
The renewed US-Iran conflict and uncertainty around the Strait of Hormuz are putting oil prices and global markets under pressure. Here’s how prolonged disruption could affect crude, inflation and stock markets in India, the US and Europe.
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The renewed US-Iran conflict and uncertainty around the Strait of Hormuz are putting oil prices and global markets under pressure. Here’s how prolonged disruption could affect crude, inflation and stock markets in India, the US and Europe.

The RBI maintained the repo rate at 5.25% and retained its neutral policy stance in the August 2026 MPC meeting. The central bank upgraded FY27 GDP growth to 6.7%, reduced the inflation forecast to 5.0%, and highlighted global geopolitical risks while expressing confidence in India's resilient economy.

The rupee's recovery has unravelled as escalating tensions in the Middle East, higher oil prices, and a widening trade deficit push the currency back toward record lows. The analysis explores the RBI's intervention strategy, inflation risks, and why India's dependence on imported crude remains its biggest structural vulnerability.

The Union Cabinet’s latest approvals are set to transform India’s manufacturing landscape. Semicon 2.0 with a ₹1.275 lakh crore outlay, mobile phone manufacturing incentives, urea policy reforms, and railway infrastructure projects are expected to boost semiconductor, electronics, capital goods, fertilizer, and infrastructure sectors. Discover the industries and listed companies likely to remain in focus.

India’s CPI inflation increased to 4.38% in June, crossing the RBI’s 4% target due to rising food and fuel prices. Weak monsoon trends, crude oil prices, and global tensions remain key inflation risks.

The Indian rupee climbed to 94.49 against the US dollar, its strongest level in seven weeks, after a US-Iran peace agreement triggered a sharp decline in global oil prices. With India heavily dependent on imported crude, lower energy costs are easing pressure on the current account deficit, supporting the currency, and improving the outlook for inflation and monetary policy. Investors are now watching whether the peace deal is formally signed and whether oil prices continue to trend lower.

The NSE IPO opens on September 17 with a price band of ₹1,700–₹1,785 per share. NSE CEO Ashish Chauhan said demand has been unexpectedly large, while the GMP has cooled to ₹145 from ₹218 on September 11.

Indian stock markets opened higher on September 16 after the Nifty 50 closed at a five-month low. Sensex and Nifty are attempting a technical rebound, while crude oil, US Treasury yields, the Fed decision and IPO activity remain key market triggers.

Indian stock markets came under pressure on September 11 as the Sensex fell over 400 points and the Nifty slipped below 23,300. Realty and metal stocks led the decline, while rising bond yields, crude oil prices and Fed rate-hike expectations weighed on investor sentiment.

Indian benchmark indices ended higher on September 10, 2026, snapping a three-session losing streak. Nifty and Sensex gained 0.20% and 0.19%, respectively, led by banking and financial stocks, while crude oil above $100, rupee weakness and pressure in auto and metal stocks kept gains limited.

The NSE IPO opens on September 17 with a price band of ₹1,700–₹1,785 per share. NSE CEO Ashish Chauhan said demand has been unexpectedly large, while the GMP has cooled to ₹145 from ₹218 on September 11.

Indian stock markets opened higher on September 16 after the Nifty 50 closed at a five-month low. Sensex and Nifty are attempting a technical rebound, while crude oil, US Treasury yields, the Fed decision and IPO activity remain key market triggers.

Indian stock markets came under pressure on September 11 as the Sensex fell over 400 points and the Nifty slipped below 23,300. Realty and metal stocks led the decline, while rising bond yields, crude oil prices and Fed rate-hike expectations weighed on investor sentiment.

Indian benchmark indices ended higher on September 10, 2026, snapping a three-session losing streak. Nifty and Sensex gained 0.20% and 0.19%, respectively, led by banking and financial stocks, while crude oil above $100, rupee weakness and pressure in auto and metal stocks kept gains limited.
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