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Dalmia Bharat Ltd Merged Management Discussions

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Dalmia Bharat Ltd Merged Share Price Management Discussions

Indian economic overview

India has been growing at an accelerated rate over the last few years, maintaining its position as the worlds fastest-growing major economy. Although GDP growth is expected to decline from 8% in FY16 to 7.1% in FY17 as per the Central Statistics Organisation, the near-term outlook for India remains bright on the basis of four key governmental reform measures:

The implementation of Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code

The liberalisation of FDI norms across sectors

The operationalisation of the Goods and Services (GST) Amendment Bill

The signing of an agreement between the Central Government and the Reserve Bank of India on a monetary policy framework including the setting up of a monetary policy committee and agreeing on a flexible inflation target

The Central Government has also taken a number of steps to attract domestic and foreign investments with a focus on promoting ‘Make in India and building world-class infrastructure. Additional structural reforms to address legacy impediments to growth like GST implementation, clearing of NPAs of public sector banks, increased investment in the education sector and the implementation of the revised ‘Housing for All policy should sustain Indias housing and infrastructural growth. The Central Government announced a record budgetary allocation of C3.96 lac crore to the infrastructure sector for FY18, as opposed to C2.21 lac crore for FY17 (an increase of almost 80%). The year also witnessed the ‘Smart Cities initiative getting underway, with 60 cities being shortlisted for financing after the first three rounds.

Cement industry overview

India is the worlds second largest cement producer, producing 280 MT in FY17.

Demand

The housing sector is the largest consumer of cement in the country, with approximately 60% of the total consumption being contributed by the housing sector. The Government also laid a keen emphasis on overcoming housing shortage in the country by introducing the ‘Housing for All by 2022 scheme, Smart Cities, Atal Mission for Rejuvenation and Urban Transformation (AMRUT) and Pradhan Mantri Gramin Awas Yojna (PMGAY) schemes. The target number of houses to be built under the PMGAY scheme increased by 33% to 40 million units. Growth in the infrastructure and construction sectors will also result in increased demand for cement. To reduce logistical constraints, the nations transportation infrastructure i.e. rail, roads and ports, are receiving a facelift. Projects such as dedicated freight corridors, new airports and ports will drive cement demand.

Supply

The pan-India cement capacity increased to 457 million tonnes by end FY17, from ~440 million tonnes in FY16. Indias cement production capacity is expected to touch 510 million tonnes by FY20. This growth is driven largely by the Central Governments renewed focus on infrastructural development and capital investments made towards boosting economic growth. As the economy revives, the countrys cement industry is expected to perform better due to improved demand and enhanced capacity utilisation. (Source: IBEF, CSLA, Statistia, Edelweiss)

Our regions

Southern India: Currently, South India accounts for 25% of domestic cement demand. The demand in Southern India rose by 6% Y-o-Y on the back of demand growth in Telangana and Andhra Pradesh by more than 20% Y-o-Y in FY17. The main reasons that have boosted growth are improved sentiment, development activities undertaken at the new identified state capital of Amravati, resumption of irrigation projects, innovative land pooling for construction activities and a greater reliance on more formal sources of funding.

Decisive initiatives in the realm of infrastructural development by the State Governments of Andhra Pradesh and Telangana have raised hopes of a sharp and sustained demand recovery over the next couple of years.

North-Eastern India: The Government is placing a special attention on infrastructure development projects like road, rail, communication and telecom in this region. North-Eastern India is more leveraged to government spending trends than any other region in India. With increased investment in infrastructure by the government and various projects already in the pipeline, the North East India should emerge as the highest growth area in the country.

Eastern India: Eastern India accounts for ~17% of the overall domestic cement output. It is estimated that there is a shortage of 60 million housing units (of which 20 million are in urban areas). Of this, more than 51% of the shortage is in the Eastern and Central regions. Hence, the Eastern region is expected to see the highest capacity addition, going ahead. The Central Governments demonetisation drive in November 2016 resulted in subdued cement prices and volumes for the rest of FY17. Currently, we are witnessing strong demand growth in Eastern India driven by housing and rejuvenated infrastructure development.

(Source: Indian Express, Business Standard, Motilal Oswal)

Company overview

Dalmia Bharat Limited (DBL) along with its subsidiaries (collectively referred to as ‘Dalmia Bharat or ‘the Company or ‘the Group) is a leading player in the Indian domestic cement manufacturing space. With a 11.2% market share in our operating geographies and 25 million tonnes of installed capacity, Dalmia Bharat is a dynamic proxy for the Indian cement industry.

