cane acreage then leads to higher sugar production, decline in sugar prices, lower profitability for mills and consequently delayed payments to farmers, which, in turn, results in area under cane cultivation coming down. Sugar is consumed by every household and also major food Industries like, biscuits, chocolates, ice-creams and Pharmacy Industries. A large number of farmers draw their livelihood from sugarcane cultivation, the Central Government has always wanted to control prices in the open market, while the States want to ensure higher and higher prices for sugarcane farmers.

The major risks faced by sugar business are the availability of cane, regulatory risks, price of sugar and that of sugar cane. Sugar cane is the key raw material for sugar and any difficulty in getting cane at right time will have impact on the business. The key factors that influence cane availability are climatic condition, availability of cane harvesting labor and farmers opting for competitive crops.

The sugar industry is regulated by the Central and State Governments. Sugar cane price, known as FRP, is fixed by the Central Government well before the start of the season while the State Government fixes the State Advised Price (SAP), always significantly higher than FRP. The State Government controls the sugar cane command area while the Central Government regulates Exports and Imports

Outlook

Indian sugar production is projected to increase by 4 Million Mt to 36 Mt in 2023-24 season (October 2023 to September 2024).

Consumption is anticipated to up on increased demand from bulk buyers and processed food manufacturers.

Over the past five years, the Indian Government has been encouraging ethanol capacity expansion to cut its dependency on imported crude oil and channelize the excess sugar inventories in to ethanol production. Those factors will further propel the growth of the ethanol market in India. India currently aims to achieve an E20 blend by 2030. The countrys ethanol blending programme highlights procurement of ethanol produced directly from B Heavy molasses, sugarcane juice and damaged foodgrains. A surplus sugar season coupled with financial incentives to convert excess sugar in to ethanol is expected to boost the ethanol produced volumes, over the years ahead.

The sugar mills in India consume their own bagasse to run their mills during the season and generate steam, to run the boilers and turbines. They generate power to run their plants. Surplus energy can be exported to the grid of distribution licensees. Trading of energy in form of Renewable Energy certificate are allowed since 2010.

Opportunities and Threats

Being a second largest sugar producer in the world, Indian sugar industry plays a significant role in the global sugar supply and agro-based Indian economy. Although a homeland of sugar, Indian sugar industry was late to adopt mechanized techniques for sugar production. The production technologies and processes have remained stable for quite some time now. Also, inclusion of sugar as an essential commodity has limited the scope for product innovation. Consequently, in coming years, sugar mills will look to tap into the opportunities presented by ICT enabled productivity improvement measures.

In India, Sugar is predominantly produced from Sugarcane, the crop yield of which is highly dependent on seasonal variations and is impacted by climate changes. This induces cyclicality in sugar production. This cyclicality, not just on the business of mills but on associated farmers, workers and end consumers as well.

On the financial front, sugar mills depend a lot on banking system for working capital. Along with working capital risks, mills need to manage pricing risks induced by demand and supply imbalance. Data analytics hasnt made much head way into Indian sugar industry yet, but it will surely make its progress as the industry is gearing up for its next wave of transformation after mechanization.

Indian Government has been encouraging ethanol capacity expansion to cut its dependency on imported crude oil and channelize the excess sugar inventories in to ethanol production. Those factors will further propel the growth of the ethanol market in India. India currently aims to achieve an E20 blend by 2030

Discussion on financial performance with respect to operational perfomrance

In the financial year 2022-23, the Company crushed 10,59,379.15 MT of sugar cane and produced 8,93,500.00 quintals of sugar, produced 28,965.77 kilo liters of ethanol and generated 10,60,64,100 KWh of power. Out of the power generated 6,33,98,450 KWh was exported and the balance was consumed by the Company.

The Companys revenue from operations stood at Rs. 61649.49 lakhs in financial year 2022-23 vis-a-vis 46,875.10 lakhs in 2021-22, with a growth rate of 31.52% by volumes over last year. Operating expenses for the year stood at 59,381.25 lakhs as against 42,309.38 lakhs in the financial year 2021-22. The Company generated EBITDA of Rs. 6906.05 lakhs vis-a-vis 9,497.19 lakhs during 2021-22.

Risk Management

VSIL considers timely identification and effective mitigation of risks as the utmost pre-requisite for maintaining stable and genuine returns, besides ensuring consistent increase in shareholder value. The major risks in this industry include impact on sugarcane production due to seasonal uncertainties.

Internal Control system and their Adequacy

The compliance certificate from the Whole Time Director and the Chief Financial Officer provided in the Annual Report confirms the adequacy of our internal control system and procedure. The Audit Committee in every meeting evaluates Internal Financial control and Risk Management Systems.

Material Development in Human Resources/Industrial Relations Front including number of people employed

Our strategic objective is to build a sustainable organization while creating growth opportunities for our employees and generating profitable returns to our investors. The total work force of the Company is 859. Number will be increased with the growth of business of the Company. The Company is aware that satisfied highly motivated and loyal employees contribute to the growth of the Company. The employee relations remained cordial throughout the year.

Disclosure of Accounting Treatment

In the preparation of financial statement for the year ended March 31, 2023, no treatment different from that prescribed in the Accounting Standards has been followed by the Company.

