Sindhu Trade Links Ltd Management Discussions.
Economic Developments and Industry View
India has emerged as the fastest growing major economy in the world as per the Central Statistics Organisation (CSO) and International Monetary Fund (IMF). The Indian economy growth rate in this Financial Year is 6.8 per cent in FY 2016-17 due to the recovering effects of Demonetization. As per the World Bank Report dated June 05, 2017, the Indian economy should grow at 7.2 % in FY 2017-18. The growth in Indias economic fundamentals has decreased due to the recovering the temporary adverse effects of demonetisation. As per the World Bank India still remains the fastest growing major economy of the World.
Indias consumer confidence index stood at 136 in the fourth quarter of 2016, topping the global list of countries on the same parameter, as a result of strong consumer sentiment, according to market research agency, Nielsen.
Moodys has affirmed the Government of Indias rating with a positive outlook stating that the reforms by the government will enable the country perform better compared to its peers over the medium term
The Indian Economy has been one of the strongest economies in 2016-17 even after recovering from the adverse effects of demonetization. The growth in GDP has fallen from 7.8 % in 2015-16 to 6.8% in 2016-17.
For any economy, the logistics sector, encompassing transportation, warehousing, cargo consolidation and border clearances, would form the backbone of its trade and associated economic activity and growth of key sectors. The cost of trading whether by sea, land or air forms a critical component of the final price of a commodity. An efficient logistics system reduces this cost, providing a competitive edge and propelling economic activity. Growth of the Logistics business is directly correlated with economic activity. With the Indian economy on a revival path, we believe Indias Logistics sector is poised for accelerated growth. Infrastructural bottlenecks that have stifled growth of the sector and have promoted inefficiency are being addressed. Looking at the future growth prospects; India is currently considered the most attractive in the world and might emerge as a major logistics hub in the future. With this forward looking attitude and a promise of growth and improvements, the service oriented logistics industry is all set to expand beyond the horizons.
India offers huge opportunity for investment. The Central and State Governments are focusing on the development and inclusive growth. With several policy measures announced by the Government coupled with seamless execution, focus on process improvement, providing end to end solutions to customer and quality of operation, the company continues to delivery in its focus areas of logistics , trading in lubricants and investment and finance activities.
Outlook on Opportunities
Logistics is one of the most important basic industries for any economic growth as it is the management of the flow of products from the place of their origin to the place of their consumption, thus the industry also involves the integration of material handling, warehousing, packaging, transportation, shipping security, inventory management, supply chain management, procurement, and customs service.
The Logistics sector in INDIA has today become an area of priority. One prime reason for the same stems from the reason that years of high growth in the Indian economy have resulted in a significant rise in the volume of freight traffic moved. The large volume of traffic has provided for growth opportunities in all facets of logistics including transportation, warehousing, freight forwarding, express cargo delivery, container services, shipping services etc. The growth path also suggests that increase demand is being placed on the sector to provide the solutions required for supporting future growth. Strength of the logistic sector is likely to be one of the key determinants of the pace of the future growth of the economy.
The logistics market in India is expected to be worth US $307 billion by 2020 as quoted in the media. With less than 8% spent by the other developing countries, India spends around 14.4% of its GDP on logistics and transportation. The sector is expected to grow at a CAGR of 15-20 percent between FY2016-2020. This growth will be driven by infrastructure investment associated with logistics development plans (ports, logistics parks, highways, freight corridors and roads), domestic demand growth, and increase in trade. Automobile, aviation, pharmaceuticals, FMCG, and retail are among the large cash cows which the logistics sector is currently riding on. With all this there is immense potential to realize given that this sector will alone create one million employment opportunities by 2021.
Even though India being a low-cost service provider, the logistics cost remains an alarming factor due to the regulatory and tax structure challenges system in the country.
On one hand, the increase in the number of un-organised players, aging infrastructure and inefficient usage of technology has been impacting the mechanism of logistics service providers. The industry can grow at a rate of 16% CAGR with provision of comprehensive and efficient infrastructure, whereas on the other hand, the impending implementation of GST and lack of skill development has adversely affected the process of logistics in the country. The GST will be implemented by July 1st, 2017 and is set to bring about uniform tax structure in the system. This will further enhance operational efficiency in the delivery system thus increasing the business growth potential.
The increase in investment from both public and private sectors year on year (y-o-y) will uplift the logistics sector to the next level. With a significant push on the improvement of infrastructure, adoption of technology and dedicated logistics corridor across all the modes (road, rail, air and sea) will improve the overall structure of the Indian logistics market. This will further contribute to the growth of the industry per se.
Secondly, with India being the next manufacturing hub increase in trade with Asia, Europe, and North America will promote an increase in demand for the logistics services. This initiative by the movement will act as a major growth driver for both the public and private logistics players in the region. However, the timely implementation of the proposed GST is expected to reduce the overall logistics costs and also simplify the tax structure, making the operation robust.
The Government also feel that some of the other factors that can contribute to the growth of the logistics industry are the penetration of e-commerce giants into the hyper- local delivery segment and express logistics is expected to constitute a CAGR of 14.59% in the coming five years.
