s chand company ltd share price Management discussions


Indias economic Overview

Despite global uncertainties which can weigh in, it is expected that India is poised to grow by over 6% in the medium term. The last three years have seen the global economy face multiple challenges with overlapping crises. However, despite this gloom, many market analysts believe that this could well be Indias decade. Recent data revisions by India suggest the Indian economy has fared better than what was previously believed despite continuing global uncertainties. Indias young and large, middle-income population, has a propensity to spend. Consumption-led growth will give India the momentum that it needs to record sustained domestic growth. Analysts expect India to grow between 6.0%-6.5% over the medium term. Overall the outlook for Indian economy remains bullish with a strong resilience to external shocks. (Source: Strategic Investment Research Unit)

India stands out as an inspiration with her highly qualified personnel, very strong technological prowess, and infrastructure. The country therefore offers attractive investment opportunities and sustainable development in the times to come.

education Sector in India

As per IBEF Report (May 2023), the Indian education system is one of the largest in the world with about 1.5 million schools, 9.7 million teachers, and about 260 million students. Indias large population in the age bracket of 5-24 years (580 million people) presents a huge opportunity in the education sector. Private sector players are increasingly collaborating with international universities to offer attractive options for the students. This has substantially increased the urge for specialized degrees and industry focused qualifications.

Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics (STEM) based edtech companies are partnering with Niti Aayog and the government to build a STEM ecosystem by establishing Atal Tinkering Labs (ATL) to spread knowledge about STEM, ‘Science, Technology, Engineering, Arts and Mathematics (STEAM) and Robotics for K-12 students. With cutting-edge technologies such as AI, ML, IoT and blockchain, Indias education sector will redefine itself in the years to come.

Online education has powerfully contributed to accelerating the accessibility of education across Bharat.

Key Milestones since Independence

India has accomplished several milestones in the school education system with NCF for K-2 in 2022 being the latest development.

Mudaliar Commission (1952): Also known as the Secondary Education Commission; the members were tasked with examining the existing secondary education system and presenting recommendations for its re-organization and improvement

Kothari Commission (1964): The Mudaliar Commission was followed by the Kothari Commission, also known as the National Education Commission, which made recommendations to reform and develop the Indian education system.

National Policy on Education (1968): On the basis of the Kothari Commission, the government announced the first National Policy on Education. It called for mandatory education up to the age of 14, the "three language formula", and improved teacher education.

(New) National Policy on Education (1986): The new education policy laid a greater emphasis on integrating women, SCs and STs. There was also a focus on a "child-centred" approach in primary education. The policy also expanded the open university system with IGNOU.

Midday Meal Scheme (1995): School meal programme to improve the nutritional levels of students in primary grades. In 2021, the Ministry of Education renamed the policy to PM-POSHAN and extended it to 24 lakh pre-primary grade students.

National Curriculum Framework (NCF) (2005): Published in 2005 by the National Council of Educational Research and Training (NCERT), NCF is quite significant for bringing reforms in the education system by creating constructive learning through developing a learner-centric curriculum, that fosters autonomy to the learner.

Rashtriya Madhyamik Shiksha Abhiyan (RMSA) (2009): Initiative launched by the government to develop secondary education in public schools throughout India. It aimed to increase the enrolment rates at the secondary level.

RTE Act (2009-10): The landmark act made education free and compulsory for students between the age of 6 to 14 years in India. RTE Act also specified recommended student-teacher ratios, teacher working hours and school working days.

Beti Bachao, Beti Padhao (2014): Campaign launched to ensure the safety and education of the girl child, including commitments to building more girls toilets to reduce the number of female dropouts.

Rashtriya Avishkar Abhiyan (2015): Convergent framework launched to encourage children towards learning Science and Mathematics.

DIKSHA Platform (2017): Launch of the Digital Infrastructure for Knowledge Sharing (DIKSHA), an open-source technology platform, for school students and teachers providing e-content, teacher training, mentorship, etc.

