4 Feb 2022 , 12:20 PM
Result date: 5th February, 2022
Recommendation: Buy
Target price: Rs. 630
Country’s largest bank — State Bank of India (SBI) could post 6% YoY growth in its loan book. Deposits are estimated to grow 11% on a YoY basis during the quarter. Net interest margins should remain in the narrow band of 3.2%-3.3% during the quarter. Sequentially, the bank’s operating expense is likely to fall sharply due to lack of provisioning towards family pension which was completed in Q3FY22. However, lower growth in NII and total income could keep pre-provisioning operating profit flat as compared to the year ago quarter.
SBI is likely to post decent performance on asset quality and keep a check on its slippages. Lower credit costs are likely to drive PAT growth during the quarter. PAT could jump 55% on a YoY basis.
Important management insights to watch out for:
Rs. Billion | December 2021 estimates | YoY change | QoQ change |
NII | 297.5 | 3% | (5%) |
Total Income | 393.0 | 3% | 0% |
PPOP | 174.0 | 0% | 63% |
PBT | 110.0 | 57% | 5% |
PAT | 80.3 | 55% | 5% |
Source: Company, IIFL Research
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