ptc india share price Management discussions


Forward Looking Overview Statement:

The report contains forward-looking statements, identified by words like ‘plans, ‘expects, ‘will, ‘anticipates, ‘believes, ‘intends, ‘projects, ‘estimates and so on. All statements that address expectations or projections about the future, but not limited to the Companys strategy for growth, product development, market position, expenditures and financial results, are forward looking statements. Since these are based on certain assumptions and expectations of future events, the Company cannot guarantee that these are accurate or will be realized. The Companys actual results, performance or achievements could thus differ from those projected in any forward-looking statement. The Company assumes no responsibility to publicly amend, modify or revise any such statement based on subsequent developments, information, or events. The Company disclaims any obligation to update these forward-looking statements, except as may be required by law.

World Economy:

Inflation has declined as central banks have raised interest rates and food and energy prices have come down, with some price pressures and labor markets tight in a number of economies. The other major forces that shaped the world economy in 2022 seem set to continue into this year. Commodity prices that rose sharply have moderated. The baseline forecast, which assumes that the recent financial sector stresses are contained, is for growth to be 2.8 percent in 2023, before rising slowly and settling at 3.0 percent five years out. Global headline inflation is set to fall from 8.7 percent in 2022 to 7.0 percent in 2023 on the back of lower commodity prices. Once inflation rates are back to targets, deeper structural drivers will likely reduce interest rates toward their pre-pandemic levels. Policymakers have a narrow path to walk to improve prospects and minimize risks. Central banks need to remain steady with their tighter anti-inflation stance, but also be ready to adjust and use their full set of policy instruments based on emergent needs/requirements.

(Source: IMF)

Indian Economy:

Growth in India has been resilient in the face of a challenging global economic environment. India has been the fastest growing large economy in the world, supported by robust investment growth. Domestic conditions are supportive for private investments. Indias financial sector is stable, underpinned by well capitalized banks.

According to the provisional estimates released by the National Statistical Office (NSO) on May 31, 2023, Indias real gross domestic product (GDP) growth accelerated from 4.5 per cent (year-on-year, y-o-y) in Q3:2022-23 to 6.1 per cent in Q4, supported by fixed investment and higher net exports. Real GDP growth for 2022-23 was placed at 7.2 per cent, higher than the second advance estimate of 7.0 per cent.

In the first quarter of the fiscal year 2023-24, the domestic economy demonstrated its strength, as evidenced by various indicators. Both the manufacturing and services sectors experienced continuous growth, with the manufacturing sector reaching its highest point in 31 months in May, and the services sector achieving a 13-year high in April-May. Key indicators in the services sector, such as domestic air passenger traffic, e-way bills, toll collections, and diesel consumption, showed a positive trend during April-May. In April 2023, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation experienced a significant decline to 4.7 percent, down from 6.4 percent in February. It further went down in May 2023 to 4.3 percent. This decline was primarily due to favorable base effects, resulting in a softening of inflation across all three major groups. Within the food group, inflation eased as there was a moderation in prices of cereals, eggs, milk, fruits, meat and fish, spices, and prepared meals. Additionally, deflation in edible oils deepened during this period. In the fuel group, inflation in LPG, firewood, and chips prices decreased, and kerosene prices slipped into deflation. Core inflation, which excludes food and fuel, also dipped. This was driven by lower inflation in clothing and footwear, household goods and services, health, transport and communication, personal care and effects, as well as recreation and amusement sub-groups. CPI inflation is projected at 5.1 per cent for 2023-24, with Q1 at 4.6 per cent, Q2 at 5.2 per cent, Q3 at 5.4 per cent and Q4 at 5.2 per cent.

The Real GDP growth for 2023-24 is projected at 6.5 per cent with Q1 at 8.0 per cent, Q2 at 6.5 per cent, Q3 at 6.0 per cent, and Q4 at 5.7 per cent, with risks evenly balanced.

