HOW EQUITY MARKETS PANNED OUT IN MARCH 2024
In January 2024, FPIs had sold $3.10 Billion in equities, while February 2204 saw marginal infusion of $186 Million into equities. In contrast, the month of March 2024 saw FPI net inflows into equities to the tune of $4.24 Billion; of which $3.52 Billion came from secondary markets and $0.72 Billion into primary markets. However, the real story of March gets further consolidated if you add the net debt flows from FPIs. For the month of March, FPIs infused $2.04 Billion into debt, taking their total infusion into equity and debt in March 2024 to $6.28 Billion. Let us now turn to the equity indices story.
For the month of March 2024, the Sensex closed with gains of +1.59%, while the Nifty 50 index closed with gains of +1.57% higher. Among the other generic indices; Nifty Next-50 index closed +2.77% higher, the Mid-Cap 100 closed -0.54% lower while the Small Cap 100 index closed with -4.42% losses for March 2024. Both the smaller indices closed for the second consecutive month in losses; a clear indication of institutional investor interest and fund flows gravitating towards the large cap indices. While there is a shift towards safety, the shift out of the smaller stocks can also be attributed to the clampdown measures announced by SEBI. These include 100% upfront margins on select stocks, additional special margins (ASM), and warnings to mutual funds to go slow on goring on smaller stocks.
HOW BENCHMARK BOND YIELDS TURNED OUT IN MARCH 2024
Bond markets, the month of March 2024, were again range bound; albeit volatile. Through the month of March 2024, the 10-year benchmark bond yields in India stayed between 7.01% and 7.09%, despite volatility creeping in. Bond market yields were impacted by a plethora of factors. On the upside, the oil prices have continued to remain in the range of $85/bbl and $90/bbl in the Brent crude market. That is an outcome of robust demand, restrained supply and the uncertainty created by the Red Sea crisis; which has not only pushed up freight rates, but also insurance premiums; resulting in imported inflation.
However, there were also other factors that kept the bond yields subdued. In the Fed statement, Jerome Powell indicate for the first time that 3 rate cuts were likely to happen in 2024. In India, the Indian government has been aggressive about its fiscal deficit targets and is all set to meet 5.8% fiscal deficit target for FY24 and 5.1% for FY25. The lower borrowing program for FY25 with just ₹7,50,000 Crore borrowing in H1-FY25 is also keeping bond yields under check. The markets are rife with expectations that, despite the food inflation challenge, RBI will cut interest rates after the full budget in July 2024.
Top performing Direct Plans (Growth Option) on 5-year returns (as on 31st Mar-24):
Name of Fund | 1-Year Return | 3-Year Return | 5-Year Return |
Baroda BNP Paribas Large (G) | 45.086% | 20.627% | 19.124% |
ICICI Pru Blue-Chip (G) | 46.287% | 22.593% | 18.734% |
Canara Robeco Blue-Chip (G) | 37.833% | 17.628% | 18.708% |
Category Average | 40.276% | 17.794% | 15.767% |
BSE 100 (TR) Index | 35.786% | 17.789% | 16.214% |
Data Source: Morningstar |
Top performing Direct Plans% (Growth Option) on 5-year returns (as on 31st Mar-24):
Name of Fund | 1-Year Return | 3-Year Return | 5-Year Return |
Quant Active Fund (G) | 56.601% | 29.703% | 29.278% |
Mahindra Manulife Multi (G) | 55.696% | 27.567% | 24.803% |
Baroda BNP Multi Cap (G) | 50.880% | 24.646% | 21.008% |
Category Average | 50.833% | 24.756% | 21.236% |
BSE 500 (TR) Index | 41.853% | 19.481% | 17.582% |
Data Source: Morningstar |
Top performing Direct Plans (Growth Option) on 5-year returns (as on 31st Mar-24):
Name of Fund | 1-Year Return | 3-Year Return | 5-Year Return |
Quant Flexi Cap Fund (G) | 64.958% | 34.626% | 30.481% |
PPFAS Flexi Cap Fund (G) | 42.007% | 23.599% | 23.868% |
JM Flexi Cap Fund (G) | 63.475% | 27.693% | 23.312% |
