31 Jan 2022 , 09:15 AM
Result date: 31st January, 2022
Recommendation: Add
Target price: Rs. 920
(Source: IIFL Research)
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries (Sun Pharma) is likely to post revenue growth of 8% on a YoY basis, and flat sequentially. The company’s global specialty segment is likely to grow its revenues 7% over Q2FY22 amid ramp up of Ilumya/Cequa and strong initial Rx trends in Winlevi. On a YoY basis, Ilumya’s integrated unit (IU) could post volume growth of ~72% and Cequa’s IU volumes could increase ~30%. Initial Rx launch trends for Winlevi are also encouraging, led by Winlevi’s novel mechanism of action of targeting hormonal imbalance in acne.
Sun Pharma’s EBITDA could increase 8% as compared to the year ago quarter. PAT could decline 6% YoY to Rs17,452 million.
Important management insights to watch out for:
· Launch pipeline
· Breakeven of specialty business
· Margin drivers
Rs. Million | December 2021 estimates | YoY change | QoQ change |
Revenue | 95,196 | 8% | 0% |
EBITDA | 24,751 | 9% | (6%) |
PAT | 17,452 | (6%) | (15%) |
Source: Company, IIFL Research
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