(Source: RBI)

Power Sector and Power Market Scenario:

An efficient and flourishing electricity industry plays a vital role in driving the economic progress and well-being of a country. In India, the power sector is characterized by a diverse range of power generation sources, including conventional options like coal, lignite, natural gas, oil, and nuclear power, as well as nonconventional sources such as wind, solar, hydro, and electricity generated from agricultural and domestic waste. However, due to the extensive geographical coverage and a regulatory framework involving both the central and state governments, there are inherent challenges in ensuring widespread access to high-quality electricity for the countrys population of over 1.43 billion people. Balancing the interests of various stakeholders while maintaining the availability and reliability of electricity presents a complex task for the sector.

Policy initiatives during the year:

During the fiscal year 2022-23, numerous policy initiatives and measures were implemented with the aim of reinforcing the financial sustainability of the electricity sector, while also guaranteeing uninterrupted and high-quality electricity for all consumers. These initiatives include not only procedural guidelines but also structural changes that have significant implications. Some regulations and policies, initially introduced as draft versions in FY23, were officially notified in FY24 after thorough consultations with stakeholders. As a responsible stakeholder, your Company actively participated in these discussions and provided suggestions at appropriate forums.

1) The Electricity Rules (Late Payment Surcharge and Related Matters), 2022 Ministry of Power (MoP) notified these rules vide gazette Notification on 3rd June, 2022. These rules provide a mechanism for settlement of outstanding dues of Generating Companies, Inter-State Transmission Licensees and Electricity Trading Licensees. The rules provide for clubbing of all outstanding dues including Principal, Late Payment Surcharge etc. into a consolidated amount which can be paid in interest free Equated Monthly Instalments (EMI).

2) Electricity (Amendment) Bill, 2022 -

The Electricity (Amendment) Bill, 2022 were introduced to amend the Electricity Act, 2003. Some of the key features of the Bill include More than 1 power distributor can operate in an area, increasing the choices to the consumers; Mandatory fixing of minimum and maximum tariff ceilings to avoid predatory pricing by power distribution companies; Renewable Purchase obligation should not be below a minimum percentage; Strengthen payment security mechanisms by giving more powers to regulators, etc.

3) CERC (Connectivity and General Network Access to the Inter-State Transmission System) (GNA) Regulations –These Regulations reflect a shift in approach where setting up of a new transmission infrastructure is no longer thought of as a prerequisite for a new generation capacity superseding the earlier regime of point to point access. These Regulations necessitate generators to take connectivity and ask the drawees to obtain the General Network Access (GNA). They seek to change the modus operandi of booking the transmission corridor.

4) Introduction of High Price Day Ahead Market (HP-DAM) in Integrated Day Ahead Market Segment (I-DAM) -Post the Honble CERCs order dated 16th February 2023 in Petition No. 359/MP/2022, a High Price Day Ahead Market (HP-DAM) contracts in the Integrated Day Ahead Market Segment (I-DAM) was introduced from trade date 10th March 2023. It is a segment where expensive electricity from sources such as imported coal-based plants, gas-based plants and battery storage systems can be traded between power utilities. Bid Price Range lies between INR 0/kWh to INR 20/kWh.

Snapshot:

Total installed capacity of power stations in India stood at 417.67 GW as on 31st May 2023. The total energy generation including renewable energy sources for FY23 stood at 1624.158 BUs. There was a growth in generated energy of 8.87% over the previous year. Total generation for the current financial year (FY 2023-24) has been 286.176 BUs (till 31st May 2023). The energy deficit IN FY 2022-23 increased from 0.4% to 0.5% compared to the previous year and the peak power deficit increased to 4% IN FY23 from 1.2% in FY22.

In the major initiative towards reducing the environmental impacts arising out of utilizing conventional (primarily fossil fuel based) sources as well as the countrys transition to a Net Zero Carbon regime, policy frameworks were put in place to enable the growth of renewable energy sources in our overall generation portfolio. With the policy support from the Government and market interventions, the renewable capacity reached 179.32 GW as on 31st May 2023.

(Source: Ministry of Power)

In the overall context, PTC recorded traded volume of 70.61 BUs. Given the shift in buyer demand to short-term procurement, your Company pivoted itself and actively participated in the short-term segment.

