The Management of Sarvamangal Mercantile Company Limited, presents the analysis of Company for the year ended on March 31, 2024 and its outlook for the future. This outlook is based on assessment of current business environment. It may vary due to future economic and other developments.
This Management Discussion and Analysis (MD&A) of Sarvamangal Mercantile Company Limited for the year ended on March 31, 2024 contains financial highlights but does not contain the complete financial statements of the Company. It should be read in conjunction with the Companys Audited Financial Statements for the year ended on March 31, 2024.
OVERVIEW
WORLD ECONOMY
Global growth is projected at 3.1 percent in 2024 and 3.2 percent in 2025, with the 2024 forecast 0.2 percentage point higher than that in the October 2023 World Economic Outlook (WEO) on account of greater-than-expected resilience in the United States and several large emerging market and developing economies, as well as fiscal support in China. The forecast for 2024 25 is, however, below the historical (2000 19) average of 3.8 percent, with elevated central bank policy rates to fight inflation, a withdrawal of fiscal support amid high debt weighing on economic activity, and low underlying productivity growth. Inflation is falling faster than expected in most regions, in the midst of unwinding supply-side issues and restrictive monetary policy. Global headline inflation is expected to fall to 5.8 percent in 2024 and to 4.4 percent in 2025, with the 2025 forecast revised down.
With disinflation and steady growth, the likelihood of a hard landing has receded, and risks to global growth are broadly balanced. On the upside, faster disinflation could lead to further easing of financial conditions. Looser fiscal policy than necessary and then assumed in the projections could imply temporarily higher growth, but at the risk of a costlier adjustment later on. Stronger structural reform momentum could bolster productivity with positive cross-border spillovers. On the downside, new commodity price spikes from geopolitical shocks including continued attacks in the Red Sea and supply disruptions or more persistent underlying inflation could prolong tight monetary conditions. Deepening property sector woes in China or, elsewhere, a disruptive turn to tax hikes and spending cuts could also cause growth disappointments.
Policymakers near-term challenge is to successfully manage the final descent of inflation to target, calibrating monetary policy in response to underlying inflation dynamics and where wage and price pressures are clearly dissipating adjusting to a less restrictive stance. At the same time, in many cases, with inflation declining and economies better able to absorb effects of fiscal tightening, a renewed focus on fiscal consolidation to rebuild budgetary capacity to deal with future shocks, raise revenue for new spending priorities, and curb the rise of public debt is needed. Targeted and carefully sequenced structural reforms would reinforce productivity growth and debt sustainability and accelerate convergence toward higher income levels. More efficient multilateral coordination is needed for, among other things, debt resolution, to avoid debt distress and create space for necessary investments, as well as to mitigate the effects of climate change. (sourchttps://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2024/01/30/world-economic-outlook-update-january-2024)
INDIA
Strong economic growth in the first quarter of FY23 helped India overcome the UK to become the fifth-largest economy after it recovered from the COVID-19 pandemic shock. Nominal GDP or GDP at Current Prices in the year 2023-24 is estimated at Rs. 295.36 lakh crores (US$ 3.54 trillion), against the First Revised Estimates (FRE) of GDP for the year 2022-23 of Rs. 269.50 lakh crores (US$ 3.23 trillion). The growth in nominal GDP during 2023-24 is estimated at 9.6% as compared to 14.2% in 2022-23. Strong domestic demand for consumption and investment, along with Governments continued emphasis on capital expenditure are seen as among the key driver of the GDP in the second half of FY24. During the period April-June 2025, Indias exports stood at US$ 109.11 billion, with Engineering
Goods (25.35%), Petroleum Products (18.33%) and electronic goods (7.73%) being the top three exported commodity. Rising employment and increasing private consumption, supported by rising consumer sentiment, will support GDP growth in the coming months.
Future capital spending of the government in the economy is expected to be supported by factors such as tax buoyancy, the streamlined tax system with low rates, a thorough assessment and rationalisation of the tariff structure, and the digitization of tax filing. In the medium run, increased capital spending on infrastructure and asset-building projects is set to increase growth multipliers. The contact-based services sector has demonstrated promise to boost growth by unleashing the pent-up demand. The sectors success is being captured by a number of HFIs (High-Frequency Indicators) that are performing well, indicating the beginnings of a comeback.
India has emerged as the fastest-growing major economy in the world and is expected to be one of the top three economic powers in the world over the next 10-15 years, backed by its robust democracy and strong partnerships.
Indias appeal as a destination for investments has grown stronger and more sustainable because of the current period of global unpredictability and volatility, and the record amounts of money raised by India-focused funds in 2022 are evidence of investor faith in the "Invest in India" narrative. (source: https://www.ibef.org/economy/indian-economy-overview)
INDUSTRY STRUCTURE AND DEVELOPMENTS:
Your Company engaged in Financial Services. The major income of the Company is through receipt of dividend on the investments made in other companies. The company is actively engaged in looking for opportunities that may arrive in the financial sector and trading of goods
OPPURTUNITIES
Huge opportunity arising from the increased economic activities in the Country
THREATS
There is a global slowdown in the world economy
RISKS AND CONCERNS:
Company is exploring different options for other financial and trading activities to generate revenue which may have a potential risk involved in the transaction
The Company has a risk identification and management frame work appropriate to it and to the business environment under which it operates. Risks are being identified at regular intervals by the Board. The Company is overly dependent on Dividend Income from the Investment made in other companies and the future cash flows may vary in case the Investments made yielding lower Dividends.
The Board of Directors is responsible for the assessment, formulation and implementation of guidelines, managing key risks, risk minimization procedures and periodicals review.
INTERNAL CONTROL SYSTEM AND THEIR ADEQUACY:
Your Company has a comprehensive system of internal controls to safeguard the
Companys assets against loss from unauthorized use and ensure proper authorization of financial transactions. The Company has an exhaustive budgetary control system to monitor all expenditures against approved budgets on an ongoing basis. The Company maintains a system of internal controls designed to provide assurance regarding the effectiveness and efficiency of operations, the reliability of financial controls and compliance with applicable laws and regulations as applicable in the various jurisdictions in which the Company operates. The Company has in place adequate internal control systems and procedures covering all the operational, financial, legal, and compliance functions. The structured internal audit process charged with the task of ensuring reliability and accuracy of the accounting and of the other operational data.
The Company has a system of monthly review of businesses as a key operational control wherein the performance of units is reviewed against budgets and corrective actions are taken.
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE WITH RESPECT TO OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE:
Total Income for the year ended March 31, 2024 amounted to Rs. 132.66 lakhs as against Rs. 155.33 lakhs in the previous Financial Year. Net profit for the year under review was Rs. 38.56 lakhs as against Rs. 23.06 lakhs in the previous Financial Year.
HUMAN RESOURCES / INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS:
Your Company has team of qualified and dedicated personnel who have contributed to the consolidation of the operations of your Company. Your Companys industrial relations continued to be harmonious during the year under review.
Details of significant changes in Key Financial Ratios:
Key Ratio | 2023-24 | 2022-23 | Variance | Reason |
Debt Equity Ratio | 0.05 | 0.12 | -58% | Shareholder Equity increased FY 2023-24 |
Net Profit Margin | 29.07 | 14.8 | 96% | Profit Margin increased during the year 2023-24 |
Details of any change in Return on Net Worth | 0.88 | 1.91 | -54% | Change in Net worth |
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