manaksia aluminium company ltd share price Management discussions


"Manaksia is amongst the country?s leading producers of Aluminium Flat Products. The factories of your company are equipped with high performance continuous horizontal strip caster, State of the Art Cold rolling mill and machinery like Cut - to - Length, tension leveller, slitter, Annealing Furnace that help producing Aluminium Sheet and Coil to meet the requirements of general as well as specific applications."

Key Statistics: ( in Lacs)

46,637 3,310 7.10% 561 14,496 (mt)
Revenue EBITDA EBITDA Margin (%) Capital work-inprogress Aluminium metal production

GLOBAL ECONOMY OVERVIEW

During the fiscal year 2022-23, the global economy experienced significant impact from the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Commodity prices turned extremely volatile; this negatively impacted multiple industries and their profitability. Furthermore, the war disrupted global supply chain causing delays and shortages of certain commodities. Inflation and thereby interest rates rose across the world, this slowed demand recovery with deceleration in consumer spending and business investments. As a result, economic growth momentum slowed as the year progressed. Your companys business too was affected by these trends. These necessitated adaptive measures and strategic planning to mitigate impact.

As the global demand moderated from the post Covid surge, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) cut its global growth forecast for 2023 and warned of a potential global recession next year. It suggested that "the slowdown of the global economy has intensified," calling it "the weakest growth profile since 2001," besides the Great Recession and the pandemic.

Frequent Covid related lockdowns in China and negative impact of high energy prices on Europe slowed growth momentum in the respective regions while stimulus-led recovery in US began to fade. India, on the other hand, stood strong as consumer spending and government expenditure expanded.

COMMODITY MARKETS OVERVIEW

The global commodity markets began the year 2022-23 on a high note as post-Covid recovery gained momentum across the world. Also, uncertainty, brought by Russian invasion of Ukraine (Feb 2022) spiked prices of many commodities and especially of Oil, Aluminium, Nickel of which Russia is a significant global producer-exporter. LME Aluminium rose to a record high above $4000/mt in March 2022 by jumping 57% in that quarter.

However, subsiding fear of supply uncertainty and leading indicators pointing to a global slowdown in industrial demand pulled down prices rapidly in 2022-23. Brent Crude Oil fell a little more than 20% in 2022-23; Aluminium prices fell by about 30% in that period.

Such large swings in commodity prices brought caution amongst consumers. Rising interest rates, combined with high commodity prices, increased the working capital deployment (and thereby cost) of most commodity businesses.

Collectively, these factors posed significant challenges to the global commodity markets, requiring industry players to adopt strategic measures to mitigate the impact and ensure their resilience in the face of ongoing uncertainties.

INDIAN ECONOMY

In its latest quarterly update, "World Economic Outlook", International Monetary Fund (IMF) has upgraded Indian growth forecast to 6.1% in 2023 reflecting momentum from stronger-than-expected growth in the fourth quarter of 2022 as a result of stronger domestic investment. It further expects Indian growth to accelerate to 6.3% in 2024.

The Government of Indias strong infrastructure push under the Prime Ministers Gati Shakti (National Master Plan for Multimodal Connectivity) initiative, logistics development, and industrial corridor development will contribute significantly to raising industrial competitiveness and boosting future growth.

Improving labour market conditions and consumer confidence will drive growth in private consumption. The central governments commitment to significantly increase capital expenditure, despite targeting a lower fiscal deficit of 5.9% of GDP, will also spur demand. Helped by recovery in tourism and other contact services, the services sector will grow strongly in FY2023 and FY2024 as the impact of COVID-19 wanes. However, manufacturing growth in FY2023 is expected to be tamped down by a weak global demand, but it will likely improve in FY2024. Recent announcements to boost agricultural productivity, such as setting up digital services for crop planning and support for agriculture start-ups will be important in sustaining agriculture growth in the medium term.

Inflation will likely moderate to 5% in FY2023, assuming moderation in oil and food prices, and slow further to 4.5% in FY2024 as inflationary pressures subside. In tandem, monetary policy in FY2023 is expected to become more accommodative in FY2024. The current account deficit is projected to decline to 1.9% in FY2024. Growth in goods exports is forecast to improve in 2024 as production-linked incentive schemes and efforts to improve the business environment, such as streamlined labour regulations, improve performance in electronics and other areas of manufacturing growth show performance. Services exports growth has been robust and is expected to continue to strengthen Indias overall balance of payments position.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has maintained its GDP growth projection for the fiscal year 2023-24 at 6.5%, with Governor Shaktikanta Das noting that the Indian economy and financial sector remain resilient amidst global challenges.

INDUSTRY STRUCTURE AND DEVELOPMENTS

Prime Minister Narendra Modi has highlighted the resilience of the Indian economy in the face of global challenges, as indicated by the GDP growth figures for 2022-23. In a tweet, he emphasized that this strong performance, combined with overall optimism and positive macroeconomic indicators, demonstrates the promising trajectory of the Indian economy and the determination of its people.