Under its role as an aggregator, PTC signed 820 MW of Medium Term PPAs and PSAs under Pilot Scheme -2 for 3 years. A supply of 270 MW under this scheme from JITPL to KSEB Limited started on 1st January 2022. That was the first power supply under the Scheme. Furthermore, a supply of 100 MW from DB Power to TANGEDCO, and 50 MW from JPVL to TANGEDCO also started under this scheme.

Volumes on the power exchanges (dominated by day ahead markets" DAM" contracts) decreased during the year as the unusual circumstances brought on by the geopolitical tensions affecting the global fuel supply chain (elevated coal and gas prices) resulted in pushing the prices significantly higher. Consequently, it was a Sellers market. While PTC continued to contribute significant volumes to this segment, it did so in a calibrated fashion ceding negative carry volumes and discouraging market distortions brought on by the unusual combination of demand and supply variables. Real time Markets, wherein buyers and sellers have freedom & flexibility to buy and sell power as per changing demand & supply with an hours notice, Term Ahead Markets, Green Day Ahead and Term-Ahead Markets (GDAM and GTAM) are all active segments of the market with varying degrees of liquidity. PTC is a significant market participant in all these segments.

New Initiatives:

Your Company recently inaugurated its Innovation and Data Analytics Lab. We believe that with the help of data analytics and data sciences, informed decisions can be made based on data-driven insights. This can help your Company identify patterns, trends, and opportunities that may not be apparent through manual analysis. The use of data analytics can lead to better decision-making and more accurate predictions of future trends and market behaviour.

In todays data-driven business environment, companies that leverage data analytics and data sciences have a significant advantage over their competitors. By analyzing data in real-time, your Company can respond quickly to changes in the market and make better trading decisions. This can give PTC a competitive edge and help it stay ahead of the curve in terms of the evolving market.

Opportunities and Threats:

A Trading Licensee (over the counter or OTC) plays a vital role in Indias power market by providing customized solutions that cater to changing consumer needs and the requirement to balance demand and supply across different geographies and time periods.

Over the past two decades, Trading Licensees have made significant contributions to the Indian power sector by offering tailored solutions for various market participants. Such market makers also address market distortions through interventions based on market principles. Moving forward, the challenge and opportunity is in developing innovative solutions within an evolving market framework that encompasses power generation, transmission, distribution, and trading. The market design is expected to undergo transformation, with short-term spot markets taking on a prominent role in power procurement and market participants will be expected to assume market and price risks, along with diverse contracts for procuring renewable energy. Electricity derivatives are anticipated to be introduced adding a new dimension to the power market. Regulations related to Ancillary Services have already been enacted. Additionally, new elements such as Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) capable of interacting with the grid, Green Hydrogen with considerations for demand aggregation and the hydrogen supply chain, Electric Vehicles and associated charging infrastructure, and their respective requirements are set to impact the power markets design. Going forward, technology will become an integral part of delivering solutions for the power market, including aspects such as predicting and forecasting demand, supply scenarios, and price forecasting, which will be crucial for solution providers.

India has set its sight on becoming energy independent by 2047 and achieving Net Zero by 2070. To achieve this target, increasing renewable energy use across all economic spheres is central to Indias Energy Transition. Green Hydrogen is considered a promising alternative for enabling this transition. Hydrogen can be utilized for long-duration storage of renewable energy, replacement of fossil fuels in industry, clean transportation, and potentially also for decentralized power generation, aviation, and marine transport. The National Green Hydrogen Mission was approved by the Union Cabinet last year with the objective of making India, a leading producer of Green Hydrogen in the world and create export opportunities. This will lead to a reduction in dependence on imported fossil fuels and feedstock. It is projected to develop Green Hydrogen production capacity of at least 5 MMT (Million Metric Tonne) per annum with an associated renewable energy capacity addition of about 125 GW in the country.

The electricity distribution sector, which has a significant impact on the entire electricity value chain, continues to face numerous challenges. Given the critical nature of electricity as an essential commodity/service, it becomes essential for consensus to be reached within the federal structure to initiate structural reforms. Policy actions to address sector-specific challenges have been evident at all levels for some time. Efforts have focused on enhancing service levels by distribution companies and alleviating stress in generation assets. Creating a favorable investment environment by providing regulatory and policy certainty has also been a key objective for policymakers in the sector. For example, the Late Payment Surcharge 2022 Rules in facilitating receivable reduction for power suppliers. These rules provide for clubbing of all outstanding dues including the principal and late payment surcharge, etc. into a consolidated amount which can be paid in interest fee EMI (maximum 48, based on the quantum). These rules have brought in greater discipline from the state electricity distribution companies in making timely payments.

