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Q3FY23 Preview: Coal India: Revenue seen at Rs35,335 crore, PAT at Rs7,800 crore

  • 30 Jan, 2023 |
  • 12:41 PM
  • Strong show expected from the company

Result date: 31st January, 2023

Recommendation: Buy 

Target price: Rs 275

Source: IIFL Research

Coal India recorded 15.8% growth in production to 479mt, during the nine months ending December 31, 2022; as compared to the year-ago period. Supply to power sector in this period grew 11% on a year-on-year basis to 432.7mt. Increase in average selling prices (higher e-auction premium), coupled with higher dispatches could lead to revenue growth of 24% for Coal India in the December 2022 quarter. Sequential numbers are not comparable considering the seasonality factor.

Despite increase in employee costs, the company could post 53% growth in EBITDA as compared to the year-ago quarter.

Profit After Tax or PAT could grow 62.8%, further aided by higher other income as compared to the year-ago quarter.

Important management insights to watch out for:

  • Availability of coal for e-auction 
  • Commentary on the National Coal Wage Agreement and possibility of FSA price hike
Rs. Crore

December 2022 estimates

YoY change

QoQ change

Revenue 

35,335

24.3%

18.5%

EBITDA 

9,338

52.7%

29.2%

Profit After Tax 

7,800

62.8%

22.8%

Source: Brokerage reports

 

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