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In financial markets, price gaps between an index and the stocks can create unique opportunities. Index arbitrage is one of those strategies that traders use to spot and act on these gaps. It is an investment strategy driven by timing, calculation and careful observation.
In this aspect, we’ll discuss what index arbitrage is, how it works, examples and its limitations.
Stock index arbitrage is a trading strategy aimed at gaining profits from the temporary price difference between a stock market index and its corresponding futures contract. The traders make a profit by exploiting the inefficiencies in the market.
The index arbitrage needs to be conducted in a very short duration, as price differences generally occur because the relevant information is not reflected in the stock prices.
The index arbitrage process is more or less automated and systematic. The following step-by-step overview is how it works:
Suppose the Nifty 50 is trading at 20,000 points in the cash market. If the corresponding Nifty futures are priced at 20,100. This 100-point difference signals a possible arbitrage opportunity.
Here is how it exactly works:
If you want to understand index arbitrage, you need to grasp the concept of index fair value. In the futures market, fair value is the equilibrium price for a futures contract. You can define the futures price as the spot price plus the cost of carrying. What does the cost of carrying consist of? In index arbitrage, the cost of carrying includes compounded interest that could have been earned as an opportunity cost and dividends lost because the investor owns the futures contract instead of stocks.
Typically, the index arbitrage comes into play when the futures contract trades substantially off its fair value. Note the use of the word substantially. You cannot trade small divergences from the fair value because it requires capital, you incur brokerage costs, you incur statutory costs and it entails tax implications. Let us now turn to some mathematics for understanding the concept of fair value.
Although index arbitrage appears to be an attractive investment idea on paper, it has some practical drawbacks:
The strategy of stock index arbitrage is based on the finding of minor inefficiencies between an index and its futures contracts. It is speedy, accurate and very knowledgeable about index fair value. Although it is capable of producing comparatively risk-free profits under perfect conditions, this is constrained by the issues of costs, technology and implementation that restrict its accessibility. It is an excellent tool to professionals with resources, though to others, it is a useful indicator of how tightly modern markets work.
Yes, but it depends on resources. People with access to future markets, adequate funds and efficient trading platforms can try it.
Index fair values come from adding the cost of holding the index stocks to the current index price and subtracting any expected dividends. This value gives a benchmark to compare the future price against.
They can last from a few seconds to hours and it depends on the market activity. In very active periods, pricing gaps may close quickly, while in calm conditions, they may stay open longer.
The primary challenge is making sure profits outweigh costs. Since margins are usually small, efficiency in execution and awareness of expenses are important to keep trades worthwhile.
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