Segment wise/ Product wise Performance:

PTC achieved trading volume of 70.61 BUs during FY23. PTC achieved short-term trading volume of 37.69 BUs during FY 23 with a drop of around 27.4% over the previous year, which was due to a reorientation of the business model and ceding low margin power exchange volumes to avoid the negative impact on net realizations. PTC achieved long & medium-term trading volumes of 32.91 BUs during FY 23 (Pervious year 35.58 BUs) with a drop of around 7.5% over the previous year volumes, which was primarily due to the maturity of Pilot Scheme-I contracts. PTC has retained its leadership position in terms of the overall trading volumes in the Indian power trading market.

In the business mix, short-term contributed around 53.4% (previous year around 59.3%) whereas long and medium-term contributed around 46.6% (40.7% in

FY22) in the total traded volume. PTCs volume traded on power exchanges during FY23 was 29.5 BUs.

The transaction margin on a volume weighted basis showed marked improvement at 3.20 paise/unit as compared to 2.82 paise/unit for the last FY. This was primarily due to ceding low margin power exchange volumes and the increase in share of long & medium volumes, which was 40.7% of the overall annual traded volumes in the previous year and increased to 46.6% of overall annual traded volumes in the current year (FY22-23).

Cross-border trades are of a strategic importance to your Company. Cross-border trade with Bhutan were to the extent of 6,993 MUs for FY23 (previous year 7,676 MUs) primarily due to lower supply from Bhutan. PTC has continued to facilitate Bhutan Druk Green Power Corporation Ltd. for procurement of power on the power exchanges and supplied 318.8 MUs to Bhutan in FY23 (Jan to 30th April 2023). PTC has also supplied a total of 1657 MUs in FY23 (previous year 413 MUs) to Bangladesh Power Development Board (BPDB) under the Long-term contract for 200 MW capacity. So, PTC currently maintains a trading partnership with strategically located neighbouring nations, and our objective is to enhance and reinforce this collaboration in the future.

PTC Retail, set up to facilitate power supply to the industrial and commercial consumers on the power exchanges, has seen considerable growth this year. With the value-added services, fuelled by data analytics, our clientele is growing and has crossed a number of 837 clients out of which 478 are presently active in Power, REC and ESCerts Segments. It is worthwhile to mention that PTC concluded its 1st REC Bilateral Trade in the month of March2023. PTC has a diversified and strong client base comprising of prominent entities like Central Government Owned Administrative and Operative Authority (s), Public Sector entities who are leaders in oil refining and in transportation, leading multinational companies engaged in the manufacture and sale of Fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) and Pharmaceuticals, leading Cement manufacturers etc. Further, PTC has recently acquired large corporate customers like State Utilities engaged in transportation, a leading manufacturer of tyres for the Passenger Car market, a public sector undertaking engaged in oil refining and manufacture of petrochemicals, a leading cement manufacturer, a steel and alloy manufacturer, sugar manufacturers, an industrial gas manufacturer, a beverages manufacturer, and other such entities Your Company has maintained its leadership position in the exchange products of RTM, G-DAM and G-TAM.

The state utilities have continued to repose their faith in PTCs service offering of energy portfolio management (EPM). At the end of last year, your Company was awarded an Energy Portfolio Management (EPM) assignment by the Electricity Department Puducherry for 3 years. The service offering from your Company will include Demand Forecasting, Sales Planning and Power Scheduling for the UT of Puducherry.. Also, your Company has been awarded/ renewed utility contracts for trading of power on Power Exchanges for Mizoram, Chhattisgarh, Haryana, Bihar, Dadra and Nagar Haveli, Tripura, Pondicherry, Jharkhand and Jammu & Kashmir.

