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Q3FY23 Preview: Tech Mahindra: Revenue seen at Rs135,508 million, PAT at Rs12,372 million

  • 27 Jan, 2023 |
  • 3:46 PM
  • Muted quarter despite positive impact from seasonality

Result date: 30th January, 2023

Recommendation: Add

Target price: Rs1,060

Analysts at IIFL Securities are forecasting slowest revenue growth among large caps of 0.8% cc QoQ (+0.6% QoQ) for Tech Mahindra, as broad-based slowdown across segments could offset positive seasonality of Retail BPO and Comviva business. Deal wins in Q3 are also likely to highlight the impact of weakening macro. 

Analysts at IIFL Securities expect margins to expand by 60 bps sequentially, as the company continues to rationalize lower margin business. They expect FY23 EBIT margins to be under 13%. 

Profit After Tax or PAT of Tech Mahindra could decline 5.5% sequentially.

Important management insights to watch out for:

  • Deal wins, including color on 5G deal
  • Revenue and margin outlook for CY23
  • Comments on capital allocation and integration of acquisitions
  • Supply-side and attrition trends, sub-contracting costs and employee additions

 

 

December 2022 estimates

QoQ change

YoY change

Revenue (US$ mn)

1,648

0.6%

7.4%

Revenue (Rs. mn)

135,508

3.2%

18.3%

EBIT (Rs. mn)

16,222

8.7%

(4.5)%

EBIT margin

12.0%

60 bps

(290) bps

Profit After Tax (Rs. mn)

12,372

(5.5)%

(9.6)%

EPS (Rs.)

14.0

(5.5)%

(9.6)%

Source: IIFL Research

 

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