According to the Chief Economic Advisor (CEA), several noteworthy trends emerged in the economy. Exports of goods and services accounted for 23.5% of the GDP, marking the highest level since 2014-15. Private consumption reached its highest level since 2006-07, representing 58.5% of GDP Gross fixed capital formation, a reflection of sustained growth, reached its highest point since 2013-14, accounting for 34% of GDP.

In terms of specific sectors, the construction sector, which is labour-intensive, experienced a GVA growth of 10% in 202223, compared to 14.8% in the previous year (2021-22). The growth of GVA in the mining and quarrying sector slowed to

4.6% from 7.1%. The GVA of electricity, gas, water supply, and other utility services rose by 9%, slightly lower than the 9.9% growth in 2021-22. Meanwhile, the GVA of public administration, defense, and other services grew by 7.2% in 2022-23, compared to 9.7% in the preceding year.

ALUMINIUM INDUSTRY OUTLOOK

According to the analysis by Triton Market Research, the Global Aluminium Market is likely to reach $221.11 billion by 2030, from $146.05 billion in 2022, with a CAGR of 5.24% during the forecast period 2023-2030. India is expected to showcase the fastest growth rate globally, with a CAGR of 6.54% over the forecasted duration.

The element aluminium has a silver-white sheen and is flexible and non-magnetic by nature. The letter Al stands for aluminium, which is the most prevalent metal in the crust of the world. Metal is seeing strong demand among end customers in the packing, electrical, and aerospace industries. The market is being driven by the increased market for packaged goods and the expanding use of aluminium instead of stainless steel by automakers. The market is expanding as a result of the increasing demand for electric cars and OEM producers.

However, because growing consumerism and demand for packaged foods is helping bring demand for foil and can companies.

The intensity of use of Aluminium in automotives has been rising to lower emissions and improve fuel efficiency. Manufacturers of electric vehicles use this metal to lighten their vehicles and increase their operating range. Due to its lightweight composition and similar physical characteristics to stainless steel, automakers like BMW and Mercedes are replacing it more frequently. According to estimates, the aforementioned elements will fuel market expansion.

GROWTH FACTORS

The second highest malleable and sixth most highly flexible material on the planet is aluminium. With a density of just 2.7g/cm, it is incredibly light, dust-resistant, and highly conductive, and when alloyed, it demonstrates great strength. Because it is harmless by nature, maintains food for a long period, and prevents the growth of microbes, it is widely employed in the food and packaging industries as well as the pharmaceutical industry.

One of the more prevalent non-ferrous transition metals in the crust of the Earth is aluminium. It is strong, malleable, flexible, lightweight, and resistant to oxidation and corrosion. Because it easily forms combinations with the other chemical components, it is widely used in a wide range of application. For instance, wheels, motors, chassis, and other components of contemporary automobiles are made of aluminium combined with silicon and magnesium. Around the world, it is also utilized to make refrigerators, desktop computers, tablets, cell phones, and other electrical devices.

KEY MARKET DRIVERS

Secondary aluminiums rising popularity will promote growth

• An important portion of the worlds usage of aluminium is secondary or recycled aluminium. Because of its cost- effectiveness, scrap from machinery, automobiles, equipment, and beverage cans is recycled and reused. Reprocessing used metal or scrap uses a small portion of the energy needed to make brand-new metal from ore, minimizing the harm to the environment.

• Additionally, initiatives including the creation of car dismantling, shredder, and environmental safety centers are anticipated to promote market expansion. The widespread use of the material in the transportation sector is also predicted to boost aluminium consumption.

Numerous uses across several industries, and expanding building industries

• Due to its distinct physical characteristics, aluminium is in higher demand across a wider spectrum of industries and has more uses. Because metal is lightweight and has good electrical conductivity, aluminium is utilized for long-distance transmitting power. Because it can be easily moulded and worked into the fuselage and wings of light planes, aluminium alloys like 6061 are frequently utilized in this sector. Its high corrosion resistance makes it the perfect material for use in aircraft. Due to its thermal characteristics, aluminium is utilized in refrigeration, air conditioning, and heat transfer systems.

• Additionally, because of its malleability, this metal can be shaped into thin strips and employed in the packaging sector. Siding, roofing, transparent panels, doorframes, window, staircases, central heating, furnishings, air conditioning systems, and many other things are made with it in building projects.

KEY MARKET OPPORTUNITIES

Aluminium is good electricity and heat conductivity and is reasonably priced

• Aluminium is flexible, robust, and doesnt easily melt or distort when exposed to high temperatures. Additionally, it is lightweight, will not rust or corrode readily, and is a superior heat and electrical conductor. The worldwide car industry is increasingly preferring aluminium since it is reasonably inexpensive. This is understood by aluminium processors all over the world. To strive to build future generations of automotive components that are better in all of the aforementioned features and at a significantly lower cost point, they are spending a lot of money on development and research.

End-Use Industry Insights

In terms of the end-user, the transport sector held the biggest market share. This markets expansion is being driven by the growing use of metal in automobiles due to its lighter lightweight and improved physical characteristics. Many emerging countries are making significant investments to build out their infrastructure. These countries are likewise progressing quickly. As more people throughout the world own cars, the global aluminum sector is anticipated to grow with the automotive industry worldwide.