Category Average | 44.219% | 19.665% | 17.301% |
BSE 500 (TR) Index | 41.853% | 19.481% | 17.582% |
Data Source: Morningstar |
Top performing Direct Plans (Growth Option) on 5-year returns (as on 31st Mar-24):
Name of Fund | 1-Year Return | 3-Year Return | 5-Year Return |
Quant Mid-Cap Fund (G) | 73.007% | 38.665% | 31.942% |
Motilal Oswal Mid-Cap(G) | 65.991% | 37.025% | 27.298% |
Mahindra Manulife Mid-Cap (G) | 66.684% | 29.727% | 26.186% |
Category Average | 54.491% | 24.727% | 21.987% |
BSE Midcap (TR) Index | 67.838% | 26.501% | 22.240% |
Data Source: Morningstar |
Top performing Direct Plans (Growth Option) on 5-year returns (as on 31st Mar-24):
Name of Fund | 1-Year Return | 3-Year Return | 5-Year Return |
Quant Small Cap Fund (G) | 73.738% | 43.275% | 36.535% |
BOI Small Cap Fund (G) | 56.318% | 30.450% | 31.235% |
Nippon Small Cap Fund (G) | 61.119% | 35.812% | 29.745% |
Category Average | 52.807% | 28.898% | 25.267% |
BSE Midcap (TR) Index | 64.506% | 29.541% | 24.979% |
Data Source: Morningstar |
Top performing Direct Plans (Growth Option) on 5-year returns (as on 31st Mar-24):
Name of Fund | 1-Year Return | 3-Year Return | 5-Year Return |
Quant Tax Plan (G) | 61.907% | 33.487% | 32.576% |
BOI ELSS Tax Saver (G) | 60.395% | 26.193% | 26.034% |
SBI Long Term Equity Fund (G) | 63.552% | 28.311% | 21.710% |
Category Average | 43.130% | 19.959% | 17.442% |
BSE 200 (TR) Index | 40.092% | 18.769% | 17.193% |
Data Source: Morningstar |
Top performing Direct Plans (Growth Option) on 5-year returns (as on 31st Mar-24):
Name of Fund | 1-Year Return | 3-Year Return | 5-Year Return |
DSP Nifty-50 Equal Weight (G) | 47.624% | 22.461% | 17.869% |
UTI Next 50 Index Fund (G) | 64.318% | 21.827% | 17.429% |
DSP Nifty Next-50 Fund (G) | 64.458% | 21.926% | 17.171% |
Category Average | 49.490% | 18.924% | 15.313% |
Benchmark Index | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. |
Data Source: Morningstar |
Top performing Direct Plans (Growth Option) on 5-year returns (as on 31st Mar-24):
Name of Fund | 1-Year Return | 3-Year Return | 5-Year Return |
Quant Absolute Fund (G) | 41.843% | 25.874% | 25.098% |
BOI S&M Equity and Debt (G) | 51.209% | 25.801% | 21.530% |
ICICI Pru Equity & Debt (G) | 44.463% | 26.766% | 20.966% |
Category Average | 33.948% | 16.967% | 15.039% |
CRISIL MIF Blended Index PR | 12.471% | 7.436% | 9.052% |
Data Source: Morningstar |
Top performing Direct Plans (Growth Option) on 5-year returns (as on 31st Mar-24):
Name of Fund | 1-Year Return | 3-Year Return | 5-Year Return |
Kotak Debt Hybrid (G) | 19.546% | 12.394% | 12.623% |
SBI Conservative Hybrid (G) | 16.269% | 11.062% | 10.886% |
HDFC Hybrid Debt Fund (G) | 18.570% | 11.916% | 10.643% |
Category Average | 14.592% | 9.310% | 8.470% |
CRISIL MIF Blended Index PR | 12.471% | 7.436% | 9.052% |
Data Source: Morningstar |
Top performing Direct Plans (Growth Option) on 5-year returns (as on 31st Mar-24):
Name of Fund | 1-Year Return | 3-Year Return | 5-Year Return |
HDFC BAF (G) | 42.782% | 25.387% | 18.398% |
Baroda BNP Paribas BAF (G) | 31.773% | 15.385% | 16.598% |
Edelweiss BAF (G) | 28.886% | 14.867% | 15.752% |
Category Average | 27.505% | 13.11% | 12.280% |
Benchmark Index | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. |
Data Source: Morningstar |
Top performing Direct Plans (Growth Option) on 5-year returns (as on 31st Mar-24):
Name of Fund | 1-Year Return | 3-Year Return | 5-Year Return |
Quant Multi-Asset Fund (G) | 48.792% | 33.494% | 28.534% |
ICICI Pru Multi-Asset Fund (G) | 34.640% | 25.148% | 19.678% |
HDFC Multi-Asset Fund (G) | 25.967% | 16.122% | 15.121% |
Category Average | 30.368% | 17.602% | 15.751% |
Benchmark Index | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. |
Data Source: Morningstar |
Top performing Direct Plans (Growth Option) on 5-year returns (as on 31st Mar-24):
Name of Fund | 1-Year Return | 3-Year Return | 5-Year Return |
Tata Equity Arbitrage (G) | 8.456% | 6.209% | 6.203% |
