26 Apr 2022 , 09:26 AM
Result date: 27th April, 2022
Recommendation: Add
Target price: Rs2,350
HUL is likely to report a moderate performance for the March 2022 quarter. Most of the categories it operates in have witnessed high single digit decline in sales volume during Jan-Feb 2022, even as sales value has been flattish, as per market research firm Nielsen. Discretionary categories such as hair and skin-care are impacted more than home care.
In this scenario, HUL could report 8% increase in revenues over the year-ago quarter. The company is expected to reduce ad-spends as compared to the year-ago quarter. The company has implemented price hikes which could restrict contraction in EBITDA margin to 45 basis points on a year-on-year basis and ~140 basis points sequentially.
Consequently, PAT growth could be muted at 1.4% over the year-ago quarter.
Important management insights to watch out for:
· Outlook on demand across all segments and markets
· Trends in input cost inflation, pricing action planned and margin levers
Rs Million | March 2022 estimates | YoY change |
Revenue | 131,989 | 8.0% |
EBITDA | 32,270 | 6.0% |
Profit After Tax | 22,067 | 1.4% |
Source: IIFL Research
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