National Education Policy (NEP) (2020): The first education policy of the 21st century, the NEP 2020 proposes numerous reforms in school education and higher education. The policy aims to transform Indias education ecosystem by 2030.

National Curriculum Framework (NCF) for K-2 (2022): The government announced the NCF for the Foundation Stage, i.e. Classes K-2, on 20th October, 2022. More announcements are expected to come regarding the NCF of the Preparatory, Middle and Secondary Stages as well during the year 2023.

Opportunities in K-12 education in India

NEP 2020 aims to revolutionize the Indian education system; the education sector is shifting towards experiential learning, supported by initiatives from the government and private players. Various teacher development initiatives have been proposed by NEP 2020, recognizing the inadequate teacher quality; the demand for international schools has risen on the back of rising disposable income.

National education Policy (NeP) 2020

The National Education Policy 2020 is the first education policy of the 21st century and it replaces the 34-year-old National Policy on Education of 1986. The NEP lays out an ambitious plan, seeking rehaul and transformation across the educational value chain in India including K-12 education, higher education and teacher training with a focus on critical and experiential thinking.

Increased Penetration of Digital education

The education sector is undergoing a digital revolution, hastened by the onset of the pandemic. India in particular is seeing a dramatic uptick in the adoption of digital education initiatives, with UNESCO listing it among nine countries likely to shift towards digital education. The push towards a digitally enabled education has been helped by improving internet penetration and digital infrastructure in the country. Private players have launched advanced platforms and apps, enhancing the learning of school students. The government has also launched numerous initiatives to bolster e-learning for school students. These include PM e-VIDYA, DIKSHA, SWAYAM, ePathshala, among others.

Some schools have adopted the hybrid learning model, which combines in-person and online learning while making education more accessible.

Internet penetration rate in India from 2007 to 2022

Demographics for K-12 education in India

According to FICCI (K-12 Education in India: Vision 2047, December 2022), India, with close to 260 million enrolments and ~1.5 million schools, is one of the largest school education systems in the world due to a high proportion of younger population. It spans multiple affiliating boards, different modes of management and governance across state and central levels.

• K-12 schools in India are broadly of three types: Government schools, Private aided, Private unaided

• Of the ~260m students enrolled, ~46% students are enrolled in private schools (aided and unaided) whereas ~54% students are enrolled in government schools

• K-12 segment in India is witnessing a rise in faculty members with ~9.7 mn faculty members in 2020-21. The Student Teacher Ratio (STR) has improved to 26 (2019-20) from 30 (2014-15)

Source: Unified District Information System for Education (UDISE) 2020-21, Economic Survey of India 2021-22

The number of schools in India has remained flat, but there are trends of increased private sector participation and a gradual urban shift

Number of schools in India across management (2012-21)

The government schools are decreasing in number, largely due to consolidation. Those with low student numbers being merged with other larger schools in the vicinity.

Source: UDISE

Number of schools in India across rural-urban

Even though the number of schools in India have remained stagnant, the share of urban schools have been grown.

Source: UDISE

Student enrolment in India across management

Enrolments in private unaided schools have increased in the last eight years. In India, it is observed that 73% of parents who chose a private school did so because they perceived it as offering a better learning environment, 12% for English medium education and 10% because of lack of availability of a government institution.

Source: UDISE

Over the years, Student Teacher Ration (STR) has improved on the back of a rising number of teachers; Gross Enrolment Ratio (GER) in primary grades is falling and GER in higher grades is increasing

Student Teacher ratio (2012-21)

There has been a notable improvement in the Student Teacher Ratio (STR) due to a rapid growth in the number of teachers (~7.8m in 2012-13 to ~9.7m in 2020-21). However, there is segmental disparity as the STR in senior secondary school is ~47:1, as opposed to ~26:1 of the overall school system, as per UNESCO.

Source: UDISE

Gross enrolment ratio (2012-21)

The GER in primary grades has declined over the years; on the other hand, the GER in the higher grades has increased. In absolute number terms, the enrolment for lower grades is likely to fall (and enrolment for higher grades are likely to rise) due to a fall in population growth with a decline in total fertility rates.

