Q2FY23 Preview: Tata Motors: Consolidated revenue seen at Rs761,881 million, Net loss at Rs7,755 million

  • India Infoline News Service |
  • 10 Nov, 2022 |
  • 10:10 AM
Result date: 11th November, 2022
Recommendation: Buy
Target price: Rs585

Standalone volumes of Tata Motors grew 42% year-on-year (partly due to the base effect) and 5% sequentially. This, along with price hikes could lead to 50% growth in standalone revenue over the year-ago quarter. Consolidated revenue though could grow at a smaller pace of 24%, after factoring in performance of JLR.

Margin performance is likely to be robust amid falling input prices, improving realizations and operating leverage. High discounts in the commercial vehicles segment though could cap margin gains.

Tata Motors’ results for the September 2022 quarter could have a one‐time charge on MTM of forex debt (GBP depreciation versus USD), which could also dent its profitability.

The company could post net loss on a consolidated basis.

Important management insights to watch out for:
  • Demand trends across key markets
  • Outlook on input costs, pricing action, margins
September 2022 estimates QoQ change YoY change
Volumes 243,392 5.2% 42.1%
Revenue (Rs mn) 276,998 4.4% 50.2%
EBITDA (Rs mn) 17,779 26.9% 182.9%
EBITDA margin 6.4% 114 bps 301 bps
Profit After Tax (Rs mn) 4,248 (1273.7)% (169.8)%
Source: IIFL Research

Rs. Million September 2022 estimates QoQ change YoY change
Revenue 761,881 5.9% 24.1%
EBITDA 64,600 103.1% 59.5%
EBITDA margin 8.5% 406 bps 188 bps
Profit After Tax (7,755) (86.5)% (82.8)%
Source: IIFL Research

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