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Are you scared to invest in the stock market? Well, if you do, know that you are not alone! There’s so much financial jargon and math to take in. You can confidently make well-informed investment decisions that multiply your wealth by mastering a few concepts.
In this article, we discuss the important mathematical concepts and formulas used while investing or trading in the stock market. Mastering these basics of stock mathematics is vital whether you’ve just begun your investing journey or are trying to elevate your investment game.
Read on to understand the mathematics that dictates trading and learn how you can do better analysis of your investment.
When it comes to the stock market, some people even use fancy math to help them forecast and make investments. But for the average person who is looking to invest in the stock market, a basic understanding of some simple math (addition, subtraction, multiplication and division) suffices. You only need five key equations to start playing the stock market math:
ROE shows how well a company uses people’s money (shareholders’ money) to make profits.
Formula: ROE = Net Income ÷ Shareholders’ Equity
Example: If a company earns ₹50 crores and has ₹200 crores of equity:
ROE = 50 ÷ 200 = 25%
A higher ROE means the company is using money better. But if it is too high, it may mean too much debt.
Future Value tells you how much your money will grow in the future if you keep investing and let it earn interest.
Formula: FV = P(1 + R)^t
Where:
Example: If you put ₹10,000 at 10% yearly interest for 5 years:
FV = ₹16,105
This shows how compounding makes money grow over time.
Future Value shows what you might earn later. Total Return shows what you really earned in a given time.
Formula: (End Value – Start Value + Income) ÷ Start Value
Example: Invest ₹15,000. After one year, it becomes ₹18,500. You also get ₹350 in dividends.
Total Return = (18,500 – 15,000 + 350) ÷ 15,000 = 25%
It tells you how your investment actually performed.
CAPM helps check if a stock price is fair by comparing it with the whole market.
Formula: Stock Price = V + B × M
Where:
Example: V = 10, Beta = 1.5, Market = 10,000
Stock Price = 10 + (1.5 × 10,000) = ₹15,010
This helps see if the stock is too costly or reasonable.
The P/E ratio is an indication of how expensive a stock is relative to the money the company earns.
The formula: P/E = Stock Price ÷ EPS
Example: price of Stock = ₹350, EPS = ₹10.
P/E = 350 ÷ 10 = 35
Compare the price-to-earnings ratios of companies in the same industry to tell if a stock is cheap or expensive.
Numbers and formulas matter, but understanding compounding can change the way you invest.
Take Ajay and Priya as an example. Both invest ₹10,000 in equity funds at 10% annual returns. Ajay withdraws his gains every year. Priya reinvests everything for 25 years.
Investor | Investment After 25 Years | Strategy |
Ajay | ₹40,971 | Withdraws gains yearly |
Priya | ₹1,08,347 | Reinvests gains (compounding) |
This huge difference is the power of compounding. When you reinvest returns, your money grows much faster. The earlier you start, the more powerful compounding becomes.
In simple interest, you get returns only on your original investment. In compound interest, your returns are reinvested, so they also start earning returns.
Example: One-time ₹10,000 Investment at 10% Annual Interest
If you choose to withdraw the interest, your investment grows slowly.
Year | Investment Value (₹) |
1 | 10,250 |
2 | 10,250 |
3 | 10,250 |
4 | 10,250 |
5 | 10,250 |
After 5 years, your total stays close to ₹10,250 each year since you keep pulling out the interest.
If you reinvest the interest instead of withdrawing it, your investment grows faster.
Year | Investment Value (₹) |
1 | 10,250 |
2 | 10,506 |
3 | 10,769 |
4 | 11,038 |
5 | 11,314 |
At the end of 5 years, your money becomes ₹11,386, which is ₹1,136 more than Scenario 1.
Time Period | Value with Compounding (₹) |
5 Years | 11,386 |
10 Years | 16,288 |
15 Years | 23,457 |
20 Years | 33,637 |
Over 20 years, your investment grows more than three times because of compounding.
Investing means taking risks and making choices when you are not sure of the outcome. Probability makes this easier by showing the chances of different results.
Before buying a stock, people often check:
No one can say exactly how a stock will perform. But looking at these factors gives an idea of the chances of making profits.
For example, a big stable company may have an 80% chance of giving a 7–10% return in 3 years. A new start-up may have a 50% chance of giving over 25% returns. An aggressive investor may go for the start-up because of the big possible reward. A careful investor may choose the safer company. Probability helps you compare such choices.
Remember, probabilities are not always exact. They are just one tool that, when combined with other methods, can help you make better decisions.
Learning a few basic math ideas can make you a smarter investor:
You do not have to be a math savant. You don’t need calculus. Simple math, such as addition, percentages and basic formulas, will suffice. Once you get the hang of it, these tools will help you find investment opportunities with a high probability of potential profits.
Intuition is important in investing. But knowing mathematics for trading can improve your chances of success. Financial ratios, compounding, and probability give you a strong edge. Math makes you a smarter and more confident investor. When you combine math with common sense and good judgment, you can build wealth for life.
A1. Things like simple algebra, compound interest calculations, pricing models, probability theory and correlation analysis can be useful for stock investors. These can aid in estimating returns, determining valuation and risk, and understanding the relationships between financial assets for optimal decision-making.
A2. Not really. While strong quantitative skills help, a grasp of basic arithmetic, percentages, and rates of change concepts suffices for most retail stock investors. Understanding the time value of money and compounding drives better savings discipline, too.
A3. Mathematical models help gauge upside potential versus downside risks more objectively. Metrics like win and loss ratios help assess a strategy’s historical effectiveness. Knowing the odds of gains and losses leads to balanced thinking and calculated risk-taking – which is crucial for long-term success.
A4. Warren Buffet himself admits that over 99% of his fortune today is due to the magic of ‘compound interest’. Compounding refers to earning returns on reinvested earnings from previous gains over long periods. This snowballs wealth exponentially.
A5. Math builds robust, evidence-based mental models about markets. However, investing also involves managing fear and greed and making decisions under uncertainty. So, while analytical skills are crucial, being adaptable, disciplined and grounded is equally vital for consistent long-term returns.
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