Oil India Ltd (Q4 FY12)

India Infoline News Service | Mumbai |

Oil India Ltd (OINL) reported a 14% yoy fall in net sales. Net sales were lower owing to 26.4% decline in net crude oil realizations.

CMP Rs450, Target Rs520, Upside 15.6% 
  • Oil India Ltd (OINL) reported a 14% yoy fall in net sales. Net sales were lower owing to 26.4% decline in net crude oil realizations. During the quarter, OINL’s subsidy burden was at Rs28.7bn or US$80.8/bbl. This was in comparison to US$51.1/bbl in Q4 FY11 and US$53.1/bbl in Q3 FY12.
  • Crude oil sales volumes were higher by 1.8% yoy and 2.1% on a sequential basis. Gas sales volumes were higher by 7.1% on a yoy basis but declined 8.5% on a qoq basis. Total oil + OEG volumes were higher by 3.5% on yoy basis but lower by 1.7% qoq.
  • OINL reported an OPM of 31.3% as compared to 44.7% in Q4 FY11 and 55.1% in Q3 FY12. The fall was mainly on account of the sharp jump in subsidy burden and increase in staff costs.
  • Decline of 16.7% yoy in depreciation and depletion expenses along with higher other income results in a PBT decline of 26% yoy as compared to 39.7% yoy fall in operating profit. Decline in depreciation was on account of lower impact on fixed assets, which was offset by higher depletion and dry well expenses. Higher other income was on account of better dividend income and higher yields on increased cash balances.
  • We maintain our BUY rating on the stock considering a steep discount to global peers on EV/BoE basis.
Result highlights
(Rs mn) Q4 FY12 Q4 FY11 % yoy Q3 FY12 % qoq
Net sales 18,021 20,967 (14.0) 25,898 (30.4)
Material costs (119) (449) (73.6) (376) (68.4)
Personnel costs (3,577) (2,342) 52.7 (2,611) 37.0
Stautory levies (5,189) (6,083) (14.7) (7,172) (27.7)
Other overheads (3,490) (2,721) 28.3 (1,457) 139.5
Operating profit 5,647 9,372 (39.7) 14,282 (60.5)
OPM (%) 31.3 44.7 (1,336) bps 55.1 (2,381) bps
Depreciation (2,841) (3,413) (16.7) (2,887) (1.6)
Interest (1) (112) (99.0) (11) (90.1)
Other income 3,389 2,521 34.4 3,756 (9.8)
PBT 6,194 8,368 (26.0) 15,140 (59.1)
Tax (1,746) (2,742) (36.4) (5,000) (65.1)
Effective tax rate (%) 28.2 32.8   33.0  
PAT 4,448 5,626 (20.9) 10,140 (56.1)
PAT margin (%) 24.7 26.8 (215) bps 39.2 (1,447) bps
Ann. EPS (Rs) 29.6 37.4 (20.9) 67.5 (56.1)
Source: Company, India Infoline Research
 
Valuation summary
Y/e 31 Mar (Rs m) FY11 FY12E FY13E FY14E
Revenues 83,206 98,632 98,440 104,323
yoy growth (%) 5.3 18.5 (0.2) 6.0
Operating profit 42,721 46,747 47,704 51,033
OPM (%) 51.3 47.4 48.5 48.9
Pre-exceptional PAT 28,877 34,469 34,512 36,525
yoy growth (%) 10.6 19.4 0.1 5.8
         
EPS (Rs) 48.0 57.3 57.4 60.8
P/E (x) 9.4 7.8 7.8 7.4
Price/Book (x) 1.7 1.4 1.4 1.3
EV/EBITDA (x) 3.8 3.0 3.0 2.5
Debt/Equity (x) 0.1 0.1 0.0
BSE 355.75 1.55 (0.44%)
NSE 355.35 1.60 (0.45%)

***Note: This is a NSE Chart

 

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