30 Apr 2022 , 12:22 PM
Result date: 3rd May, 2022
Recommendation: Buy
Target price: Rs1,608
Source: IIFL Research
Tata Steel’s domestic business could report sales volume growth of 17% on a sequential basis, while its European operations could post 9% sequential growth in sales volumes. Consequently, the consolidated revenue growth is pegged at 35% over the year-ago quarter and 11% on a sequential basis.
The standalone business’ profitability though could be impacted by surging coking coal costs, leading to a sequential fall in EBITDA/ton.Tata Steel’s European operations could report EBITDA/tonne of US$200/tonne (EBITDA/tonne of US$182/tonne in Q3FY22). Consolidated EBITDA could grow 17% over the year-ago quarter, while EBITDA margin is estimated at 24.6% as against 26.1% in the December 2021 quarter.
Consolidated Profit After Tax could grow 37% on a year-on-year basis.
Important management insights to watch out for:
· Outlook on demand across all segments and markets
· Trends in input cost inflation, pricing action planned and margin levers
Rs Crore | March 2022 estimates | YoY change | QoQ change |
Revenue | 67,712 | 35% | 11% |
EBITDA | 16,632 | 17% | 5% |
Profit After Tax | 9,810 | 37% | 2% |
Source: Brokerage reports
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