Sep/Oct HFI data shows: 1) Industrial/ Infra activity trends mixed, but freight traffic sees a sharp pickup. 2) Consumption trends affected by a shift in festive season as retail PV/2W sales contract; but expect pickup in Nov. 3) Weak FDI but strong ECB flows, as FII outflow continues for the second consecutive month. 4) Trade deficit hits a record high of $31.5bn, as rise in crude prices and higher gold imports result in the import bill shooting up. 5) International indicators stay weak, as crude softens and other commodities remain stable but soft.
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