Due to these reasons the Indian logistics sector is viewed as one of the most attractive in the world. Recent policies by the government attract a strong growth area for logistics in the future. Despite holding promise the logistics sector in India remains mired in several complexities which have the potential of holding it back. These includes significant inefficiencies in transportation, poor condition of storage infrastructure, complex tax structure, low rate of technology adoption, and poor skills of logistics professionals.
The logistics industry is a dynamic component in the countrys growth wheel which has also recently witnessed the effect of demonetisation followed by remonetisation (issue of new currency notes). This sudden shift has significantly disrupted the overall business operations of logistics, automobile, FMCG, pharmaceuticals and agriculture sectors. Though this move by the government gave a temporary jolt but, in the long run, there will be an increment in the overall business coming in from the international players.
Digitization is a new reality which is critical to transforming India going forward. It will help to bring better regulation and governance in the industry.
Where the industry is now moving towards cashless mode, being future ready has always encouraged business operations through cashless mode. With this futuristic vision, it has successfully carried out 55% of its business transactions through the digital mode of payment.
Indias logistics sector primary expectation lies with the timely implementation of the goods and services tax (GST) as that would not only result in the absorption of various taxes involved in the transportation of goods and services, but will also increase efficiency in the business.
The primary reason for growth in the finance and investment industry can be attributed to increasing trade reforms in Government policy, increased Government spending on finance and investment sector and rise in domestic consumption. The Company has successfully implemented the growth strategy and expansion. The changes in the political and social conditions, the monetary and interest rate policies of India and other countries have also helped in maintaining the momentum in the finance activities of the Company.
Outlook for Threats, risks and concern
There are many critical challenges faced by the Company viz, insufficient integration of transport networks, information technology (IT), and warehousing and distribution facilities. Warehousing sector in India forms 20% of the logistics market but faces challenges in the form of inadequate skilled labour, lack of infrastructure, lack of funds etc. Currently India faces a need for another 123 million tonnes of warehousing. Second, high congestions on roadways and ports impacting the turnaround time and service levels across the supply chains. Third, Delay in GST implementation-Levitation of taxes at a national level instead of individual states will cut down on logistics cost and increase cross border transportation. Fourth, lack of integrated planning via a unified regulatory logistics body at the Union level, lack of clarity on regulations increasing nervousness and hassle for investors and operators. Last, the disorganized nature of the logistics sector in India, its perception as a manpower- heavy industry and lack of adequate training institutions has led to a shortfall in skilled management and client service personnel.
The cyclical fluctuations due to economic recession, downturn in business cycle, interest rate fluctuations and other economic factors beyond control has posed a serious threat on the Company policies in finance sector. Newer regulatory updates pose a constant challenge for smooth operations of the Company. Higher cost of funds might lead to reduced bottom-line for the Company. Like in most other industries, opportunity brings itself competition. The different levels of competition in each segment have led to the price cutting as well.
The Indian logistics industry is fragmented and under developed. Logistics costs are relatively high due to poor physical and communication infrastructure; high dwell time at ports; low levels of containerization; and a multi-layered tax system contributing to significant delays at border crossing points.
Development of transportation and logistics-related infrastructure such as dedicated freight corridors, logistics parks, free trade warehousing zones, and container freight stations are expected to improve efficiency. Government reform initiatives, promotion of manufacturing and trade, improving investment climate are expected to transform the industry and drive growth between 2016 and 2020.
Human Resources/Industrial Relations
The Company has continuously strive to attract and retain the best talent from the local markets; clearly define their roles and responsibilities; include them into robust performance management systems; create an inspiring and rewarding work environment; engage them into an inclusive work place; impart training and create development opportunities for increasing employee knowledge and efficiency to make them future ready; and create career opportunities within.
The Company is committed in ensuring that the work environment at all its locations is conducive to fair, safe and harmonious relations between employees. It strongly believes in maintaining the dignity of all its employees, irrespective of their gender or seniority. Discrimination and harassment of any type are strictly prohibited. The Company ensures that no employee is disadvantaged by way of gender discrimination.
Segment Wise or product wise performance
Due to the timely execution of the services and efficiency in implementation of policies of the Company, there has been the growth in all the sectors of the company i.e. trading in lubricants, transportation and finance and investment activities from last years performance. With superior methodologies and improved process and systems, the Company is well positioned to lead a high growth path. The details can be extracted from the notes to accounts.
Certain statements in the Management Discussion and Analysis describing the Companys objectives, predictions may be "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of applicable laws and regulations. Actual results may vary significantly from the forward looking statements contained in this document due to various risks and uncertainties. These risks and uncertainties include the effect of economic and political conditions in India, volatility in interest rates, new regulations and Government policies that may impact the
Companys business as well as its ability to implement the strategy. The Company does not undertake to update these statements.
|(Vir Sen Sindhu)||(Rudra Sen Sindhu)|
|Din no.-00034773||Din no.-00006999|