The Indian banking sector has shown a steady increase in total outstanding credit in 2025.
As per the latest RBI release, the total growth has been 11% in the week ending 21st February 2025. In comparison, the average loan growth in India over the past 13 years has been 11.8%. These include the worst growth that India witnessed during March 2017 (4%).
Figure: Total Outstanding Loans/Credit at Indian banks
Source: RBI
Trends in Food and Non-Food Credit
Food Credit:
Food credit accounts for only 1% of the total banking credit. It includes the credit provided by banks to FCI and other governmental agencies. It has experienced a sharp slowdown in 2025. At the start of the year, it was as high as 30%. However, it has slowed to 16-17% in February Food inflation.
Non Food Credit:
Non Food Credit accounts for 99% of the total banking credit. It encompasses loans given to services, industries and personal sectors. It accelerated in January to 11.4%. However, it has decelerated in February to less than 11%.
Why is the credit growth decelerating?
Inflation & Wage Growth:
While Inflation is moderating, it has been persistently high and wage growth has not kept pace with it. This has had a detrimental impact on consumption. Retail loans have been among the faster growing categories. A likely slowdown is impacting overall credit growth.
Higher RBI Scrutiny:
There has been higher RBI scrutiny over loans to NBFCs. As they have also been a fast growing category of loans, the higher scrutiny and concomitant slowdown has likely impacted overall credit growth.
Macro Worries & Economic Slowdown:
Macro factors including a slowdown in major economies, a depreciating INR and the ongoing worries about a tariff war have also likely contributed to a slowdown in economic activity.
Figure: Incremental Credit at Indian Banks
Source: RBI
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