PTC was awarded the contract by a public sector utility involved in manufacturing steel for providing assistance in supply of 12 MW Bagasse based Renewable Energy in one of the southern states under short-term open access (STOA). PTC has received a letter of award (LOA) from a renewable energy developer for providing consulting services in carrying out feasibility study to set up Renewable Energy Projects for power sale to Commercial and Industrial (C&I) Customers and state utilities. PTC has received a Consultancy assignment from a leading multinational knowledge process outsourcing entity for facilitating the sourcing of Renewable Energy for its facilities in multiple (three) cities. Major utilities were added to PTCs growing clientele for sale/ purchase of renewable power to cater to the growing market demand for clean energy sources. Your Company has supported various corporates in reducing their carbon footprints. Renewable Energy PPAs / PSAs were executed with clients in states like Gujarat, Delhi, Odisha, Tamil Nadu, etc. helping these clients in their de-carbonization initiatives.

With increased focus on power distribution performance improvement and reforms, your Company is providing a bouquet of services under power distribution management business which includes power portfolio optimization

(power trading and scheduling), commercial optimization (metering and billing), network operations and maintenance, and regulatory support. Under this domain, PTC is supporting large government institutions in Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat, Maharashtra and Orissa and is continually trying to replicate the success for other identified customers.

Your Company is also promoting the activities for optimization of cost of energy for the large maritime ports, Special Economic Zones, select Industrial Areas in some of the states under the existing regulatory framework of power distribution. Your Company is actively pursuing various opportunities and is in discussions with diverse institutional stakeholders for facilitating them in implementing suitable models in Smart Cities, Integrated Power Development Schemes (IPDS), Energy Efficiency Programs, Renewable Energy Programs, etc.

Your Company is also actively rendering advisory services for development of transmission and distribution (T&D) infrastructure by supporting key customers in preparation of detailed project reports (DPRs), engineering and estimation, bid process management and project supervision. Your Company has extended its portfolio to industries of Oil & Gas, Heavy Industries, and Special Economic Zones. Further, the consultancy business also continued to receive assignments for supporting clients in regulatory aspects, conducting feasibility studies, open access and support in procurement of renewable energy, etc.

Your Company is actively pursuing various opportunities and emerging areas in power sector and is in continuous touch with diverse institutional stakeholders for facilitating them in implementing suitable models in Smart Cities, Energy Efficiency Programs, Green Hydrogen, Renewable Energy Programs, etc.

Subsidiary companies of PTC India Limited:

PTC India Financial Services Limited (PFS), an infrastructure finance company (IFC), recorded total income of INR 797.08 Crores during FY23. Interest income for the FY23 was INR. 766.57 Crores. The profit before tax and profit after tax for FY23 stood at INR 232.37 Crores and INR 175.81 Crores respectively. Earnings per share for FY23 stood at INR. 2.74 per share. PFS has declared a dividend of INR 1 per share.

PTC Energy Limited (PEL), a wholly owned subsidiary of your Company, has a renewable energy portfolio of 288.8 MW consisting of 50 MW wind power projects in Madhya Pradesh, 50 MW wind power project in Karnataka and 188.8 MW wind power projects in Andhra Pradesh. The projects use leading edge wind turbine technologies from reputed original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). PEL has entered into firm long term power sale agreements for all its projects with respective state utilities (Discoms). PEL has recorded revenue from operations of INR 296.77 Crores during FY23 as compared to the previous years revenue of INR 280.67 Crores. The profit/(loss) before tax and profit/(loss) after tax for FY23 stood at INR 18.83 Crores and INR 13.88 Crores respectively.

Associate company of PTC India Limited:

PTC is a sponsor of Hindustan Power Exchange which has been set up with the best-in-class technology and seeks to offer a credible alternative in the power exchange segment of the Indian Power Market. Since its launch in July 2022, it had already added 536 active members and introduced trading in all segments. With twelve months of operation, HPX has already facilitated trades of more than 5 billion units. The business traction is increasing in momentum and HPX has captured a third of the Term-Ahead Market in the initial months of FY 24. With more structural reforms underway, we expect HPX to multiply the value for all its stakeholders manifold.

