RBI maintains Status Quo, Investors can take positive action
1. Wait and watch – RBI has made it clear that while it will wait before it changes the repo rates, it will remain watchful for economic developments
2. Objective assessment – Inflation is expected to rise in November and December to around 6% on elevated food prices, and then projected to fall to 4%-5% range in the coming quarters; core inflation trending lower.
3. Bias for action – High inflation readings now along with lower projections can provide a good investment opportunity in Bond funds if one has a 1 year investment horizon. Lower inflation in the future imply rate cuts and easy monetary policy resulting in capital appreciation in bond funds.
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