Change is happening against quite a challenging economic backdrop. 2025 will not be a year of rapid GDP growth: U.S. growth is forecast at a modest 2.0%, with the Eurozone lagging some way behind (0.9%) and Chinese growth (4.2%) well below recent historical averages. Inflation could also prove tenacious, due to higher fiscal spending and possible tariff hikes. This, in turn, will give central banks less room to cut interest rates as they seek to balance growth and inflation control. The result may well be uncertain and shifting market expectations, triggering more bouts of volatility than in
2024. Geopolitical fallout, perhaps due to changing trade policy, could add to the uncertainty.
For the global economy, we think 2025 will be a case of staying the course in turbulent times. The ability of individual economies to weather possible geopolitical and policy challenges next year will be determined by a number of factors. But, as the growth numbers highlighted above show, there is already a distinction between a high technology, higher productivity U.S. economy and a European economy that is lagging behind on the interlinked issues of productivity and investment.
The market focus on stocks should not preclude interest in other asset classes in 2025. Corporate bonds in the U.S., Asia and Europe, for example, are likely to remain interesting for investors for several reasons. These include institutional demand, still high yields and the return of the (term) premium. Supply and demand will remain fundamental to commodities such as oil and industrial metals but we also see other factors maintaining a relatively high price for gold in
2025. In alternative assets, we focus in this outlook on infrastructure - central to investing in future growth - and what we call the public and private mixology of investing in this area. FX considerations will, as always, be a central consideration for investors and here 2025 will clearly be a case of strong economy, strong currency for the U.S. dollar. The euro will look weak in comparison, but rate rises and growth could support the Japanese yen.
2025 will not always be an easy year for investors as markets navigate through geopolitical or other risks (including the "three Rs" of recession, rates and rotations). But we believe that these risks are manageable. With markets already anticipating the impact of future economic growth and development, this means that being and staying invested will be essential for portfolio success both in the short and long term. I hope you find the analysis in this annual outlook useful and we are, of course, always here to guide you through 2025 and beyond.
INDIAN ECONOMIC OVERVIEW & OUTLOOK
India is set to dominate the global economic landscape, maintaining its status as the fastest-growing large economy for the next two fiscal years. The January 2025 edition of the World Banks Global Economic Prospects (GEP) report projects Indias economy to grow at a steady rate of 6.7% in both FY26 and FY27, significantly outpacing global and regional peers. At a time when global growth is expected to remain at 2.7 per cent in 2025-26, this remarkable performance underscores Indias resilience and its growing significance in shaping the worlds economic trajectory.
The GEP report credits this extraordinary momentum to a thriving services sector and a revitalised manufacturing base, driven by transformative government initiatives. From modernising infrastructure to simplifying taxes, these measures are fuelling domestic growth and positioning India as a cornerstone of global economic stability. With its closest competitor, China, decelerating to 4 per cent growth next year, Indias rise is more than just a statistic. It is a powerful story of ambition, innovation, and unmatched potential.
Complementing the World Bank report, the latest update from the International Monetary Funds (IMF) World Economic Outlook (WEO) also reinforces Indias strong economic trajectory. The IMF forecasts Indias growth to remain robust at 6.5% for both 2025 and 2026, aligning with earlier projections from October. This consistent growth outlook reflects Indias stable economic fundamentals and its ability to maintain momentum despite global uncertainties. The continued strength of Indias economic performance, as projected by both the World Bank and IMF, underscores the countrys resilience and highlights the sustained strength of its economic fundamentals, making India a crucial player in the global economic landscape.
INDIAN TEXTILE INDUSTRY
India has emerged as the second largest manufacturer of PPE globally; it is expected to exceed US$ 92.5 billion by 2025 as compared to US$ 52.7 billion in 2019.
India is the worlds second-largest producer of textiles and garments. It is also the fifth-largest exporter of textiles spanning apparel, home, and technical products. The textiles and apparel industry contributes 2.3% to the countrys GDP, 13% to industrial production and 10.5% to exports. The textile industry in India is predicted to double its contribution to the GDP, rising from 2.3% to approximately 5% by the end of this decade.
India has a 4.6% share of the global trade in textiles and apparel. Moreover, India is the worlds third largest exporter of Textiles and Apparel. India ranks among the top five global exporters in several textile categories. In FY25 (April-June), exports of readymade garments including accessories stood at US$ 2,244 million. The textile sector is expected to play a significant role, with a target of US$ 100 billion in exports by FY30, up from US$ 34.43 billion in FY24. In FY25 (April- September) the total exports of textiles stood at US$ 21.35 billion.
Around 45 million people are working in the textile business, including 3.5 million people who work on handlooms. Textile manufacturing in India has been steadily recovering amid the pandemic. Textile manufacturing in India has been steadily recovering amid the pandemic. The Manufacturing of Textiles Index for the month of June 2024 is 106.
Global apparel market is expected to grow at a CAGR of around 8% to reach US$ 2.37 trillion by 2030 and the Global Textile & Apparel trade is expected to grow at a CAGR of 4% to reach US$ 1.2 trillion by 2030. The market for Indian textiles and apparel is projected to grow at a 10% CAGR to reach US$ 350 billion by 2030, with exports expected to reach US$ 100 billion.
The technical textiles industry is on the brink of remarkable growth, with projections placing the global market size at an impressive US$ 309 billion by 2047.
The Indian Technical Textile market has a huge potential of a 10% growth rate, increased penetration level of 9-10% and is the fifth largest technical textiles market in the world. Indias sportech industry is estimated to be around US$ 1.17 million in 2022-23.
