
Result date: 2nd February, 2023
Recommendation: Add
Target price: Rs 850
Tata Consumer Products (Tata Consumer) could post mid-single digit decline in sales volumes of tea amid late onset of winter and higher competition from regional players. Foods business would see continued traction. Salt would witness low single-digit volume growth. NourishCo should continue its momentum and deliver strong growth in the quarter. Overall, analysts at IIFL Securities expect the company to post sales growth of 8% over the year ago quarter.
EBITDA though is expected to remain flat over the year-ago quarter, partly due to weakness in EBITDA of international tea and B2C Coffee + Vietnam segments. Higher tea prices and unfavorable currency are other margin headwinds.
Profit After Tax (PAT) could grow 2.7% as compared to the year-ago quarter.
Important management insights to watch out for:
Rs Million | December 2022 estimates | YoY change |
Revenue | 34,668 | 8.1% |
EBITDA | 4,605 | (0.3)% |
Profit After Tax | 2,822 | 2.7% |
Source: IIFL Research
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