Source: UDISE

edTech in India

As per IBEF Report (May 2023), the Indian edtech market size is expected to reach US$ 30 billion by 2031, from US$ 700-800 million in 2021. According to KPMG, India has also become the second largest market for e-learning after the US.

The key categories in the India edtech market are Pre K, K-12, higher education and corporate. Pre K and K-12 was the largest segment of the edtech market in India in 2021.

Edtech in India has grown phenomenally in the last couple of years, making India the edtech capital of the world. The private sector is playing a key role with the public sector acting as a facilitator. Indias education sector saw a boom in edtech funding during the pandemic. There are certainly some advantages of edtech over conventional learning that should be considered.

Educators, parents, and students have long complained about the one-size-fits-all model of conventional schooling. Edtech provides specially tailored classes and access to content at a pace students are comfortable with.

Edtech provides access to education on demand: students who were not compatible with the traditional school systems rigid timetables can get access to quality education. Edtech complements traditional schooling, with better navigation of resources, multimedia graphics and interactive elements, allowing for a more engaging educational experience.

Edtech, which uses IT tools for inclusive, engaging and personalized learning, could potentially bridge the gap for socially disadvantaged segments in India. Indias edtech boom also stems from facts like the prevalence of enthusiastic entrepreneurs adopting a multicultural approach to suit the needs of a diverse country. It is interesting that learners from abroad are enrolling with Indian edtech companies not just for affordability but also because they deliver world-class content.

Various Indian edtech companies are slowly upping their global presence by collaborating with international universities or acquiring foreign firms. These collaborations have been given an impetus by the new National Education Policy, 2020, which encourages education through foreign universities to help establish India as a global education hub. These partnerships are expected to provide students with an excellent learning environment as well as access to inter-disciplinary programmes.

Company Overview

S Chand is a trusted quality education content company for over 8 decades. The Group has a suite of products which offers complete solutions for learners across K-12. Higher Education, Competitive examinations and digital platforms. The Companys strength is founded on its capacity to develop and nurture relationships with customers who trust the quality and authenticity of the quality content and innovations that S Chand develops. The Company has invested and focused on digital offerings in recent years. The Company has more than 10,000 book titles. The pan India distribution and distributor network has resulted in deep market reach, consisting of approximately 3,000 distributors and channel partners. S Chand aspires to be a leader in hybrid learning solutions to cater to the changing and dynamic needs of schools, higher educational institutions, professional colleges, and vocational training institutes.

Key Performance Highlights

The S Chand 3.0 implementation starting from FY 19 was the breakthrough that helped deliver a strong turnaround, the full benefits of which are now evident in FY23. With a focus on cash flow improvement, the Company launched a strategic plan to right size employee headcount, rationalize the number of offices and warehouses, evaluate and eliminate dispensable internal spends, optimize paper and freight costs.

The results of the S Chand 3.0 are seen in the working capital metrics:

• Inventory days down by 37% since FY19

• Receivable days down by 49% since FY19

• Net Working capital days down by 41% since FY19

There was solid improvement in FY23 in working capital metrics:

• Trade Receivables: Reduced to Rs 2,653m during FY23 vs. Rs 2,921m during FY22. This is a Rs 268m decrease in receivables in spite of achieving incremental sales of Rs 1,294m over last year. In terms of receivable days, it stood at 159 days (vs. 222 days in FY22), a reduction of 63 days during FY23. This is the lowest receivable days in Q4 in the Companys history.

• Inventory: Increased to Rs 1,562m (vs FY22: Rs 1,276m). This increase in inventory is due to the un precedented price hike seen in the raw paper prices during the year. Additionally, this inventory level includes raw material paper inventory of Rs 436m (vs FY22: Rs 277m). In terms of inventory days, we improved over last year at 208 days (vs. 216 days in FY22), a reduction of 8 days during FY23.