Edelweiss Arbitrage Fund (G) | 8.573% | 6.319% | 6.133% |
Invesco India Arbitrage (G) | 8.541% | 6.480% | 6.098% |
Category Average | 7.846% | 5.574% | 5.375% |
Benchmark Index | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. |
Data Source: Morningstar |
Top performing Direct Plans (Growth Option) on 5-year returns (as on 31st Mar-24):
Name of Fund | 1-Year Return | 3-Year Return | 5-Year Return |
SBI Magnum Gilt Fund (G) | 9.453% | 6.477% | 8.577% |
DSP Gilt Fund (G) | 10.153% | 6.441% | 8.548% |
Edelweiss G-Sec Fund (G) | 9.319% | 6.451% | 8.434% |
Category Average | 8.540% | 5.521% | 7.232% |
I-SEC MIBEX Index TR | 7.493% | 5.549% | 7.046% |
Data Source: Morningstar |
Top performing Direct Plans (Growth Option) on 5-year returns (as on 31st Mar-24):
Name of Fund | 1-Year Return | 3-Year Return | 5-Year Return |
HSBC Corporate Bond (G) | 7.830% | 5.471% | 7.664% |
ABSL Corporate Bond (G) | 8.181% | 6.018% | 7.481% |
ICICI Pru Corporate Bond (G) | 8.300% | 6.214% | 7.460% |
Category Average | 7.638% | 5.346% | 6.589% |
CRISIL ST Bond Fund Index PR | 7.594% | 5.638% | 6.919% |
Data Source: Morningstar |
Top performing Direct Plans (Growth Option) on 5-year returns (as on 31st Mar-24):
Name of Fund | 1-Year Return | 3-Year Return | 5-Year Return |
ICICI Pru Credit Risk Fund (G) | 8.923% | 7.393% | 8.293% |
DSP Credit Risk Fund (G) | 17.424% | 10.394% | 8.104% |
HDFC Credit Risk Fund (G) | 8.409% | 6.843% | 8.002% |
Category Average | 8.758% | 9.874% | 5.330% |
CRISIL ST Bond Fund Index PR | 7.594% | 5.638% | 6.919% |
Data Source: Morningstar |
Top performing Direct Plans (Growth Option) on 5-year returns (as on 31st Mar-24):
Name of Fund | 1-Year Return | 3-Year Return | 5-Year Return |
Quant Liquid Plan (G) | 7.219% | 5.675% | 5.779% |
Edelweiss Liquid Fund (G) | 7.430% | 5.516% | 5.356% |
Mahindra Manulife Liquid (G) | 7.387% | 5.551% | 5.353% |
Category Average | 6.356% | 4.743% | 4.732% |
CRISIL Liquid Fund Index PR | 7.304% | 5.578% | 5.454% |
Data Source: Morningstar |
WERE FLOWS LINKED TO PERFORMANCE?
That is a pertinent question to ask here; were the flows in February 2024 determined by the performance of funds. We will take the last 1 year AUM change, as captured in the table below, and try to correlate the AUM shift with the returns. Indian mutual fund AUM stood at ₹54.54 Trillion as of the close of February 2024.
Month | Debt AUM
(₹ Trillion) |
Equity AUM
(₹ Trillion) |
Alternate AUM
(₹ Trillion) |
Total AUM
(₹ Trillion) |
Feb-23 | 12.30 | 15.02 | 11.83 | 39.46 |
Mar-23 | 11.82 | 15.17 | 12.09 | 39.42 |
Apr-23 | 12.99 | 15.85 | 12.47 | 41.62 |
May-23 | 13.49 | 16.57 | 12.85 | 43.20 |
Jun-23 | 13.48 | 17.43 | 13.22 | 44.39 |
Jul-23 | 14.17 | 18.25 | 13.69 | 46.38 |
Aug-23 | 14.00 | 18.60 | 13.74 | 46.64 |
Sep-23 | 13.05 | 19.08 | 14.17 | 46.58 |
Oct-23 | 13.54 | 18.79 | 14.10 | 46.72 |
Nov-23 | 13.58 | 20.33 | 14.87 | 49.05 |
Dec-23 | 12.91 | 21.79 | 15.78 | 50.78 |
Jan-24 | 13.77 | 22.50 | 16.17 | 52.74 |
Feb-24 | 14.50 | 23.12 | 16.62 | 54.54 |
Data Source AMFI
As can be seen in the above table, the overall AUM has grown by 38.2% you to ₹54.54 Trillion as of the close of February 2024. This has been supported by 15.5% growth in debt fund AUM, 53.9% growth in equity AUM and 40.5% growth in alternative assets. The enthusiasm of equity flows and hybrid flows are largely borne out by the performance of these funds. In the case of debt funds, the flows have been volatile, but that is more due to the treasury impact at the end of each quarter.
KEY TAKEAWAYS FROM THE MARCH 2024 MUTUAL FUND RANKINGS
Here are some key trends we could decipher from the rankings of various categories of mutual funds over different time periods as of end of March 2024.
As India readies for the general elections, markets have turned volatile. However, the impact of such volatility on mutual fund performance is likely to be minimal.
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