31 Jan 2022 , 08:13 AM
Result date: 31st January, 2022
Recommendation: Buy
Target price: Rs. 819
(Source: IIFL Research)
UPL could post double digit revenue growth during the quarter as compared to the same quarter of previous year. Strong momentum in LatAm, North America and Europe could fuel revenue growth. However, back home, company may report weak performance amid erratic weather conditions, sales returns due to excess channel inventory and a weak Kharif season.
Margin contraction could be restricted by price hikes and higher share of revenues from high-margin markets. Pressure of input cost inflation will still have some bearing on margins.
Net profit growth is likely to be elevated owing to the low base of Q3FY21 wherein the company had posted a forex loss worth Rs. 2 billion.
Important management insights to watch out for:
Rs. Million | December 2021 estimates | YoY change |
Revenue | 103,171 | 13.1% |
EBITDA | 24,331 | 10.2% |
EBITDA margin (%) | 23.6% | (61 bps) |
Adj. net profit | 9,722 | 35.8% |
Source: Company, IIFL Research
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