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Global Market

The financial year 2023 was marked by a complex global economic landscape, as multiple factors posed significant challenges. The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic and its emerging variants, geopolitical tensions exemplified by the Russia-Ukraine conflict entering its second year, and energy crisis that affected Europe and beyond, had far-reaching consequences. As a result, inflation rates soared in various economies, prompting central banks to implement aggressive monetary policies to combat inflation.

With the macroeconomic insights in mind. the global apparel market also encountered its share of turbulence during the FY 2022-23. Amid inflation. geopolitical tensions, and a resurgence of COVI D-19 cases in China. the global GDP recorded a growth rate of 3.5 percent. which was lower than the previous years 6.3 percent. Notably, advanced economies witnessed their highest inflation rates since 1982. while emerging markets and developing economies experienced significant inflation not seen since 1999.

Central banks worldwide responded to inflationary pressures by raising policy interest rates, contributing to a temporary contraction in GDP during Q2. However. the global economy regained momentum in the second half of the fiscal year, bolstered by lower commodity prices. strong labor markets, robust household consumption, and increased business investments. Chinas re-opening in November 2022 also contributed to the overall global economic rebound.

Looking ahead. the global economic outlook for 2023 remained uncertain, with projections indicating mixed trajectories for growth rates and inflation. In this dynamic landscape, the apparel industry faces the challenge of adapting to changing consumer behaviors and demands to navigate the complexities of the global economy successfully.

Overview of the World Economic Outlook Projections (%)

Particulars 2022 2023 2024
World Output 3.5 3.0 3.0
Advanced Economies 2.7 1.5 1.4
Emerging Market and Developing Economies 4.0 4.0 4.1
Emerging and Developing Asia 4.5 5.3 5.0
China 3.0 5.2 4.5
India 7.2 6.1 6.3

Source: IMF World Economic Outlook July 2023

Indian economy overview

The data release at February 2023 end from the National Statistical Office (NSO) highlights that the Indian economy is positioned favourably compared to market expectations. Indias recovery from the pandemic has been stronger than initially anticipated, gaining momentum steadily since the second quarter of the fisca l year 2023. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) identified India as one of the top two fast-growing economies in 2022. Despite global challenges and tighter domestic monetary policies, Indias economy achieved a growth rate of 7.0%, indicating its inherent economic resilience and ability to rejuvenate growth drivers of the economy.

For 2023-24, Indias GDP is projected to grow by 6-6.8%, overcoming challenges like inflation and supply shocks. The governments efforts to manage supply and demand, infrastructure investments, and pro-investor policies are expected to stimulate growth. The manufacturing and services sectors are poised for recovery, driven by improved consumer and business confidence. Recent improvements in the private sectors financial health suggest potential increased spending and capital investment when the investment cycle picks up. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has projected headline inflation to stand at 5.4 percent in FY24.

Positive signs are evident in the labour market, with rising workforce participation and job creation in specific sectors. The "Atmanirbhar Bharat" (self-rel iant India) initiative is supported by measures like the Emergency Credit Line Guarantee Scheme and the Production Linked Incentive Scheme, aimed at reducing import dependence and strengthening the manufacturing sector. Structural reforms such as the National Infrastructure Pipeline and National Monetization Plan are set to bolster infrastructure development and drive progress across sectors.

Indias economic fundamentals remain robust, and the long-term outlook is expected to be minimally impacted. The subdued global growth scenario has potential benefits for India, including lower oil prices and a comparatively better current account balance projection. While uncertainties persist, the overall external situation is anticipated to remain manageable for India.

Source: -

RBI March 2023 Bulletin https:I /pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx7PR/0=1894932 Economic Swveyoflndia. 2022-2023

Indian Retail overview

Indian Apparel and Retail Market Highlights

The Indian textile an d apparel market is thriving due to increased demand for high-quality clothing and footwear. The government supports domestic manufacturers through initiatives like production-linked incentives. Abundant raw materials like cotton. wool. and silk are readily available. Sustainable practices. such as using vegan leather and eco-friendly materials, are adopted by key players to prevent animal cruelty and reduce pollution. Luxury brands use silks and leather for durable products. Online platforms and e-commerce are expanding distribution. Growing awareness of environmental issues drives demand for long-lasting, environmentally-friendly fashion. The Indian apparel industry stands out globally due to its rich heritage of ancient techniques and cultural diversity. Across Indias vast expanse, diverse regions not only possess distinct languages and cultures but also showcase a variety of clothing styles. As urbanization accelerates and traditional values persist. the fashion and apparel sectors are undergoing a process of transformation to align with evolving trends.

Apparel Market: The Indian apparel market has witnessed significant growth. with a revenue of US$96.47 billion in 2023. The market is projected to expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.34% from 2023 to 2027. The largest segment with in the apparel market is Womens Apparel, with a substantial market volume of US$43.65 billion in 2023.

Retail Growth: The India n retail market is on a trajectory to reach an impressive value of $2 trillion by 2032. This growth is fueled by various factors. including urbanization, rising incomes, and the prevalence of nuclear families.