Outlook:

Going forward, your Company intends to consolidate its core trading business and include newer business models, especially in new and renewable energy. The Company is also seeking to expand its value added services as an integrated energy solutions provider. Energy portfolio management services, trading & advisory services related business opportunity towards resolution of stressed assets, services/solutions in renewable energy space and operations and maintenance (O&M) services for SEZs/ Industrial Zones/ distribution utilities continue to remain our thrust areas. The Company is also foraying in the emerging areas of Green Hydrogen, Battery Energy Storage Systems through collaborations with global technology companies. The Company is also looking to expand its technology vertical and develop solutions for the evolving energy market. PTC is a sponsor of Hindustan Power Exchange which has been set up with the best in class technology and seeks to offer a credible alternative in the power exchange segment. This new exchange has already commenced operations in the FY23. To cater to the changing dynamics of an evolving sector, expectations of customers and growth aspirations of your Company, we will keep on developing solutions and augmenting offerings in the form of technology based solutions, advisory, energy efficiency and other related services.

Risks and Concerns:

Your Company has been diligently following a structured and disciplined approach to manage risk as outlined in its Risk Management Policy. Risk Reports and Risk Matrices for every business are used to aid in decision making. Your Companys overall approach to Risk Management is aligned with its business objectives to ensure sustainable business growth. Your Company is committed to promoting a proactive approach in evaluating, resolving and reporting risks associated with its businesses.

Internal Control System and their accuracy:

The Company has deployed robust internal financial controls under a framework adopted by the Board. The Board has adopted the policies and procedures for ensuring the orderly and efficient conduct of the Companys business, including adherence to the Companys policies, safeguarding of its assets, the prevention and detection of fraud and errors, the accuracy & completeness of the accounting records and the timely preparation of reliable financial disclosures.

The Company has appointed M/s. Ernst & Young for review and validation of the controls under this framework.

Discussion on Financial Performance with respect to Operational Performance

Your Company recorded trading volumes of 70.61 BUs during FY23. The Profit After Tax stood at INR 369.74 Crores as compared to the previous financial years metric of 424.81 INR Crores. EPS was at INR 12.49 as compared to INR 14.35 in FY22. On a stand-alone basis, total revenue (including other income) was at INR 14,909.57 Crores in FY23 as against INR 15637.62 Crores in FY22. The Return on Net Worth (RoNW) for FY23 was 9.19%.

On a consolidated basis, total revenue stood at 16,002.51 INR Crores in FY23 as against 16,879.77 INR Crores in FY22. Profit After Tax (after minority interest) stood at 445.60 INR Crores as against 506.16 INR Crores in FY22 and EPS stood at INR 15.05 as compared to INR 17.10 in FY22.

Material developments in Human Resource / Industrial Relations front, including number of people employed

Your Company recognizes that employees are vital stakeholders in the growth of the organization. Given the transformative business environment and an evolving power sector, human resources play a critical role in enabling prompt and effective implementation of key strategic decisions. Your Company prides on a culture that enables continuous learning to meet the changing demands and priorities of the business. Your Company also undertook various initiatives for the health and safety of its employees including organizing vaccination camps, arranging doctors and health professionals, flexi timing and Open door protocols. Your Company has 113 employees with diverse competencies, skill sets who continuously challenge themselves to achieve greater heights in organizational excellence.

Key Ratios

S. Ratios

Numerator

Denominator

As on

Remarks

No.

31.03.2023 31.03.2022
1 Return on investment- FDR & Mutual Fund Net Return of Investment Cost of investment 6.11% 3.09% Treasury yield improved on account of increase in RBI repo rate resulting in better return on investment.
2 Debt Equity Ratio Total Debt (including lease liabilities) Shareholders equity 0.05 0.31 Decrease in Debt Equity Ratio is on account of utilization of realization from Trade receivables mainly in repayment of working capital loans to banks.
3 Return on Net worth Profit after tax Average shareholders equity 9.19% 11.15% Decease in Return on Equity Ratio is mainly on account of decrease in surcharge income. Decrease in PAT on annualized basis

 

Sd/-

(Rajib Kumar Mishra)

Date: 12th August, 2023 Chairman & Managing Director
Place: New Delhi DIN: 06836268