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Q3FY23 Preview: Tata Consumer Products: Revenue seen at Rs34,668 million, PAT at Rs2,822 million

  • 30 Jan, 2023 |
  • 4:24 PM
  • Weak volumes, margins likely

Result date: 2nd February, 2023

Recommendation: Add

Target price: Rs 850

Tata Consumer Products (Tata Consumer) could post mid-single digit decline in sales volumes of tea amid late onset of winter and higher competition from regional players. Foods business would see continued traction. Salt would witness low single-digit volume growth. NourishCo should continue its momentum and deliver strong growth in the quarter. Overall, analysts at IIFL Securities expect the company to post sales growth of 8% over the year ago quarter.

EBITDA though is expected to remain flat over the year-ago quarter, partly due to weakness in EBITDA of international tea and B2C Coffee + Vietnam segments. Higher tea prices and unfavorable currency are other margin headwinds.

Profit After Tax (PAT) could grow 2.7% as compared to the year-ago quarter.

Important management insights to watch out for:

  • Tea prices and volumes
  • Demand trends across key markets and product categories
  • Outlook on input costs, pricing action and margins
Rs Million

December 2022 estimates

YoY change

Revenue

34,668

8.1%

EBITDA

4,605

(0.3)%

Profit After Tax

2,822

2.7%

Source: IIFL Research

 

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