E-commerce Industry: The Indian e-commerce sector is experiencing rapid expansion. poised to surpass the $350 billion mark by 2030. The industry is projected to grow at an impressive CAGR of 23%. In 2021, the Gross

Merchandise Value (GMV) of the Indian e-commerce market exceeded $55 billion. By 2030. the annual GMV is estimated to reach $350 billion.

Investment and Funding: E-commerce and consumer internet companies in India attracted significant investor interest, raising a substantial US$1 S.4 billion in private equity and venture capital funding in 2022. This represents a notable increase from the approximately US$8.2 billion raised in 2020.

Online Retail Ranking: By 2030. India is expected to secure its position as the third-largest online retail market globally. boasting an estimated annual GMV of $350 billion. This impressive growth solidifies Indias prominence in the digital retail landscape. Recent industry reports highlight a remarkable 36.8% year-on-year growth in the e-commerce sectors order volumes. This significant increase reflects the shifting consumer preference for year-round online shopping, indicating the advanced and mature status of e-commerce brands in India

These statistics highlight the remarkable growth and potential of the Indian apparel and retail sectors. As the apparel market continues to thrive, and the retail and e-commerce industries demonstrate robust expansion, India is poised to play a significant role on the global stage, The confluence of urbanization, rising income levels, and technological advancements positions India as a key player in shaping the future of the retail and e-commerce landscape.

Source

Apparel - India I Statista Market Forecast

Retail Industry in India - Indian Retail Sector. Market Size (investindia.gov.in) https://www.ibeforglindustry/retail-india

Trends in Indian fashion industry

As new trends emerge in the Indian fashion industry. AFL is ready and equipped to leverage these trends by

servicing the new priorities and demands of our customers.

Digital - Channel of choice Footwear potential
Anticipated to surpass $350 billion in GMV by 2030. the Indian e-commerce sector presents a substantial avenue for local fashion brands. The pandemic expedited the industrys digital transformation. prompting Indian brands to prioritize on line presence through e-commerce platforms. Social media proves pivotal for marketing and engagement. Forecasts project India to ascend as the third-largest online retail market by 2030 As the consumer preference & market shifts towards a bold & fashionable & casualisation approach. the team is ready to leverage this shift with a stronger design language, without losing the roots of classic. The collection caters to all. from latest generational shift of fashionable Gen-Z to the ones who still prefer classic styling. With its unique design languages & strive for innovation along with stronger portfolio of brands. AFL will be one of the growing footwear business in the Indian footwear industry.
AFL is a leading Omnichannel player with own e-commerce website & strategic partnerships with third-party marketplaces With a diverse product range, across different brands, AFL is ready to cater to a wider spectrum of consumers & capture a larger segment of the market
Local sourcing and manufacturing Formal wear reinvented
The surge in valuing local sourcing and production continues its upward trajectory into 2023. Brands and retailers are wholeheartedly embracing this trend. actively seeking local materials and crafting garments within their communities. This not only champions reduced emissions and community empowerment but also affords a heightened level of control over the manufacturing process. ensuring improved working conditions - a paramount concern for conscientious consumers. The approach to dressing for work. weddings. and events has shifted. reshaping formal wear. While relaxed dress codes are common. the integration of stretchable clothing into formal attire is notable. The rising popularity of stretchable garments spans all product categories. lending versatility. Designers now incorporate stretch fabrics. fostering creativity in formal fashion with unique and innovative styles.
AFL stands to benefit from technological innovations in the manufacturing space and drive localization to improve profitability AFL is well-positioned as the leading Formal wear player in India

Source www.indianretailer.com

Retail Industry in India - Indian Retail Sector. Market Size (investindia.gov.in)

Arvind Fashions Limited

At the forefront of the fashion and lifestyle landscape, your Company leads with a diverse portfolio of brands that epitomize innovation, quality, and customer-centricity. From USPAs sporty offerings to Tommy Hilflgers timeless elegance, each brand caters to dynamic consumer preferences. Our category expansions include comfort wear, athleisure, prestige beauty, premium kidswear, innerwear, footwear & accessories. Advanced analytics enhance efficiency and merchandise curation for digital customers, aligning with our focus on direct-to-consumer capabilities. With a commitment to heritage, innovation and customer satisfaction, Arvind Fashions Ltd. shapes the global fashion landscape, delivering unrivalled experiences.

Key characteristics of the Arvind Fashions portfolio

• Lifestyle offering across International and aspirational brands

• Across price points & usage occasions to cater to large consumer segments

• Distribution strength to expand into multiple cities & towns across India

• Future ready by being digita lly capable with presence across all direct-to-consumer touch points: own website, strong market place & very large e-commerce partner portal play

• Strong brand extensions into adjacent categories post success of footwear, innerwear, kids wear and accessories across brand portfolios

U.S. Polo Assn. #1 Casuals brand
Flying Machine Among top 3 Denim brands
Arrow Among top 3 Formalwear brands
Tommy Hilfiger #1 & #2 in super premium casuals
Calvin Klein
Sephora #1 Prestige beauty retailer