“Between May 27 and June 1, the monsoon should hit the coast of Kerala. South India is in the thick of pre-monsoon showers and this will pick up in next three days - more widespread and intense,” said GP Sharma, Vice President-Meteorology, Skymet was quoted as saying.
Skymet, in its Monsoon foreshadow released on April 22, predicted Monsoon 2015 to be ‘normal’. Now officially it has been said that Monsoon is expected to hit Kerala on its usual date of June 1.
Pre-Monsoon showers have gained momentum across the country and are expected to cover more parts by next week. This activity will set the stage for the four-month rainy season to commence on schedule.
Skymet had earlier predicted that Monsoon onset is expected to be early, around May 27.
An error margin of +/-5 days is always taken for granted in meteorological analysis.
According to forecasters at Skymet, the rain-bearing monsoon clouds will reach the Andaman region in the Bay of Bengal by May 25, and hit Kerala thereafter.
The onset of Monsoon does not have any correlation with its further progress, advancement and performance.