• Net Working Capital: Reduced to 188 days (vs. 226 days in FY22) which is a reduction of 38 days during FY23. This is the lowest Q4 net working capital days in the Companys history.

• Debt: Net Debt was Rs 60m (vs. Rs 721m in FY22) and Gross Debt was Rs 1,268m (vs. Rs 1,572m in FY22). We have turned Net Debt Free in April, 2023 on back of strong collections.

The reduction in operating cash flow vs. FY22 is attributed to the higher inventory value at the end of the year which is on back of increased purchase of paper during the year.

Transformation in Metrics Since FY19

The SChand 3.0 initiative was a stringent exercise in enhancing operational efficiencies. This has netted a huge benefit in terms of higher cash flows and lower inventory resulting in better financial strength and return to profitability. Since FY20 the net debt has reduced by 61%.

Impact of the New NeP

The New Education Policy (NEP) was formally adopted by the Union Government in July, 2020. The release of the new National Curriculum Framework (NCF) is expected during CY2023E. The Company expects a strong runway of growth for at least 2-3 years, since the New Curriculum is being developed after a gap of 15 years. Consequently, the secondhand book sale is expected to reduce which augurs well for increase in market share.

During the 2005 NCF announcement, the new syllabus was rolled out over a period of 3 years with 5 grades moving to the new syllabus in Year 1, another 5 grades moving to new syllabus in year 2 and 2 grades moving to new syllabus in year 3. Impact of NCF on the company financials is dependent on the timing of the complete NCF announcement by the government.

Potential opportunities from the new NeP

Digital Business

• The Company launched S Chand Academy channel on Youtube during FY22. The channel houses modules comprising of over 1,400 videos that have been prepared supplementing our S Chand Test Prep & College Content. The channel has showed strong growth reaching ~170k subscribers and over 15 million views so far.

• The Company has launched a revised and updated TestCoach app. The app has been downloaded over 170K times. The mock tests provided by the app covers over 50 national and state level exams in English and Hindi. Given the uptick in the number of test prep exams and government job openings, we expect strong adoption for TestCoach during the year.

• Mylestone: Digitally enabled School Curriculum Solution for the K-8 segment. Affordable Private Schools would be enabled with this one stop solution for all their curriculum, content, teacher trainings and assessment needs. We have changed our strategy and are focusing on larger adoptions with the rebrand of it as "S Chand Mylestone". Further the Company is also developing another integrated curriculum product for the more progressive schools.

• Madhubun Educate360 is a K-12 Blended learning solution for enabling schools to conduct online classes, student assessments, e-book support etc. This product is NEP 2020 compliant supporting the recommended pedagogies.

• SmartK: Our Early Years curriculum, SmartK caters to the age group of 2.5 to 6 years. Following the ‘preschool in a box approach, SmartK is a balanced play and activity-based program that provides a stimulating environment for the language, socio-emotional and physical development of the children. Designed on the guidelines recommended by the NCERT, SmartK lays the foundation for the holistic development of the children in their early learning years. SmartK provides a smooth transition from home to preschool to formal schooling.

Our Investee Companies

The hidden value in our balance sheet comes from our investee companies.

Looking Ahead

Looking ahead to FY24, we will focus on working capital metrics and free cash flow. We expect the operating revenues to be in the range of Rs 720cr to Rs 750cr. Gross margins can increase if paper prices decline during the year. We are targeting EBITDA margin to be in the band of 16%-18%. We expect strong growth in S Chand Academy Youtube channel. We look forward to the announcement of NCF for more classes in CY23 which will help in volume expansion.

Human resources

As of March 2023, the Company at a group level has approximately 1800 employees, including the product/ services sales and marketing team of over 700 spread across the country and a content development team of subject matter experts, instructional designers, graphic designers of approximately 200 employees.

In addition, the rewards and recognition program and adequate growth opportunities help to ensure that employees are motivated and performance oriented. The Company also offers an incentive program to its employees, pursuant to which executives and managers receive additional financial remuneration if the Company achieves a defined percentage of their annual sales targets and budget.

