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Suven Pharmaceuticals Ltd Management Discussions

Jul 12, 2024|03:41:50 PM

Suven Pharmaceuticals Ltd Share Price Management Discussions

An overview of the economic landscape

Global Economy: The year 2022 continued to face the snowballing effects from continued headwinds, most notably the COVID-19 pandemic and its newer variants, geopolitical turmoil with the Russia-Ukraine war, energy crises in Europe, among others. These factors unleashed considerable uncertainty.

Spurred by pent-up demand, lingering supply disruptions, and commodity price spikes, inflation reached multidecade highs in several economies, compelling leading central banks to aggressively tighten to bring it back toward their targets and keep inflation expectations anchored.

The world economy rebounded strongly in the second half of the year. The real GDP was back on track led by strong performances in developed economies in the years second half including the US, Eurozone, and resilient emerging markets.

Energy markets have adjusted faster than expected to the shock from Russias invasion of Ukraine. As per a follow-up study by the World Trade Organisation, vulnerable economies were able to find substitute products and suppliers to obtain essential food supplies owing to an open and inclusive multilateral trading system to anchor the global economy.

Goods trade was more resilient than expected for most of 2022 considering the pressure exerted by the war between Russia and Ukraine. The value of world merchandise trade rose 12% to US$ 25.3 trillion in 2022. The value of world commercial services trade increased 15% in 2022 to US$ 6.8 trillion.

The baseline forecast for global output growth estimated at 3.4% in 2022 is likely to fall to 2.8% in 2023, before rising to 3.0% in 2024. The baseline forecast for global headline (consumer price index) inflation is reported to decline from 8.7% in 2022 to 7.0 percent in 2023. Disinflation is expected in all major country groups, with about 76% of economies expected to experience lower headline inflation in 2023. Also, the earlier-than-expected reopening of China is expected to have a positive impact on global activity, reducing supply chain pressures.

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