6 Nov 2023 , 10:42 AM
Result date: November 10, 2023
Recommendation: Add
Target price: Rs. 1,525
Mahindra and Mahindra (M&M) witnessed 18% growth in auto volumes over the year-ago quarter (14% growth sequentially). Tractor volumes though were down 4% over the year-ago quarter (weak demand) and 22% sequentially (seasonal). Analysts at IIFL Capital Services expect revenue share of tractors to fall from 31% in the June 2023 quarter to 24% in the September 2023 quarter. Revenue could grow 18%, partly driven by higher realizations.
Key margin tailwinds (sequentially) include fall in costs of precious metals, while key margin headwinds include fall in revenue share of tractors (high margin). Auto EBIT margin is pegged at 8.5% and tractor EBIT margin is estimated at 17.0%.
Profit After Tax or PAT could increase 34.5% over the year-ago quarter and 45.9% sequentially.
Important management insights to watch out for:
Consolidated |
September 2023 estimates |
YoY change |
QoQ change |
Auto volumes |
212,078 |
18.0% |
13.9% |
Tractor volumes |
90,061 |
(3.7)% |
(21.7)% |
Revenue (Rs. mn) |
248,336 |
18.2% |
3.2% |
EBITDA (Rs. mn) |
33,340 |
33.5% |
3.1% |
EBITDA margin (%) |
13.4% |
154 bps |
(2) bps |
Profit After Tax (Rs. mn) |
31,151 |
34.5% |
45.9% |
Source: IIFL Research
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