The Indian Medical Textiles market for drapes and gowns is around US$ 9.71 million in 2022 and is expected to grow at 15% to reach US$ 22.45 million by 2027.
The Indian composites market is expected to reach an estimated value of US$ 1.9 billion by 2026 with a CAGR of 16.3% from 2021 to 2026 and the Indian consumption of composite materials will touch 7,68,200 tonnes in 2027.
OPPORTUNITIES & CHALLENGES OPPORTUNITIES
Sustainability and eco-friendly textiles: With increasing global awareness around sustainability, Indian textile companies have a unique opportunity to lead in organic and eco-friendly fabrics. The demand for biodegradable materials, water-efficient processes, and ethical sourcing is rising, paving the way for innovative and sustainable business models.
Government initiatives and policy support: The Indian government continues to bolster the textile sector through schemes such as the Production Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme, Make in India, and tax incentives for exporters. These initiatives provide businesses with financial and infrastructural support, encouraging investment in modern manufacturing facilities.
Technological advancements and digital integration: Automation, AI-driven quality control, and smart textiles are transforming the industry. Digital platforms enable manufacturers to streamline supply chains, enhance production efficiency, and deliver better customer experiences. The rise of e-commerce has further opened direct-to-consumer opportunities for textile brands.
Export potential and global demand: India remains one of the top textile exporters globally. With rising global demand for affordable yet high-quality textiles, Indian manufacturers can leverage free trade agreements, diversified export markets, and global supply chain disruptions to strengthen their foothold in international markets.
CHALLENGES
Supply chain disruptions and raw material costs: The volatility in raw material prices, particularly cotton and synthetic fibres, continues to impact production costs. Global supply chain disruptions, influenced by geopolitical tensions and climate change, also pose risks to material availability and pricing stability.
Labour shortages and skill gaps: While India has a large workforce, a shortage of skilled labour in advanced textile manufacturing processes remains a challenge. Upskilling and vocational training programs are essential to equip workers with the expertise needed for modern textile production.
Competitive pressure from other markets: Countries like Bangladesh and Vietnam have emerged as strong competitors in textile exports due to lower labour costs and favourable trade agreements. Indian businesses must focus on innovation, efficiency, and branding to maintain a competitive edge.
Environmental regulations and compliance: As sustainability norms tighten globally, businesses must adapt to stricter environmental regulations. Investing in green technology, waste reduction strategies, and responsible sourcing is critical to meeting compliance standards and consumer expectations.
RISKS AND CONCERNS
The broader economic trends are poised to directly affect a companys growth potential. Persistent inflation has resulted in increase in commodity prices worldwide. Furthermore, the anticipated rise in central bank interest rates in the coming year may dampen growth and strain economies, especially in emerging markets. It is thereby important to manage cost pressures to sustain the Companys overall performance in these conditions.
Reduced purchasing power and increased demand could result in significant shifts in consumer behavior, negatively impacting the textile and apparel market. Consumers might seek more budget-friendly options, potentially leading to reduced growth and profitability for the Company.
LIQUIDITY AND INTEREST RATE RISK
The Company is exposed to liquidity risk principally, because of lending and investment for periods which may differ from those of its funding sources. Management team actively manages asset liability positions in accordance with the overall guidelines laid down by various regulators. The Company may be impacted by volatility in interest rates in India which could cause its margins to decline and profitability to shrink. The success of the Companys business depends significantly on interest income from its operations. It is exposed to interest rate risk, both as a result of lending at fixed interest rates and for reset periods which may differ from those of its funding sources. Interest rates are highly sensitive to many factors beyond the Companys control, including the monetary policies of the RBI, deregulation of the financial sector in India, domestic and international economic and political conditions and, inflation. As a result, interest rates in India have historically experienced a relatively high degree of volatility.
The Company seeks to match its interest rate positions of assets and liabilities to minimize interest rate risk. However, there can be no assurance that significant interest rate movements will not have an adverse effect on its financial position.
HUMAN RESOURCES
The Company takes pride in the commitment, competence and dedication of its employees in all areas of the business. The Company has a structured induction process and management development programs to upgrade skills of managers.
Your Company believes in the potential of people to go beyond and be the game-changing force for business transformation and success. This potential is harnessed by fostering an open and inclusive work culture that enables breakthrough performance and comprehensive development of employees through the three pillars of Leading Self, Leading Teams and Leading Business.
CORPORATE SOCIAL RESPONSIBILITY INITIATIVES
The provision of the Companies Act, 2013 relating to CSR Initiatives are not applicable to the Company.
COMPLIANCE
The Compliance function of the Company is responsible for independently ensuring that operating and business units comply with regulatory and internal guidelines. The Compliance Department of the Company is continued to play a pivotal role in ensuring implementation of compliance functions in accordance with the directives issued by regulators, the Companys Board of Directors and the Companys Compliance Policy. The Audit Committee of the Board reviews the performance of the Compliance Department and the status of compliance with regulatory/internal guidelines on a periodic basis.
The Company has complied with all requirements of regulatory authorities. No penalties/strictures were imposed on the Company by stock exchanges or SEBI or any statutory authority on any matter related to capital market during the last three years.
| Mumbai, June 2, 2025 | By order of the Board For TUNI TEXTILE MILLS LIMITED |
| Registered Office : Unit No. 207, 2nd Floor, Building No. 3A, Mittal Industrial Estate, Andheri Kurla Road, Andheri (E), Mumbai 400 059 | S/d- Narendra Kumar Sureka DIN : 01963265 Chairman & Managing Director |
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