S Chand has established extensive requirements relating to workplace safety. To ensure that the Company adheres to all statutory laws and regulations on environment, health and safety, it has implemented an environmental, health and safety program. In addition, S Chand has implemented programs related to electrical safety, the handling of equipment and materials, the handling of hazardous chemicals, fire safety, monitoring of the work environment (including air quality, ambient noise and the quality of drinking water), first aid, hazardous waste disposal and housekeeping.

The Company has a system of accident reporting and investigation, pursuant to which all accidents, both fatal and non-fatal are reportable to health and safety authorities. Employees are also encouraged to report on "near miss" accidents.

Post Covid-19, the company has been very careful in implementing all MHA guidelines for safety of its employees and has also offered work from home wherever possible and required.

risks and Concerns

S Chand is closely linked to the central curriculum academic cycle of April to March school cycle, which is seasonal in nature. The seasonality in the K-12 market has a direct impact on S Chands operating revenues, margins and cash flows on a quarterly basis. The company has also diversified its revenue stream by focusing on digital solutions which are focused both on educational institutions and students. In addition, the company is present in the Higher Education, Test Preparation, Distance Learning and Skill education segments which have different sales cycles.

The rapid advancement of EdTech can potentially be a threat for the Companys print division. But, we believe that the NEP will open up many opportunities give a big fillip to the Companys print business.

The Company can face other external challenges like circulars from State Governments on reducing bag weight for students, pressure for adoption of NCERT books and reduction of certain non-core subjects in junior classes etc. The Company has mitigated some of these threats by developing monthly/semester books, digital products and value-added services and also focused on workshops and seminars with schools to enhance engagement with schools.

A significant portion of the Companys revenues are dependent on the titles of a few top authors. To maintain on-going harmonious relationships, the Company ensures that its authors are compensated well. It believes in maintaining mutually beneficial relationships and having a strong feedback mechanism to ensure longevity of the S Chands various brands.

In parallel, the Company continues to widen and expand its content and author base on a continuous basis. To protect its content ownership and dissemination, S Chand has a dedicated legal team that strongly manages its Intellectual Property Rights on an ongoing basis. The Company views the advent of disruptive digital technologies and the development of open-source content, more as a business opportunity, rather than a threat.

Piracy (physical and online) continue to be a large risk for all publishing companies. The key titles being pirated across various locations for which the company continues to conduct raids through Government agencies. Further, online piracy in the form of internet based applications, use of content by various education aggregators and individuals on platforms like Youtube etc. without permission and uploading of content through various sharing sites are regularly scanned and action taken to protect copyright of company and its authors from infringement.

Internal risk Control

The following list highlights S Chands comprehensive Internal Control Framework:

1. Key Policies are formulated, circulated, approved and reviewed annually, in addition to being published online.

2. The Authorization Matrix is clearly defined with segregation of duties to ensure internal controls.

3. Internal Control Testing is conducted by Internal Auditors, with low failures under the Risk Control Matrix process.

4. Application authorization are given to employees based on level and work profile

5. Regular Internal Audit is conducted for the company and subsidiaries throughout the year

6. External Software to track Statutory Compliances.

7. A robust Corporate Governance approach is followed, with Independent Directors in the Company and all material subsidiaries.

8. Related Party Transactions are approved by Audit Committee and Board wherever required

9. An arms length approach is followed, even between subsidiaries/associates and the holding company 10. Formulation of a Risk Management Committee to oversee risks and measures to mitigate them.

Cautionary Statement

This document contains statements about expected future events, financial and operating results of S Chand, which are forward-looking. By their nature, forward-looking statements require the Company to make assumptions and are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties. There is significant risk that the assumptions and predictions and other forward-looking statements will not prove to be accurate. Readers are cautioned to not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. A number of factors could cause assumptions and actual future results and events, to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statement. Accordingly, this document is subject to the disclaimer and qualified in its entirety by the assumptions, qualifications and risk factors referred to in the managements discussion and analysis of S Chands Annual Report, FY2023.