Because more people throughout the world drive cars, the transportation sector dominated the global aluminum market in 2021. As a result, expansion in the global transportation sector is anticipated to fuel expansion in the global aluminum market. During the projection period, the packing sector is anticipated to increase at a significant CAGR. This industry is expected to increase as a result of the growing demand for aluminum from producers of packaged foods because of its non-permeable properties.

Regional Insights

Due to reasons like rapid and widespread industrialization, quick and widespread urbanization, increasing investment and activities in infrastructure and infrastructure, and development in the automobile industry, Asia-Pacific is predicted to have the fastest expanding market. Because big consumers like Japan, China, and India are present, it is the main factor driving the markets expansion. The regions desire for metal is being driven by the expanding construction and automobile industries. The market is expanding in Europe as a result of factors like the introduction of legislation to reduce automobile pollution and the strong demand from end-use sectors like solar cells and packing.

Overview of Operations

Results

During the year under review, the total revenue of your Company stood at 46,637.02 lacs, as compared to 43,751.65 lacs during the year ended on March 31, 2022. The Company made a profit of 881.86 lacs as compared to a profit of 757.47 lacs during the year ended on March 31, 2022.

Projection for the Financial Year 2023-2024

The company continues to follow the various steps initiated in the previous financial year, for improving the profitability in the future years. These steps include:

• Focusing on developing new customers in India and Overseas for value added products by marketing Colour Coated Aluminium Sheet/Coils, Embossed Sheet/Coils.

• Initiating steps for improving quality of Finished Products, to help in increasing the top line and customer satisfaction, leading to improved margins.

• The Company is also expanding its domestic market Size with concrete focus on expanding sales in Northern and Southern Region of India.

• Revamping of Plant & Machineries to reduce cost of conversion.

• Initiating steps for cost reduction by curtailing certain costs like power & fuel, manpower, administration, and scheduled repair & maintenance. Rationalizing contractual and own employees to reduce manpower cost.

• Developing new suppliers of raw materials in Australia, UK, UAE and other European countries for taking advantage of competitive rates and better quality.

Risks and Concerns

The Company is exposed to several inherent market risks from its normal business activities. These risks include changes in raw material prices, foreign currency exchange rate, interest rate which may adversely impact the Companys financial assets, liabilities and/or future cash flows. The Company is trying to mitigate these risks by carefully planning an optimum sales mix, product diversification, innovation and penetration of domestic and international markets and active treasury management, Further cost saving measures across all segments of the Company, would help in improving the margins in an otherwise difficult market.

Internal Control System

The Company maintains all its records in ERP (SAP) System and the work flow and approvals are routed through ERP (SAP). The Company has appointed Internal Auditors to examine the Internal Controls and verify whether the workflow of the organization is in accordance with the approved policies of the Company. In every Quarter, during approval of Financial Statements, the Internal Auditors present to the Audit Committee the Internal Audit Report and Management Comments on the Internal Audit observations.

Key Financial Ratios

In accordance with SEBI (Listing Obligations & Disclosure Requirements) (Amendment) Regulations, 2018, the Company is required to give details of significant changes in Financial Ratios (i.e., change of 25% or more as compared to the immediately previous financial year) along with a detailed explanation thereof, to

Particulars FY 2022-23 FY 2021-22 Year to Year change Year to year change (%)
Debtors Turnover (Times) 10.77 10.56 0.18 1.70%
Inventory Turnover (Times) 2.59 2.56 0.02 0.78%
Interest Coverage ratio (Times) 1.96 1.36 (0.14) (10.29%)
Current Ratio (Times) 1.35 1.27 0.08 6.30%
*Debt Equity Ratio 1.15 1.09 0.06 5.50%
EBITDA Margin (%) 7.10% 6.43% 0.69% 0.69%
Net Profit Margin (%) 1.90% 1.74% 0.20% 0.20%
Return on Net worth (%) 7.09% 6.41% 0.68% 0.68%

Human Resources

The Company believes that the quality of the employees is the key to its success and is committed to providing necessary human resource development and training opportunities to equip employees with additional skills to enable them to adapt to contemporary technological advancements. Industrial relations during the year continued to be cordial and the Company is committed to maintain good industrial relations through effective communication, meetings and negotiation.

Key initiatives with respect to Stakeholder relationship

A Stakeholders relationship committee is formed for reviews of statutory compliances and services relating to security holders, dividend payments and performance of Registrar and Transfer Agents. No complains was raised or received from any shareholders during the year.

Finance Cost

Finance Cost, during the year under review stood at 1689.21 lacs, as compared to 1331.88 lacs during the period ended on March 31, 2022. This increase is on account of increased investment by the Company in production related activities, raw material price increase.

Cautionary Statement

Statements in this Managements Discussion and Analysis Report describing MALCOs estimates and expectations may be forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied. Important factors that could make a difference to MALCOs operations include economic conditions affecting demand and supply for the products manufactured by the company; price conditions in the domestic and overseas markets in which the company operates; changes in Government regulations, tax laws, statutes and other incidental factors.