The Company has a manufacturing presence spread across 11 locations in eight Indian states. The Company enjoys steady offtake in Southern and NorthEastern India through its robust portfolio of brands like Dalmia DSP, Dalmia, Dalmia Ultra, Vajram, Dalmia Superroof, Konark, and Dalmia SRPC.

Operational performance

Dalmia Bharats relentless pursuit for excellence has allowed it to augment operational efficiency and grow sustainably year-after-year. These are the results: Among the lowest power consumers (70 units per tonne of cement) in the cement sector Lowest carbon footprint in the cement sector One of the lowest variable costs per tonne in the industry (C1320 per tonne) One of the highest blended cement ratios in the industry ~80%

The Companys EBITDA per tonne improved from C861 in FY15 to C1258 in FY17. The Company optimised its product mix, used environment-friendly raw materials and adopted best-in-class practices. The result: overall manufacturing costs (ex-interest, depreciation and tax) as a proportion of revenues declined from 83% in FY15 to 74% in FY17.

Power and fuel costs

Dalmia Bharat has made a concerted effort over the past decade to increase the consumption of economic fuels, which include pet coke, carbon black, wood, charcoal, municipal waste and saw dust. The Group invested in reducing its carbon footprint and strengthening eco-friendliness. Currently, around 80% of its total fuel consumption is being met by these fuels. By prudently changing the raw material mix, the Group increased the consumption of alternative additives (replacing clinker proportionately), many of which are derived from industrial waste. This helped in a reduction of power & fuel cost. Dalmia Bharat was able to moderate power and fuel costs per tonne from C649 in FY16 to C608 in FY17.

Consolidated financial performance

Gross revenues

Total gross revenues stood at C8,348 crore in FY17, increasing by 15% compared to C7,262 crore in FY16.

Operating profit

Operating profit or EBITDA increased by 19.5% during FY17 to C1,902 crore from C1,592 crore in FY16, largely as a result of a growing topline due to higher realisations earned and by reducing operating expenses by the increased use of alternative raw material and alternative economical fuels.

Depreciation

Depreciation for the year under review stood at C603 crore compared to C581 crore in the previous year, up by 3.7% on a Y-o-Y basis mainly because of the commissioning of the Belgaum and Umrangshu units.

Finance costs

Finance costs for the year under review increased by nearly 21% from C730 crore to C890 crore mainly because of the commissioning of the Belgaum and Umrangshu units.

Total tax expenses

Total tax expenses for the year stood at C276 crore, which included Current Tax payouts worth C266 crore and Deferred Tax charges worth C24 crore.

Net profit

Consolidated net profit for the year under review stood at C345 crore, a 81% increase over the previous year.

Balance sheet analysis

Net worth

The net worth of the Company stood at C5,578 crore as on 31st March, 2017, increasing by 9% compared to C5,115 crore as on 31st March, 2016.

Loan profile

The total loan funds of the Company stood at C8,049 crore while long-term borrowings stood at C6,820 crore. Net debt as on 31st March, 2017 stood at C5,240 crore.

Inventories

Inventories decreased by 7% to C649 crore during the year under review from C698 crore in the previous year.

Sundry debtors

Sundry debtors of the Company stood at C593 crore in FY17, an increase of 16% over the previous year.

Cash and cash equivalents

The Company had on its books cash and cash equivalents worth C2,816 crore as on 31st March, 2017 as compared to C2,788 crore in FY16.

Current liabilities

Current liabilities stood at C4,237 crore comprising mainly trade payables of C954 crore and borrowings of C1,220 crore.

Safety

Employee safety is a large focus area for the Company. We actively seek to eliminate work hazards and provide one of the safest work environments to employees. Most of our integrated plants and grinding units were IMS-certified (9901, 14401, & 18001). Key initiatives over the year comprised: A single permit system was implemented for different activities helping monitor, track, reduce person-hours and ensure work was completed in a safe manner. Heat proximity suits were procured for workers in high temperature zones. Ergonomically designed platforms were erected for safety of tarpaulin and in the fabrication section for opening the lid of the cement and AFR bulkers. These platforms eliminated the use of safety harnesses, making it safer, user-friendly and cost-effective.

The truck parking yard design has been designed as per international standards. This design helps ergonomics for the driver by reducing the turning radius and avoiding all instances of reversing, collision, run-over instances and bottlenecks in case of a break down. A systematic way of parking ensures designated bays for various sizes of trucks.