Segment-wise or product-wise performance

(Rs. In lakhs)

Particulars

31.03.2023 31.03.2022

1. Segment Revenue

-- Income from Operations

(a) Sugar

37,865.02 27,289.04

(b) Co-generation

4,366.90 2,480.75

(c) Distillery

17,901.03 15,042.56

(d) IML

- -

(e) Vinegar Unit

1,389.37 1,929.48

-- Other operating income

(a) Others

127.18 133.27

(b) Unallocable revenue

- -

Income from operations (net)

61,649.50 46,875.10

2. Segment Results

(a) Sugar

-13,007.61 11,964.33

(b) Co-generation

2,298.73 2,480.42

(c) Distillery

15,844.51 15,876.00

(d) IML

97.52 45.39

(e) Vinegar Unit

900.73 1,418.66

(a) Finance Costs

2,753.65 3,227.91

(b) Other expendituure (net of other income)

828.88 -89.81

Profit before tax

2,551.35 4,718.03

3. Segment Assets

(a) Sugar

39,891.71 19,445.27

(b) Co-generation

7,564.92 7,157.41

(c) Distillery

19,853.72 3,998.29

(d) IML

358.19 337.02

(e) Vinegar Unit

2,465.59 2,334.28

(f) Un-allocable

2,482.91 43,683.31

Total Assets

72,617.05 76,955.57

4. Segment Liabilities

(a) Sugar

37,032.29 42,070.93

(b) Co-generation

- 1,625.00

(c) Distillery

- 2,025.00

(d) IML

- -

(e) Vinegar Unit

- -

(f) Un-allocable

35,584.76 31,234.64

Total Liabilities

72,617.05 76,955.57

Details of Significant Changes in Key Financial Ratios

Ratio

Formula

Values 2022-23 Values 2021-22 % of Change
Ratio Ratio

1. Current Ratio

Current Assets

41,831.29 1.20 44,996.20 1.14 5%

Current Liabilities

35,003.78 39,432.75 Less than 25% change

2. Debt Equity

Short Term Debt + Long Term Debt + Other Fixed Payments

47,057.12 1.84 48,691.25 1.72 7%

Share Holders Equity

25,559.93 28,259.27 Less than 25% change

3. Debt Service Coverage Ratio

Earnings available for debt service

9,631.30 1.76 12,069.25 2.68 -34%

Debt Service

5,478.90 4,501.54

Explanation: There has been a Decrease in profitability of the company due to the increase in cost of Raw material and other input cost. Further, the government policies in respect to sugar also have resulted in stable sale prices and not increasing in consistency to Input cost. Hence, resulted in reduction in profit and DSCR is reduced.

4. Return on Equity (ROE)

Net Profits after taxes – Preference Dividend (if any)

-2,323.36 -0.09 6,034.30 0.21 -143%

Average Shareholders Equity

25,559.93 28,259.27

Explanation: There has been a Decrease in profitability of the company due to the increase in cost of Raw material and other input cost. Further, the government policies in respect to sugar also have resulted in stable prices and not increasing in consistency to Input cost. Further, DTL effect of Shift of new tax regime in previous year has also resulted in reduction of PAT. Hence, resulted in reduction in profit and ROE is negative.

5. Inventory to Ratio

Sales

61,649.49 1.84 46,875.10 1.44 28%

Avg. Inventory

33,492.55 32,625.78

Explanation: There has been decrease in the average inventory held by the Company due to increase in sales during the year.

6. Trade Receivables to Ratio

Net Credit Sales

4,330.24 1.15 3,224.51 1.04 11%

Avg. Trade Receivables

3,777.37 3,110.75 Less than 25% change

7. Trade Payables to Ratio

Net Credit Purchases

6,137.12 0.79 9,370.21 1.17 -32%

Avg. Trade Payables

7,756.40 8,022.35

Explanation: Due to prompt and timely payment of trade creditors the Trade payable TO has reduced.

8. Net Capital Turnover Ratio

Net Sales

61,649.49 9.95 46,875.10 9.35 6%

Average Working Capital

6,195.27 5,014.11

 

Ratio

Formula

Values 2022-23 Values 2021-22 % of Change
Ratio Ratio

9. Net Profit Margin (In %)

PAT

-2,344.59 -3.79 6,034.30 12.83 -130%

Total Revenue

61,935.96 47,027.41

Explanation: There has been a Decrease in profitability of the company due to the increase in cost of Raw material and other input cost. Further, the government policies in respect to sugar also have resulted in stable sale prices and not increasing in consistency to Input cost. Further, DTL effect of Shift to new tax regime in previous year has also resulted in reduction of PAT. Hence, resulted in reduction in net profit margin. DTL is a non cash item and has temporary effect on profits for the current year only.

10. Return on capital employed (ROCE)

Earnings before interest and taxes

7,946.36 21.18 7,946.36 21.18 -33%

Capital Employed

37,517.77 37,517.77

Explanation: There has been a Decrease in profitability of the company due to the increase in cost of Raw material and other input cost. Further, the government policies in respect to sugar also have resulted in stable prices and not increasing in consistency to Input cost. Hence, resulted in reduction in earnings.

11. Return on investment

{MV(T1) – MV(T0) – Sum [C(t)]} -5.72 -0.28 -4.54 -0.18 56%
{MV(T0) + Sum [W(t) * C(t)]} 20.2 24.94

T1 = End of time period

31-03-2023 31-03-2022

T0 = Beginning of time period

01-04-2022 01-04-2021

t = Specific date falling between T1 and T0

1 1

MV(T1) = Market Value at T1

14.48 20.2

MV(T0) = Market Value at T0

20.2 24.94

C(t) = Cash inflow, cash outflow on specific date

W(t) = Weight of the net cash flow (i.e. either net inflow or net outflow) on day ‘t, calculated as [T1 – t] / T1

Explanation: There has been a Decrease in profitability of the company due to the increase in cost of Raw material and other input cost. Further the government policies in respect to sugar also have resulted in stable sale prices and not increasing in consistency to Input cost. Hence, resulted in reduction in earnings. Further, Market price of share is driven by the industry standards and external factors not within control of the company has resulted in market value of shares as on T1. Hence, ROI has reduced.