The design parking yard design was developed keeping 15 years of foresight, accounting for quicker turn-around times, compatibility with technology upgrades such as RFID and technology upgrades for commercial vehicles.

Going ahead, the Group is in the process of establishing an enterprise-wide safety function to implement strategies, improve performance and work towards realising its vision of an accident-free workplace.

Research and development

R&D plays a pivotal role in improving product quality and bringing down production costs. Dalmia Bharat has strengthened its R&D competitiveness in terms of operational and manufacturing efficiency. This is how it has made this happen: Increasing the use of alternative and economical fuels Improving quality through the use of high performance chemicals Reorienting the raw design mix Increasing fly ash and slag absorption in the manufacture of PPC and PSC varieties respectively

Dalmia Bharats R&D team constantly strives to moderate clinker composition and make the products more eco-friendly. By leveraging international technologies and collaborations, it has been successful in improving product design, development and applications. The Companys routine investment in its world-class R&D department (a total of C6.5 crore during FY16-17) was instrumental in improving sales and profitability.

Information technology

In order to enhance organisational responsiveness, deliver sustainable and cost-effective solutions and reduce time-to-market, Dalmia Bharat invested in a best-in-class information management platform. During the year, the Company focused on improving mobility and designed apps, which helped improve real-time engagement with customers for online transactions such as placing orders, requesting credit, invoicing and complaints resolution.

The Company successfully migrated more than 95% of its workload from on-premise servers to a state-of-the-art cloud platform. This enabled the cost-efficient rollout of applications, reducing operational overheads.

Additionally, the deployment of an integrated GRC (Governance, Risk and Compliance) platform spanning functions provides the management with real-time information to make well-informed decisions and manage risk. The IT systems are secured with some of the best breed of security technologies to prevent unauthorised access or data theft.

The Group intends to create innovative operational efficiencies that extend beyond ERP through plant automation, business analytics, real-time information availability and supply chain management, which will ease access and engagement for customers and other stakeholders.

Risk management

At Dalmia Bharat, we are aware of the challenges that a business faces. Our ability to enhance value is dependent on addressing key risks. The Companys robust risk management programme focuses on ensuring that risks identified and addressed prudently. Our goal is to maximise realisations and minimise losses.

Economic risk: Fluctuations in macroeconomic factors can have an adverse impact on the Companys operations. Dalmia monitors all macroeconomic factors proactively and formulates strategies to minimise business impact.

Cost risk: An increase in raw material, power and fuel costs could impact profitability. The Company acknowledges that variable costs comprising raw materials, power and fuel constitute more than 40% of total costs. Green initiatives like a higher production of blended cement with increased use of additives (industrial waste) like fly ash and slag plus optimisation of fuel mix through higher usage of economic fuel resulted in the moderation of power and fuel costs from C649 per tonne in FY16 to C608 per tonne in FY17.

Logistics risk: Rising logistic costs could impact realisations. The Group established its plants at strategic locations with proximity to all key serving markets and raw material sources. The Companys enhanced focus on digitisation could help lower the logistics cost and lead time.

Competition risk: The cement industry in India is witnessing rising competition from national players, which could affect margins. At Dalmia Bharat, we possess a diverse product mix catering to every segment and need. Adept marketing initiatives enhanced brand recall and salience. Focus on quality, cost and customer service mitigated competition risk for the Group.

Credit risk: Dalmia Bharat successfully refinanced debt stemming from recently-acquired assets. Cash and cash equivalents stood at a comfortable C2,816 crore as on March 31, 2017. The Groups fiscal prudence was reflected in its low weighted average debt cost.

Internal control systems

The Company has a robust internal control system for Risk Management, business operations, financial reporting & compliance with applicable laws and regulations. The roles and responsibilities of all employees and functions have been clearly laid out through a number of detailed standard operating procedure & delegation of power document. SAP–ERP system has been implemented to ensure best in class accounting & financial control. The internal auditor of the Company conducts regular internal audits as per Board approved plan and the Audit Committee conducts periodic reviews to adjudge the adequacy and effectiveness of internal control systems and undertakes corrective measures whenever required.

Outlook

We expect cement demand to be strong due to concerted efforts by the Central and State Governments on Infrastructure development and affordable housing.

Dalmia Bharat has invested in building capabilities and is expected to further sweat the assets and improve utilisation, creating value for all our stakeholders.

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